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Bayer Leverkusen v FC Union Berlin : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Home advantage makes a difference in the Bundesliga, and Kasper Hjulmand’s Bayer Leverkusen will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Steffen Baumgart’s FC Union Berlin are their visitors to the BayArena. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Bundesliga tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
54%
1.40-
Draw
22%
5.00-
Union Berlin
24%
6.50-
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
--
Leverkusen 1-0
8%
--
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
--
Leverkusen 3-1
6%
--
Union Berlin 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Leverkusen 3-0
5%
--
Union Berlin 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
--
Union Berlin 2-0
3%
--
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
--
Leverkusen 4-0
3%
--
Union Berlin 3-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.50-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.63-
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
76%
--
Away/draw
46%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
Leverkusen win to nil
25%
--
Union Berlin win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001512 
Mar 14
Nov 1
Nov 8
Mar 21
2
Dortmund4310610 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
3
RB Leipzig4301-19 
May 2
Dec 20
Dec 13
Apr 25
4
Köln421127 
Dec 13
Apr 25
May 2
Dec 20
5
St. Pauli421117 
Feb 14
Sep 27
Apr 4
Nov 23
6
E.Frankfurt420226 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 31
Feb 7
w
 
3-4F
7
Freiburg420206 
Oct 26
Mar 7
Nov 1
Mar 14
8
Stuttgart420206 
Jan 10
May 9
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
9
Hoffenheim4202-26 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 17
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
10
Union Berlin4202-36 
Oct 4
Feb 21
-
-
11
Leverkusen412115 
-
-
Feb 21
Oct 4
12
Wolfsburg412115 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Apr 18
Dec 6
13
Mainz411214 
Feb 28
Oct 18
Jan 10
May 9
14
W.Bremen4112-24 
Jan 24
d
 
3-3F
Mar 7
Oct 24
15
Hamburg4112-64 
May 16
Jan 14
Sep 28
Feb 14
16
Augsburg4103-33 
Apr 18
Dec 6
May 16
Jan 14
17
B. M'gladbach4022-52 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 7
Oct 17
Feb 28
18
Heidenheim4004-70 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Nov 29
Apr 11
Win / draw / win form
Leverkusen 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 0Augsburg
Leverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen3 - 1VfL Bochum
Leverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
Leverkusen0 - 0Bayern
Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
Leverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen5 - 2Heidenheim
Leverkusen0 - 0Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen2 - 2Holstein
Leverkusen4 - 3Wolfsburg
Leverkusen2 - 3RB Leipzig
Leverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeverkusen3 - 1E.Frankfurt
ALeverkusen3 - 3W.Bremen
HLeverkusen1 - 2Hoffenheim
ALeverkusen2 - 2Mainz
HLeverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
ALeverkusen2 - 2Freiburg
HLeverkusen2 - 0Augsburg
ALeverkusen1 - 1St. Pauli
HLeverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
ALeverkusen1 - 0Heidenheim
HLeverkusen3 - 1VfL Bochum
ALeverkusen4 - 3Stuttgart
HLeverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
ALeverkusen4 - 1E.Frankfurt
ALeverkusen2 - 0Holstein
HLeverkusen0 - 0Bayern
ALeverkusen0 - 0Wolfsburg
HLeverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
ALeverkusen2 - 2RB Leipzig
HLeverkusen3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin
VfL Bochum1 - 1Union Berlin
Leverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Union Berlin
Dortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
Hoffenheim0 - 4Union Berlin
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
Heidenheim2 - 0Union Berlin
W.Bremen4 - 1Union Berlin
Stuttgart3 - 2Union Berlin
Wolfsburg1 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Holstein0 - 2Union Berlin
B. M'gladbach1 - 0Union Berlin
RB Leipzig0 - 0Union Berlin
Mainz1 - 1Union Berlin
Köln3 - 2Union Berlin
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
HUnion Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin0 - 0Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 1Bayern
AUnion Berlin2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin0 - 1Holstein
AUnion Berlin0 - 6Dortmund
HUnion Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin4 - 0Hoffenheim
HUnion Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin0 - 3St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Leverkusen have not lost to Union Berlin in 9 consecutive league meetings
3
Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Union Berlin
League games at Leverkusen since 2019
Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
B04
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leverkusen
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leverkusen4 - 0
Leverkusen5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leverkusen2 - 0
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
B04
3
D
2
FCU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
1 - 2Leverkusen
0 - 1Leverkusen
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Union Berlin1 - 0
2 - 3Leverkusen
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.9 against FC Union Berlin on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Leverkusen 11th Union Berlin 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Union Berlin have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Union Berlin
2
1.2
Attack rating
47%
better
B04
FCU
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
1
Goals scored7
4
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for24
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
24%
better
B04
FCU
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded6
8
Avg. goals conceded2
2.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against19%
25%
Avg. XG against1.1
2.3
KickOff rating
+24%

Leverkusen v Union Berlin Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3312
M FlekkenP Schick A GrimaldoR Andrich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK3
-
J Quansah DEF31
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF321
-
E Tapsoba DEF3
-
A García MID3
-
R Andrich MID3
1
1
C. Kofane FWD3
1
-
P Schick  FWD33
-
N Tella FWD31
1
-
L Badé DEF2
-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF2
-
C Echeverri MID2
-
M Tillman MID21
-
I Maza MID2
-
E Palacios MID2
-
E Poku FWD2
-
L Vázquez DEF1
1
-
Arthur DEF1
-
E Fernández MID1
1
1
Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićT Rothe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK3
-
D Köhn DEF3
-
T Rothe DEF31
1
L Querfeld DEF3
1
-
D Doekhi DEF3
-
C Trimmel  DEF3
1
-
A Kral MID3
-
J Haberer  MID3
1
-
R Khedira MID3
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
I Ansah FWD33
-
O Burke FWD3
-
A Ilić FWD31
1
-
A Kemlein MID2
-
W Jeong MID2
-
T Skarke FWD2
-
J Juranovic DEF1
-
A Schäfer  MID1
-