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VfB Stuttgart v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 16:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Bo Henriksen pays counterpart Sebastian Hoeness a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart teams go head to head at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Bundesliga stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Bundesliga clash, with Stuttgart and Mainz going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stuttgart 54%	7/10 15%	4/5
Draw 22%	3/1 18%	3/1
Mainz 24%	7/2 15%	29/10
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1 23%	13/2
Stuttgart 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Stuttgart 1-0 8%	9/1 25%	8/1
Stuttgart 2-0 8%	9/1 5%	17/2
Stuttgart 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Mainz 2-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Stuttgart 3-0 5%	14/1 12%	12/1
Mainz 1-0 5%	14/1 25%	12/1
Stuttgart 3-2 4%	20/1 19%	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1 55%	12/1
Stuttgart 4-1 3%	22/1 32%	18/1
Mainz 2-0 3%	22/1 10%	18/1
Mainz 3-1 3%	28/1	22/1
Mainz 3-2 3%	28/1 15%	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	4/7 18%	4/7
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	11/8 25%	13/10
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7 6%	3/5
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/8	29/20
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1 55%	12/1
BTTS - Yes 62%	4/7 8%	4/7
BTTS - No 38%	5/4 10%	13/10
BTTS - Home Win 30%	11/5 20%	21/10
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 10%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 14%	11/2 7%	5/1
Home/draw 76%	2/11 6%	1/4
Away/draw 46%	11/10 17%	19/20
Home/away 78%	2/9 6%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6 9%	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4/1 33%	7/2
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	6/4 22%	11/8
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	8/15 13%	8/15
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	10/3 28%	3/1
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/9 8%	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7/1 38%	13/2
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12 4%	1/14
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 2%	1/50
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 36%	12/1
Home DNB 69%	1/3 5%	4/11
Away DNB 39%	9/4 18%	19/10
Stuttgart win to nil 25%	5/2	-
Mainz win to nil 10%	8/1 29%	-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart 30%	7/4 14%	17/10
Stuttgart / Mainz 3%	28/1 15%	28/1
Stuttgart / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1
Draw / Stuttgart 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Mainz 9%	17/2 19%	8/1
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 18%	5/1
Mainz / Stuttgart 4%	18/1 17%	18/1
Mainz / Mainz 13%	11/2 8%	5/1
Mainz / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stuttgart Mainz
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	6	6	0	0	22	18	Dec 6	Apr 18	Apr 25	Dec 13
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	8	14	Apr 4	Nov 22	l 0-2A	Feb 14
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	0	13	Mar 14	Nov 1	l 0-1A	Jan 31
4	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	2	12	-	-	Mar 7	Oct 26
5	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	4	11	May 9	Jan 10	Oct 18	Feb 28
6	Köln	6	3	1	2	2	10	Feb 14	w 1-2A	l 0-1A	Jan 17
7	E.Frankfurt	6	3	0	3	1	9	Jan 14	May 16	Mar 21	Nov 9
8	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	0	8	Jan 31	l 3-1F	Apr 11	Nov 30
9	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	-2	8	Apr 11	Nov 30	Feb 21	l 4-0A
10	St. Pauli	6	2	1	3	-1	7	w 2-0F	Feb 7	Dec 20	May 2
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	-3	7	Dec 20	May 2	Nov 21	Apr 4
12	W.Bremen	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Apr 25	Dec 13	Nov 1	Mar 14
13	Union Berlin	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Jan 17	l 2-1A	May 9	Jan 10
14	Augsburg	6	2	0	4	-2	6	Nov 9	Mar 21	Feb 7	w 1-4F
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-2	5	Feb 28	Oct 18	Jan 24	d 1-1A
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-5	4	Oct 26	Mar 7	-	-
17	B. M'gladbach	6	0	3	3	-7	3	w 1-0F	Jan 24	Dec 6	Apr 18
18	Heidenheim	6	1	0	5	-7	3	w 1-0F	Feb 21	Jan 14	May 16

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Stuttgart have won 4 consecutive home league games

Stuttgart have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart	1 - 0	Heidenheim
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Augsburg
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Stuttgart	1 - 2	W.Bremen
Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
Stuttgart	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
Stuttgart	1 - 2	B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart	4 - 0	Freiburg
Stuttgart	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Stuttgart	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	3 - 2	Union Berlin
Stuttgart	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Stuttgart	2 - 3	E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart	2 - 1	Holstein
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	Heidenheim
A	Stuttgart	2 - 1	Köln
H	Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Stuttgart	1 - 3	Freiburg
H	Stuttgart	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Stuttgart	1 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Stuttgart	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Stuttgart	4 - 0	Augsburg
A	Stuttgart	1 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Stuttgart	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Stuttgart	4 - 4	Union Berlin
H	Stuttgart	1 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Stuttgart	4 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Stuttgart	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
A	Stuttgart	2 - 2	Holstein
H	Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Stuttgart	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Stuttgart	2 - 1	Dortmund

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Augsburg	1 - 4	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Mainz
VfL Bochum	1 - 4	Mainz
Bayern	3 - 0	Mainz
Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Mainz
Dortmund	3 - 1	Mainz
B. M'gladbach	1 - 3	Mainz
RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Mainz
W.Bremen	1 - 0	Mainz
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Mainz
Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
E.Frankfurt	1 - 3	Mainz
Wolfsburg	4 - 3	Mainz
Holstein	0 - 3	Mainz
Freiburg	0 - 0	Mainz
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz
Augsburg	2 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	3 - 3	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mainz	0 - 4	Hamburg
H	Mainz	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Mainz	4 - 1	Augsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
A	Mainz	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stuttgart

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 11

8 / 11

Clean sheets

3 / 11

0 / 11

VFB

M05

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Stuttgart	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stuttgart	2 - 1
Stuttgart	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Mainz
Stuttgart	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Mainz
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Mainz

Stuttgart

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 11

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

2 / 11

VFB

M05

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Stuttgart
	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Mainz	1 - 0
Mainz	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	3 - 2
Mainz	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for VfB Stuttgart in their meeting with 1. FSV Mainz 05, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

	Stuttgart 4th	Mainz 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Stuttgart will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Stuttgart’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+17 Mainz have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

VFB

M05

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

VFB

M05

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Stuttgart v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	3	2
A Nübel	E Demirovic	J Leweling	J Leweling

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Nübel GLK	6			-
M Mittelstädt DEF	6		1	1 -
R Hendriks DEF	6			-
A Stiller MID	6		1	-
A Karazor MID	6			-
T Tomás FWD	6	1		-
J Leweling FWD	6		3	2 -
E Demirovic FWD	6	3	1	1 -
J Chabot DEF	5			-
C Führich FWD	5		1	-
L Assignon DEF	4			-
J Vagnoman DEF	4	1		1 -
B Khannouss MID	4	2		2 -
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	4	1		-
N Nartey MID	4			-
B Bouanani FWD	4			1 -
F. Jeltsch DEF	3			-
L Jaquez DEF	3			1 -
A Al-Dakhil DEF	2			-
L. Jovanović FWD	2			-
D Undav FWD	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	3	3
E Demirovic	T Tomás	J Leweling	J Leweling

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Demirovic FWD	3	4	1
B Khannouss MID	2	3		1
T Tomás FWD	1	4		1
J Vagnoman DEF	1	4
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	1	1
M Mittelstädt DEF		1	1	1
A Stiller MID		2	1	2
A Karazor MID		1
J Leweling FWD		3	3	3
J Chabot DEF		3
C Führich FWD		2	1	1
L Assignon DEF		3		1
B Bouanani FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
403	10	44
J Chabot	M Mittelstädt	J Chabot

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Chabot DEF	403	5	44
A Stiller MID	395	6	23
M Mittelstädt DEF	315	10	22
L Jaquez DEF	236	4	11
A Karazor MID	225	6	22
A Nübel GLK	206
B Khannouss MID	196	7	15
F. Jeltsch DEF	192	6	13
J Leweling FWD	150	1	21
R Hendriks DEF	139	3	11
J Vagnoman DEF	138	6	14
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	131	7	18
C Führich FWD	104	2	4
T Tomás FWD	90	3	20
E Demirovic FWD	71	2	15
L Assignon DEF	69	5	11
B Bouanani FWD	55	2	5
D Undav FWD	41	2	5
A Al-Dakhil DEF	27		2
N Nartey MID	20	3	5
L. Jovanović FWD	10		3

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	3
P Mwene	N Amiri	A Hanche-Olsen	D Kohr

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Mwene DEF	6			-
D Hoof DEF	6			1 -
D Costa DEF	6			1 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	6		1	1 -
N Amiri MID	6	1		2 -
K Sano MID	6	1	1	-
A Sieb FWD	6	1		1 -
N Weiper FWD	6			-
R Zentner GLK	5			1 1
D Kohr DEF	5	1		2 1
A Nordin FWD	5			-
A Caci DEF	4			1 -
S Widmer DEF	4			-
N Veratschnig DEF	4			-
P Nebel MID	4	1		1 1
J Lee MID	4			1 -
L Maloney MID	3			-
L Rieß GLK	2			-
M Leitsch DEF	2			-
B Hollerbach FWD	2			-
S Kawasaki MID	1			-
W Bøving FWD	1			-
B Bobzien FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
N Amiri	N Amiri	A Hanche-Olsen	P Mwene

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Amiri MID	1	3		1
K Sano MID	1	2	1	1
A Sieb FWD	1	2		1
D Kohr DEF	1	2
P Nebel MID	1	1
P Mwene DEF				1
D Hoof DEF				1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF		2	1	1
N Weiper FWD		2
A Nordin FWD		1
J Lee MID		2		1
B Hollerbach FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
326	9	38
N Amiri	N Amiri	D Kohr

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Amiri MID	326	9	27
D Costa DEF	314	4	23
K Sano MID	232	7	33
D Kohr DEF	208	8	38
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	199	5	37
A Caci DEF	165	5	16
R Zentner GLK	162		5
P Nebel MID	149	3	17
P Mwene DEF	117	4	16
A Nordin FWD	114	6	20
J Lee MID	100	5	20
D Hoof DEF	93	4	21
N Weiper FWD	62		19
A Sieb FWD	55		8
S Widmer DEF	53	8	14
L Rieß GLK	36
N Veratschnig DEF	32	1	7
L Maloney MID	21	2	4
M Leitsch DEF	20	2	5
W Bøving FWD	18
B Hollerbach FWD	14		3
B Bobzien FWD	10	2	2
S Kawasaki MID	5	1	2