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RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Hamburger SV pay Bundesliga rivals RB Leipzig a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Luis Freire guides his side into an away clash with Ole Werner & co. at the Red Bull Arena. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you click through each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: RB Leipzig to win

A Bundesliga win on home turf for Ole Werner's RB Leipzig side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A RB Leipzig win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
RB Leipzig 65%	1.44 4%	1.48 1%
Draw 18%	4.75 10%	5.00 9%
Hamburg 17%	6.25 4%	5.75 5%
RB Leipzig 2-1 9%	9.00 6%	7.50
RB Leipzig 2-0 8%	10.00 5%	9.00 6%
RB Leipzig 3-1 8%	11.00	9.50
Draw 1-1 7%	10.00 11%	9.00 6%
RB Leipzig 3-0 6%	12.00	10.00 9%
RB Leipzig 1-0 6%	12.00 9%	10.00 11%
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
RB Leipzig 4-1 5%	17.00 11%	13.00 13%
RB Leipzig 3-2 5%	17.00 11%	13.00 13%
Hamburg 2-1 4%	21.00 11%	15.00
RB Leipzig 4-0 4%	19.00 10%	15.00
Hamburg 1-0 3%	26.00 13%	19.00 12%
RB Leipzig 4-2 3%	26.00 10%	19.00 10%
Draw 0-0 2%	26.00 24%	17.00 13%
RB Leipzig 5-1 2%	29.00 15%	21.00 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%	1.36 6%	1.36 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%	3.20 16%	2.90 11%
Home 1st Goal 56%	1.44	1.40 3%
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.63	2.90 1%
No 1st Goal 1%	26.00 24%	17.00 13%
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.50 2%	1.50 4%
BTTS - No 36%	2.50 5%	2.40 4%
BTTS - Home Win 38%	2.40 9%	2.40 8%
BTTS - Draw 15%	5.00	5.25 5%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9.00 6%	7.50
Home/draw 83%	1.13	1.13 1%
Away/draw 35%	2.63 5%	2.70 8%
Home/away 82%	1.18 2%	1.17 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%	1.11 2%	1.11 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 12%	6.50 8%	6.00 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%	1.91 9%	1.91 9%
Under 3.5 Goals 49%	1.91 10%	1.83 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%	3.20 9%	3.00 12%
Under 4.5 Goals 69%	1.36 5%	1.36 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	5.50 8%	5.00 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 83%	1.14 1%	1.14 3%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02	1.00 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	21.00	17.00 13%
Home DNB 78%	1.17 1%	1.18 2%
Away DNB 29%	5.00 11%	4.40 5%
RB Leipzig win to nil 27%	3.25	-
Hamburg win to nil 6%	15.00 15%	-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig 39%	2.05 7%	2.10 5%
RB Leipzig / Hamburg 3%	34.00	29.00
RB Leipzig / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / RB Leipzig 18%	4.50 5%	4.40
Draw / Hamburg 6%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
Draw / Draw 10%	8.50 6%	7.50 7%
Hamburg / RB Leipzig 5%	15.00 12%	15.00
Hamburg / Hamburg 9%	10.00 11%	8.50 6%
Hamburg / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00 15%

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	RB Leipzig Hamburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	6	6	0	0	22	18	Jan 17	l 6-0A	Jan 31	l 5-0A
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	8	14	Feb 21	d 1-1F	Nov 8	Mar 21
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	0	13	-	-	Feb 28	Oct 18
4	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	2	12	Nov 1	Mar 14	Nov 30	Apr 11
5	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	4	11	Dec 20	May 2	Jan 14	May 16
6	Köln	6	3	1	2	2	10	w 3-1F	Feb 7	Mar 14	Nov 2
7	E.Frankfurt	6	3	0	3	1	9	Dec 6	Apr 18	Dec 20	May 2
8	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	0	8	Jan 14	May 16	May 9	Jan 10
9	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	-2	8	Oct 18	Feb 28	-	-
10	St. Pauli	6	2	1	3	-1	7	May 9	Jan 10	l 0-2A	Jan 24
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	-3	7	Mar 21	Nov 8	Apr 25	Dec 13
12	W.Bremen	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Nov 23	Apr 4	Dec 6	Apr 18
13	Union Berlin	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Apr 25	Dec 13	Feb 14	d 0-00-0
14	Augsburg	6	2	0	4	-2	6	Mar 7	Oct 25	Apr 4	Nov 22
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-2	5	Feb 14	w 0-1F	Oct 25	Mar 7
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-5	4	Jan 31	w 0-1F	w 4-0F	Feb 21
17	B. M'gladbach	6	0	3	3	-7	3	Apr 11	Nov 28	Jan 17	d 0-00-0
18	Heidenheim	6	1	0	5	-7	3	w 2-0F	Jan 24	w 2-1F	Feb 7

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

RB Leipzig have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

Hamburg have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Heidenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Stuttgart
RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Holstein
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Heidenheim
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	4 - 2	W.Bremen
RB Leipzig	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Freiburg
RB Leipzig	4 - 0	Augsburg
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin
RB Leipzig	1 - 0	VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig	1 - 1	W.Bremen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	Wolfsburg
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Köln
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 0	Mainz
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Heidenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 6	Bayern
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Stuttgart
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 4	E.Frankfurt
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Holstein
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 2	Wolfsburg
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Dortmund
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Freiburg
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Heidenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Augsburg
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
Bayern	5 - 0	Hamburg
B. M'gladbach	0 - 0	Hamburg
Greuther	3 - 2	Hamburg
Darmstadt	0 - 4	Hamburg
Schalke	2 - 2	Hamburg
Nurnberg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Magdeburg	0 - 3	Hamburg
Paderborn	2 - 0	Hamburg
Regensburg	1 - 1	Hamburg
Preussen Munster	1 - 2	Hamburg
H.Berlin	2 - 3	Hamburg
Ulm	1 - 1	Hamburg
Karlsruher	1 - 3	Hamburg
E. Braun	3 - 1	Hamburg
Elversberg	4 - 2	Hamburg
Dusseldorf	0 - 3	Hamburg
Kaiserslautern	2 - 2	Hamburg
Hannover	1 - 0	Hamburg
Köln	1 - 2	Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	Bayern
H	Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Greuther
H	Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
A	Hamburg	4 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
A	Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke
H	Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
A	Hamburg	3 - 0	Nurnberg
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
A	Hamburg	3 - 0	Magdeburg
H	Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
A	Hamburg	0 - 2	Paderborn
H	Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Regensburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Preussen Munster

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for RB Leipzig in their meeting with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 60 consecutive Bundesliga games.

RB Leipzig's defensive record is very strong, Ole Werner's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Hamburger SV makes sense in this context.

	RB Leipzig 3rd	Hamburg 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 8% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 24% There is a 71% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 RB Leipzig’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

59%

better

RBL

HSV

view stats

Games scored	3		1
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	6		2
Avg. goals scored	1		0.3
Avg. shots per game	8		5
Avg. shots per goal	8		16
Conversion rate for	13		6
Avg. XG for	2.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+59%

17%

better

RBL

HSV

view stats

Games conceded	2		3
Clean sheets	2		1
Conceded first	1		2
Goals conceded	7		8
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	21%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.9
KickOff rating		+17%

RB Leipzig v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	2
P Gulácsi	C Baumgartner	R Rômulo	R Baku

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Gulácsi GLK	6			-
R Baku DEF	6		1	2 -
D Raum DEF	6	1	1	1 -
C Lukeba DEF	6			-
W Orbán DEF	6			2 -
E Banzuzi MID	6		1	2 -
N Seiwald MID	6			-
C Baumgartner MID	6	2	1	1 -
A Ouédraogo MID	6	1	1	-
R Rômulo FWD	6	2	2	-
Y. Diomande FWD	6			1 -
J Bakayoko FWD	6	2		-
A Nusa FWD	5			-
C Harder FWD	4			-
K Kampl MID	3			-
X Schlager MID	3			-
K. Nedeljković DEF	2			-
A. Maksimović MID	2			-
T Werner FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	3
C Baumgartner	C Baumgartner	R Rômulo	R Baku

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Baumgartner MID	2	5	1
R Rômulo FWD	2	5	2	1
J Bakayoko FWD	2	5		1
D Raum DEF	1	1	1	2
A Ouédraogo MID	1	2	1	1
R Baku DEF		2	1	3
C Lukeba DEF		1
W Orbán DEF				1
E Banzuzi MID		2	1
Y. Diomande FWD		2
A Nusa FWD		1		1
C Harder FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
380	18	31
C Lukeba	R Baku	R Baku

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Lukeba DEF	380	8	26
R Baku DEF	340	18	31
D Raum DEF	316	14	23
W Orbán DEF	282	6	31
P Gulácsi GLK	215		1
N Seiwald MID	169	11	18
C Baumgartner MID	159	12	30
J Bakayoko FWD	146	4	20
Y. Diomande FWD	114	3	21
R Rômulo FWD	111	5	27
X Schlager MID	105	4	10
E Banzuzi MID	100	6	20
A Nusa FWD	77	6	24
A Ouédraogo MID	53	2	13
C Harder FWD	16	1	7
K Kampl MID	2
K. Nedeljković DEF	2
T Werner FWD	1

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	1	2
D Fernandes	R Philippe	N Remberg	M Muheim

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	6			1 -
M Muheim DEF	6			2 -
D Elfadli DEF	6			2 -
W Mikelbrencis DEF	6			-
N Remberg MID	6		1	2 -
R Philippe FWD	6	3		2 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	6		1	-
G Gocholeishvili DEF	5		1	1 1
W Omari DEF	5			-
N Capaldo MID	5		1	1 -
M Dompé FWD	5	1		-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	5			-
L. Vušković DEF	4	1		-
R Glatzel FWD	4			-
J Meffert MID	3			-
F Vieira MID	3		1	1 1
A Lokonga MID	3	1		-
F. Uri Baldé FWD	3			-
J Torunarigha DEF	2			-
Y Poulsen FWD	2			1 -
E Sahiti FWD	2			-
G Ramos DEF	1			-
A. Souhmahoro DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	2
R Philippe	R Philippe	N Remberg	F Vieira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Philippe FWD	3	8		1
M Dompé FWD	1	4
L. Vušković DEF	1	1
A Lokonga MID	1	1
M Muheim DEF		1		1
D Elfadli DEF		1
W Mikelbrencis DEF		2
N Remberg MID		1	1	1
R Königsdörffer FWD		5	1
G Gocholeishvili DEF		1	1	1
N Capaldo MID			1	1
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD		1		1
R Glatzel FWD		1
F Vieira MID		1	1	2
Y Poulsen FWD		1
G Ramos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
263	14	36
D Fernandes	N Remberg	N Remberg

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Fernandes GLK	263		1
D Elfadli DEF	252	8	24
L. Vušković DEF	234	1	36
W Omari DEF	234	3	10
N Remberg MID	231	14	36
M Muheim DEF	227	12	23
J Torunarigha DEF	140	4	15
G Gocholeishvili DEF	107	3	22
N Capaldo MID	95	6	21
F Vieira MID	92		7
R Königsdörffer FWD	74	1	19
M Dompé FWD	62		12
R Philippe FWD	54	11	21
J Meffert MID	44	4	5
A Lokonga MID	41	4	7
W Mikelbrencis DEF	35	2	4
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	33	6	11
E Sahiti FWD	31		5
Y Poulsen FWD	23	1	13
A. Souhmahoro DEF	19	1	1
R Glatzel FWD	16		6
G Ramos DEF	15		4
F. Uri Baldé FWD	7	2	4