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RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

the Red Bull Arena is the stage on Saturday afternoon, as Ole Werner's RB Leipzig welcome Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you click through each of the betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between RB Leipzig and St. Pauli was on Saturday 9th May 2026
German Bundesliga
May 9th 2026
RB Leipzig 2
1 St. Pauli
 
X. Schlager 45'86' A. Ceesay
W. Orban 54'
 
RBL
STP
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
3
5
Possession
70%
30%
Fouls
5
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
RB LeipzigSt. Pauli
 
W. Orbanfootball icon
B. Gruda (A. Nordby Nusa 79')
C. Baumgartner
R. Baku (B. Henrichs 90')
M. Vandevoordt
D. Raum (M. Finkgräfe 69')
C. Lukeba
F. Ouedraogo (N. Seiwald 69')
X. Schlagerfootball icon
R. Cardoso da Cruz
Y. Diomande
 (M. Rasmussen 89') E. Smith
A. Pyrka
T. Ando
J. Irvine
J. Fujita
N. Vasilj
(H. Wahl 64') L. Ritzka
(F. Stevens 64') L. Oppie
(D. Sinani 89') C. Metcalfe
M. Kaars
(A. Ceesay 72') A. Hountondji

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: RB Leipzig to win

A Bundesliga victory in front of their own fans for Ole Werner's RB Leipzig team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A RB Leipzig win is the way to go, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
62%
27/1001/1000
Draw
20%
21/425/1
St. Pauli
18%
8/1200/1
RB Leipzig 2-1
10%
17/22/5
RB Leipzig 2-0
9%
15/23/4
Draw 1-1
9%
11/18/1
RB Leipzig 1-0
8%
10/14/1
RB Leipzig 3-1
7%
9/116/5
RB Leipzig 3-0
7%
8/15/2
Draw 2-2
5%
18/19/1
St. Pauli 2-1
5%
25/125/1
St. Pauli 1-0
4%
28/110/1
Draw 0-0
4%
22/111/2
RB Leipzig 4-1
4%
14/118/1
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
20/125/1
RB Leipzig 4-0
4%
12/111/1
St. Pauli 2-0
2%
50/125/1
RB Leipzig 4-2
2%
28/180/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/1119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/53/4
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/32/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
9/416/5
No 1st Goal
2%
22/111/2
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/1017/4
BTTS - No
42%
21/201/7
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/51/25
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/29/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
12/155/1
Home/draw
82%
1/141/1000
Away/draw
38%
11/422/1
Home/away
80%
1/81/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/92/13
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
11/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
10/115/1
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
10/111/9
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/540/1
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
4/111/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
4/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/61/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/661/11
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/111/2
Home DNB
76%
1/121/1000
Away DNB
32%
7/150/1
RB Leipzig win to nil
30%
6/4-
St. Pauli win to nil
8%
18/1-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
47%
8/117/1
RB Leipzig / St. Pauli
2%
40/160/1
RB Leipzig / Draw
5%
18/133/1
Draw / RB Leipzig
18%
10/37/10
Draw / St. Pauli
5%
20/113/2
Draw / Draw
8%
9/129/10
St. Pauli / RB Leipzig
5%
14/133/1
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
6%
16/128/1
St. Pauli / Draw
4%
20/133/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 26 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 52 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3428518689 
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1F
2
Dortmund3422753673 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
3
RB Leipzig3420591965 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Stuttgart3418882262 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
5
Hoffenheim3418791361 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
6
Leverkusen3417892159 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
7
Freiburg3413813-647 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
8
E.Frankfurt34111112-444 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
9
Augsburg3412715-1643 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-6F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
10
Mainz34101014-940 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Union Berlin3410915-1439 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
12
B. M'gladbach3491114-1138 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
13
Hamburg3491114-1438 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
14
Köln3471116-1432 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
W.Bremen348818-2332 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
Wolfsburg347819-2429 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
17
Heidenheim346820-3126 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
18
St. Pauli346820-3126 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
RB Leipzig1 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig5 - 0Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
RB Leipzig2 - 2Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 2Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
RB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig1 - 4Leverkusen
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
ARB Leipzig3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HRB Leipzig1 - 0B. M'gladbach
ARB Leipzig2 - 1W.Bremen
HRB Leipzig5 - 0Hoffenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 1Stuttgart
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Dortmund
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Köln
HRB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim2 - 0St. Pauli
Union Berlin1 - 1St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach2 - 0St. Pauli
Hoffenheim0 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen4 - 0St. Pauli
Augsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Dortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
Wolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Köln1 - 1St. Pauli
Bayern3 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 2St. Pauli
W.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
Holstein1 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Mainz
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
HSt. Pauli0 - 5Bayern
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2015
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
RBL
1
STP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 - 0
0 - 1St. Pauli
League games at St. Pauli since 2016
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
STP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Pauli1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for RB Leipzig in their clash with FC St. Pauli, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 60 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Goals have been a problem for FC St. Pauli of late. It has been 9 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 3rd St. Pauli 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
RB Leipzig have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-24
St. Pauli have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
47%
better
RBL
STP
view stats
Games scored29
19
Failed to score3
13
Scored first24
10
Goals scored63
27
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for2.1
1
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
31%
better
RBL
STP
view stats
Games conceded21
27
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first7
19
Goals conceded42
55
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+31%

RB Leipzig v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331399
W OrbánC BaumgartnerC BaumgartnerC Baumgartner
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vandevoordt GLK12
-
R Baku DEF3223
4
-
W Orbán DEF332
4
-
C Lukeba DEF261
3
-
D Raum DEF3037
6
-
A Ouédraogo MID1943
-
X Schlager MID2631
6
-
C Baumgartner MID33139
9
-
B Gruda FWD1333
1
-
R Rômulo FWD3095
3
-
Y. Diomande FWD33128
2
-
Subs
P Gulácsi  GLK23
1
-
E Bitshiabu DEF11
-
L Klostermann DEF51
-
M Finkgräfe DEF1311
2
-
B Henrichs DEF171
-
A Nusa MID3144
-
N Seiwald MID332
2
-
J Bakayoko FWD202
1
-
C Harder FWD2933
3
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34536
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaJ Fujita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK34
-
T Ando DEF151
3
-
E Smith DEF2722
4
1
L Ritzka DEF21
1
-
A Pyrka MID311
3
-
C Metcalfe MID252
2
-
J Irvine MID241
1
1
J Fujita MID3213
6
-
L. Oppie MID231
-
A Hountondji FWD214
2
-
M Kaars FWD2931
2
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
H Wahl DEF3021
1
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
M Rasmussen MID13
-
T Hara FWD4
-
A. Ceesay FWD203
4
-
D Sinani FWD3053
4
-
German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds