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Hamburger SV v VfL Wolfsburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

the Volksparkstadion is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Luis Freire's Hamburger SV host Paul Simonis's VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Wolfsburg and Hamburg supporters should get a chance to celebrate as their clubs go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two teams have goals in them, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding anything to pick between the sides, as striking power and defensive options suggest each team is capable of both scoring and conceding. Both teams to score is our top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
38%
31/20
11%
7/5
Draw
24%
5/213/5
Wolfsburg
38%
13/8
10%
7/4
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Hamburg 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
15/2
Wolfsburg 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Hamburg 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Wolfsburg 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
Hamburg 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Wolfsburg 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Hamburg 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
12/1
Wolfsburg 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Hamburg 3-2
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
Wolfsburg 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Hamburg 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Wolfsburg 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
6%
4/7
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
10%
5/4
Home 1st Goal
49%
10/11
5%
10/11
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/11
4%
1/1
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
15%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
1/2
7%
1/2
BTTS - No
37%
6/4
14%
29/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3
13%
14/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/316/5
Home/draw
62%
4/9
6%
4/9
Away/draw
62%
1/2
7%
11/20
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
15%
17/5
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8
13%
11/8
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/7
9%
8/15
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
13%
3/1
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
4%
1/5
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Home DNB
55%
5/6
9%
3/4
Away DNB
54%
5/6
6%
19/20
Hamburg win to nil
16%
9/2-
Wolfsburg win to nil
16%
9/2
22%
-
Hamburg / Hamburg
21%
3/1
11%
27/10
Hamburg / Wolfsburg
4%
22/118/1
Hamburg / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Hamburg
13%
11/219/4
Draw / Wolfsburg
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Wolfsburg / Hamburg
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg
19%
3/1
7%
16/5
Wolfsburg / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern66002218 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
May 9
Jan 10
2
Dortmund6420814 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
3
RB Leipzig6411013 
Feb 28
Oct 18
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
4
Stuttgart6402212 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Oct 18
Feb 28
5
Leverkusen6321411 
Jan 14
May 16
Nov 22
Apr 4
6
Köln6312210 
Mar 14
Nov 2
d
 
3-3A
Jan 31
7
E.Frankfurt630319 
Dec 20
May 2
Apr 11
Nov 30
8
Freiburg622208 
May 9
Jan 10
Dec 20
May 2
9
Hamburg6222-28 
-
-
Mar 7
Oct 25
10
St. Pauli6213-17 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
Jan 14
May 16
11
Hoffenheim6213-37 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Nov 2
Mar 14
12
W.Bremen6213-57 
Dec 6
Apr 18
Mar 21
Nov 7
13
Union Berlin6213-57 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 6
Apr 18
14
Augsburg6204-26 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Feb 21
l
 
3-1A
15
Wolfsburg6123-25 
Oct 25
Mar 7
-
-
16
Mainz6114-54 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
17
B. M'gladbach6033-73 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
Dec 13
18
Heidenheim6105-73 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Jan 17
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Wolfsburg 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
HSV
1
D
2
WOB
3
League games at Wolfsburg since 2012
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
HSV
1
D
3
WOB
1
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because VfL Wolfsburg have conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.7 for Luis Freire's side suggests that run should continue.

Hamburg 9th Wolfsburg 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Wolfsburg will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Hamburg have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Wolfsburg have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Wolfsburg
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
HSV
WOB
59%
better
view stats
Games scored1
3
Failed to score3
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored2
7
Avg. goals scored0.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal16
6
Conversion rate for6
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
13%
better
HSV
WOB
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%

Hamburg v Wolfsburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6312
D FernandesR PhilippeN RembergM Muheim
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK6
1
-
M Muheim DEF6
2
-
D Elfadli DEF6
2
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF6
-
N Remberg MID61
2
-
R Philippe FWD63
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD61
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF51
1
1
W Omari DEF5
-
N Capaldo  MID51
1
-
M Dompé FWD51
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD5
-
L. Vušković DEF41
-
R Glatzel FWD4
-
F Vieira MID31
1
1
A Lokonga MID31
-
J Meffert MID3
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD3
-
J Torunarigha DEF2
-
Y Poulsen FWD2
1
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
G Ramos DEF1
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
K GrabaraM AmouraM ArnoldM Jenz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Grabara GLK6
1
-
M Jenz DEF6
2
-
K Koulierakis DEF6
1
-
K Fischer DEF6
-
V Souza MID6
-
L Majer MID611
1
-
M Arnold MID612
2
-
D Pejčinović FWD6
-
M Amoura FWD621
-
J Maehle DEF51
-
M Svanberg MID51
1
1
P Wimmer FWD51
1
-
A Olsen FWD51
1
-
A Daghim FWD41
-
A Zehnter DEF31
-
C Eriksen MID3
-
J Wind FWD3
-
J Seelt DEF1
-
Y Gerhardt MID1
-
J Lindström FWD1
-