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RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig and their boss Ole Werner will be aiming to beat Alexander Blessin and his FC St. Pauli side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
RB Leipzig 55%	-	-
Draw 22%	-	-
St. Pauli 23%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
RB Leipzig 2-1 10%	-	-
RB Leipzig 1-0 9%	-	-
RB Leipzig 2-0 8%	-	-
RB Leipzig 3-1 6%	-	-
St. Pauli 2-1 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
RB Leipzig 3-0 5%	-	-
St. Pauli 1-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
RB Leipzig 3-2 4%	-	-
St. Pauli 2-0 3%	-	-
RB Leipzig 4-1 3%	-	-
RB Leipzig 4-0 3%	-	-
St. Pauli 3-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	-	-
BTTS - No 41%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	-	-
Away/draw 45%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 70%	-	-
Away DNB 39%	-	-
RB Leipzig win to nil 26%	-	-
St. Pauli win to nil 10%	-	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 16th position in the Bundesliga on 26 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 48 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	RB Leipzig St. Pauli
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	30	25	4	1	80	79	l 1-5F	l 6-0A	l 0-5A	l 3-1F
2	Dortmund	30	19	7	4	30	64	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	d 3-3A	l 3-2A
3	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	24	62	-	-	d 1-1A	May 9
4	Stuttgart	30	17	5	8	20	56	w 3-1F	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	l 2-0A
5	Hoffenheim	30	16	6	8	15	54	w 5-0F	l 3-1F	l 0-3A	w 0-1F
6	Leverkusen	30	15	7	8	19	52	l 1-3F	May 2	l 1-2A	l 4-0A
7	Freiburg	30	12	7	11	-4	43	w 2-0F	May 16	l 1-2F	l 2-1A
8	E.Frankfurt	30	11	9	10	-2	42	w 6-0F	w 1-3F	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
9	Augsburg	30	10	6	14	-16	36	w 2-1A	w 0-6F	w 2-1A	l 2-1F
10	Mainz	30	8	10	12	-9	34	l 1-2F	w 0-1F	May 3	d 0-00-0
11	Union Berlin	31	8	8	15	-20	32	w 3-1F	l 3-1A	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
12	Köln	30	7	10	13	-7	31	w 3-1F	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
13	B. M'gladbach	30	7	10	13	-14	31	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	l 0-4A	l 2-0A
14	Hamburg	30	7	10	13	-15	31	w 2-1F	w 1-2A	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
15	W.Bremen	30	8	7	15	-18	31	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
16	St. Pauli	30	6	8	16	-25	26	May 9	d 1-1F	-	-
17	Wolfsburg	30	6	6	18	-25	24	d 2-2A	w 0-1F	May 16	l 2-1A
18	Heidenheim	30	4	7	19	-33	19	w 2-0F	w 0-3F	w 2-1F	Apr 25

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

RB Leipzig have won 4 consecutive home league games

RB Leipzig have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Union Berlin
RB Leipzig	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig	5 - 0	Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Augsburg
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Freiburg
RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	6 - 0	E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	W.Bremen
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Stuttgart
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburg
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Heidenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Stuttgart
RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Holstein
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Hoffenheim

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Union Berlin
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	W.Bremen
H	RB Leipzig	5 - 0	Hoffenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 1	Stuttgart
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Hamburg
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Dortmund
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Köln
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	St. Pauli
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 0	Heidenheim
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Freiburg
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Leverkusen
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Union Berlin
H	RB Leipzig	6 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin	1 - 1	St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Leverkusen	4 - 0	St. Pauli
Augsburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
Dortmund	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
Freiburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Holstein	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
H	St. Pauli	0 - 5	Bayern
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Union Berlin
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	B. M'gladbach
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	W.Bremen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 4	Leverkusen
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Augsburg
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

RB Leipzig

St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

RBL

STP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig		2 - 0
		0 - 1		St. Pauli

St. Pauli

RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

1 / 3

STP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
St. Pauli	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

RB Leipzig have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.9 against FC St. Pauli on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Goals have been a problem for FC St. Pauli of late. It has been 7 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against RB Leipzig.

	RB Leipzig 3rd	St. Pauli 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 RB Leipzig have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	-19 St. Pauli have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

RBL

STP

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

RBL

STP

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

RB Leipzig v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	12	8	6
W Orbán	C Baumgartner	C Baumgartner	C Baumgartner

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W Orbán DEF	30	1		4 -
N Seiwald MID	30		2	2 -
C Baumgartner MID	30	12	8	6 -
Y. Diomande FWD	30	12	7	2 -
R Baku DEF	29	2	3	4 -
D Raum DEF	29	3	6	6 -
A Nusa FWD	28	4	4	-
C Harder FWD	27	3	3	3 -
R Rômulo FWD	27	9	5	3 -
E Banzuzi MID	24		1	3 -
X Schlager MID	24	2	1	5 -
C Lukeba DEF	23	1		2 -
P Gulácsi GLK	22			1 -
J Bakayoko FWD	19	2		1 -
T. Gomis FWD	17	1		1 -
A Ouédraogo MID	16	3	3	-
B Henrichs DEF	14	1		-
M Vandevoordt GLK	10			-
M Finkgräfe DEF	10	1	1	1 -
E Bitshiabu DEF	10			-
A. Maksimović MID	8			-
K. Nedeljković DEF	5			-
L Klostermann DEF	5		1	-
K Kampl MID	3			-
T Werner FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	32	8	20
C Baumgartner	C Baumgartner	C Baumgartner	D Raum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Baumgartner MID	12	32	8	5
Y. Diomande FWD	12	24	7	16
R Rômulo FWD	9	26	5	6
A Nusa FWD	4	17	4	9
D Raum DEF	3	8	6	20
C Harder FWD	3	13	3	4
A Ouédraogo MID	3	11	3	6
R Baku DEF	2	7	3	12
X Schlager MID	2	6	1	3
J Bakayoko FWD	2	9		1
W Orbán DEF	1	8		1
C Lukeba DEF	1	2
T. Gomis FWD	1	3		1
B Henrichs DEF	1	2
M Finkgräfe DEF	1	1	1
N Seiwald MID		7	2	2
E Banzuzi MID		4	1
A. Maksimović MID				1
L Klostermann DEF		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2008	60	193
W Orbán	N Seiwald	W Orbán

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Orbán DEF	2008	40	193
D Raum DEF	1632	50	96
R Baku DEF	1501	58	98
C Lukeba DEF	1471	24	75
N Seiwald MID	1336	60	105
C Baumgartner MID	981	50	146
Y. Diomande FWD	976	28	171
X Schlager MID	946	34	85
P Gulácsi GLK	696	1	3
A Nusa FWD	571	24	157
E Bitshiabu DEF	532	8	16
R Rômulo FWD	528	26	106
M Vandevoordt GLK	366		7
E Banzuzi MID	285	15	50
J Bakayoko FWD	278	5	33
A Ouédraogo MID	244	7	43
M Finkgräfe DEF	200	9	17
C Harder FWD	178	9	53
B Henrichs DEF	148	7	10
K. Nedeljković DEF	124	1	4
T. Gomis FWD	101	4	21
L Klostermann DEF	56	3	5
A. Maksimović MID	51	1	3
T Werner FWD	8
K Kampl MID	2

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	5	3	5
N Vasilj	D Sinani	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	30			-
J Fujita MID	28	1	3	5 -
M Lage FWD	28	2	2	4 -
A Pyrka DEF	27		1	3 -
D Sinani MID	27	5	3	4 -
H Wahl DEF	26	2	1	1 -
M Kaars FWD	25	3		1 -
E Smith DEF	24	2	2	4 1
J Sands MID	24	1		4 -
L. Oppie DEF	21	1		-
K Mets DEF	21	1		2 -
C Metcalfe MID	21		1	1 -
J Irvine MID	20			1 1
L Ritzka DEF	18			1 -
A Dzwigala DEF	17	1	1	5 -
A Hountondji FWD	17	4		2 -
M Saliakas DEF	16	1	3	3 -
A. Ceesay FWD	16			2 -
R Jade-Jones FWD	8	2		1 -
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	18	3	5
D Sinani	D Sinani	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sinani MID	5	18	3	5
A Hountondji FWD	4	11
M Kaars FWD	3	9		1
M Lage FWD	2	15	2	4
H Wahl DEF	2	4	1	1
E Smith DEF	2	5	2
R Jade-Jones FWD	2	6		1
J Fujita MID	1	6	3	5
J Sands MID	1	4		2
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		3
K Mets DEF	1	1
A Dzwigala DEF	1	2	1
M Saliakas DEF	1	3	3	1
A Pyrka DEF		3	1	5
C Metcalfe MID		3	1	2
J Irvine MID		3		1
L Ritzka DEF		1		2
A. Ceesay FWD		1
O Afolayan FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1391	55	139
H Wahl	J Fujita	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Wahl DEF	1391	40	102
E Smith DEF	1363	32	93
J Fujita MID	1066	55	121
K Mets DEF	1063	25	69
N Vasilj GLK	997	1	14
D Sinani MID	889	24	73
J Sands MID	881	42	139
A Pyrka DEF	802	32	80
L. Oppie DEF	600	24	46
A Dzwigala DEF	552	44	78
J Irvine MID	539	22	80
M Saliakas DEF	494	28	47
M Lage FWD	486	38	128
L Ritzka DEF	335	34	46
M Kaars FWD	271	7	30
C Metcalfe MID	142	11	23
A Hountondji FWD	117	6	27
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
R Jade-Jones FWD	53	3	24
A. Ceesay FWD	49	1	18