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SV Werder Bremen v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Weser-Stadion, Bremen

the Weser-Stadion crowd welcome Hamburger SV's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Daniel Thioune's SV Werder Bremen take on Merlin Polzin's team in the Bundesliga. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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SV Werder Bremen's next match is v Stuttgart at 14:30 on Sunday 26th April
Hamburger SV's next match is v Hoffenheim at 17:30 on Saturday 25th April
The last German Bundesliga meeting between W.Bremen and Hamburg was on Saturday 18th April 2026
German Bundesliga
April 18th 2026
W.Bremen 3
1 Hamburg
 
J. Stage 37'41' R. Glatzel
J. Stage 57'
C. Puertas 90'
 
SVW
HSV
Shots On
10
3
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
4/0
3/1
 
W.BremenHamburg
 
M. Backhaus
O. Deman
Y. Sugawara
A. Pieper
A. Coulibaly
J. Stagefootball iconfootball icon (L. Bittencourt 67')
S. Lynen
R. Schmid
J. Njinmah (N. Stark 89')
J. Milošević (M. Grüll 60')
C. Puertasfootball icon
D. Heuer Fernandes
W. Mikelbrencis
W. Omari
F. Ferreira Vieira
N. Remberg
(P. Otele 66') A. Erlykke
(D. Downs 83') N. Capaldo
football iconR. Glatzel
(O. Emerson Stange 75') R. Königsdörffer
J. Torunarigha
(B. Jatta 75') M. Muheim

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think W.Bremen and Hamburg will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Daniel Thioune or Merlin Polzin has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think W.Bremen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
44%
3/4
13%
1/1000
10%
Draw
24%
11/4
7%
100/1
6%
Hamburg
32%
7/2
36%
750/1
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/15/2
8%
W.Bremen 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
2/7
6%
W.Bremen 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
19/4
6%
Hamburg 2-1
8%
14/1
25%
5/1
Hamburg 1-0
7%
14/1
25%
15/2
9%
W.Bremen 2-0
7%
8/1
18%
17/4
11%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/15/1
W.Bremen 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
19/5
Hamburg 2-0
5%
22/1
21%
14/1
13%
W.Bremen 3-0
4%
14/1
21%
13/2
20%
Hamburg 3-1
3%
33/1
31%
14/1
21%
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
33/1
Hamburg 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
90/1
10%
Hamburg 3-0
2%
50/1
50%
33/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/112/7
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/105/2
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/7
9%
7/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/4
14%
7/4
9%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/15/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/6
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - No
41%
11/10
5%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
12/5
9%
1/40
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
10/1
10%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
7/1
33%
66/1
18%
Home/draw
68%
2/11
11%
1/200
6%
Away/draw
56%
1/1
11%
80/1
8%
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
1/1000
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/91/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/319/4
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/412/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/92/7
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/110/3
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/61/5
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/9
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/15/1
Home DNB
61%
3/10
13%
1/300
9%
Away DNB
49%
12/5
36%
66/1
20%
W.Bremen win to nil
21%
9/4
19%
-
Hamburg win to nil
15%
8/1
38%
-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
29%
7/4
15%
1/3
7%
W.Bremen / Hamburg
3%
33/1
17%
11/1
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
12/117/4
8%
Draw / W.Bremen
16%
15/4
14%
16/1
13%
Draw / Hamburg
9%
17/2
27%
22/1
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/116/1
Hamburg / W.Bremen
4%
20/190/1
Hamburg / Hamburg
13%
6/1
27%
60/1
14%
Hamburg / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 3. W.Bremen have conceded 47 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

W.Bremen have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Hamburg lay in 13th place on 31 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hamburg have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Hamburg have played 14 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3025418079 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund3019743064 
May 16
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
3
RB Leipzig3018572259 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
4
Stuttgart3017582056 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
Hoffenheim3016681554 
l
 
0-2A
May 9
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
6
Leverkusen3015781952 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 16
7
Freiburg3012711-443 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
May 10
l
 
2-1F
8
E.Frankfurt3011910-242 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 2
9
Augsburg3010614-1636 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
10
Mainz3081012-934 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Union Berlin308814-1832 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Köln3071013-731 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
13
B. M'gladbach3071013-1431 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
14
Hamburg3071013-1531 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2F
-
-
15
W.Bremen308715-1831 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
l
 
3-1A
16
St. Pauli306816-2526 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Wolfsburg306618-2524 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Heidenheim304719-3319 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
W.Bremen 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Hamburg 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
SVW
4
HSV
2
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
14
12
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
SVW
2
D
2
HSV
4
Goal Statistics

SV Werder Bremen's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Hamburger SV have conceded in each of their last 9 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.6 for D. Thioune's side suggests that run should continue.

W.Bremen 15th Hamburg 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-33
W.Bremen have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
SVW
HSV
5%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score11
10
Scored first8
10
Goals scored32
32
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SVW
HSV
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
23
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first20
15
Goals conceded52
45
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+9%

W.Bremen v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30988
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidN Stark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Backhaus GLK28
-
Y Sugawara DEF285
2
-
A Pieper DEF15
4
-
A. Coulibaly DEF241
4
1
O Deman DEF1211
3
-
J Njinmah MID295
1
-
J Stage MID2592
5
-
S Lynen MID27
4
-
C Puertas MID2412
5
-
R Schmid MID3038
4
-
J Milosevic FWD1131
1
-
Subs
M Kolke GLK
-
N Stark DEF13
6
2
I Schmidt DEF171
2
-
M Wöber DEF
-
L Bittencourt MID161
5
-
P. Čović MID141
1
-
S. Mbangula FWD2232
-
M Grüll FWD3031
5
-
S. Musah FWD41
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
305510
D FernandesF VieiraF VieiraN Remberg
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK30
3
-
N Capaldo  DEF2212
7
-
J Torunarigha DEF21
2
-
W Omari DEF16
-
W Mikelbrencis MID244
3
-
A Grönbaek MID3
-
N Remberg MID281
10
-
M Muheim MID284
7
1
F Vieira FWD2555
3
2
R Glatzel FWD1722
-
R Königsdörffer FWD3052
2
-
Subs
S Tangvik GLK
-
S. Nandja DEF
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF222
2
1
D Elfadli MID20
5
1
B Jatta MID121
1
-
R Philippe FWD255
2
-
D Downs FWD10
-
P Otele FWD911
3
1
O. Emerson Stange FWD7
-