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VfL Wolfsburg v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th Jan, 17:30 BST, Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Home advantage makes a difference in the Bundesliga, and Paul Simonis’s VfL Wolfsburg will have the luxury of it on Wednesday evening. Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli are their visitors to the Volkswagen Arena. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Wolfsburg or St. Pauli are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Wolfsburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Wolfsburg 42%	17/20 3%	-
Draw 24%	27/10	-
St. Pauli 33%	29/10 5%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Wolfsburg 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Wolfsburg 1-0 8%	7/1 11%	-
St. Pauli 2-1 8%	12/1	-
St. Pauli 1-0 7%	11/1	-
Wolfsburg 2-0 6%	17/2 5%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1 8%	-
St. Pauli 2-0 5%	20/1	-
Wolfsburg 3-1 5%	14/1	-
St. Pauli 3-1 4%	28/1	-
Wolfsburg 3-0 3%	14/1 12%	-
Wolfsburg 3-2 3%	22/1	-
St. Pauli 3-2 3%	33/1	-
St. Pauli 3-0 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	4/5 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	1/1 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/13 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/8 4%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	7/10 5%	-
BTTS - No 40%	21/20 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	11/4 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	6/1 15%	-
Home/draw 67%	2/9 2%	-
Away/draw 58%	10/11 4%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1/4 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	3/1 8%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	2/1 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	2/5 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	9/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1 8%	-
Home DNB 59%	2/5 3%	-
Away DNB 50%	7/4 9%	-
Wolfsburg win to nil 20%	12/5 9%	-
St. Pauli win to nil 15%	6/1 14%	-
Wolfsburg / Wolfsburg 28%	2/1	-
Wolfsburg / St. Pauli 2%	33/1 17%	-
Wolfsburg / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Wolfsburg 17%	4/1	-
Draw / St. Pauli 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
St. Pauli / Wolfsburg 4%	20/1	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 13%	11/2 8%	-
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Wolfsburg have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Wolfsburg have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Wolfsburg have played 8 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 16th position in the Bundesliga on 12 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 25 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Wolfsburg St. Pauli
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	15	13	2	0	44	41	May 9	Jan 11	Apr 11	l 3-1F
2	Dortmund	15	9	5	1	14	32	Feb 7	l 1-0A	d 3-3A	Jan 17
3	Leverkusen	15	9	2	4	13	29	l 1-3A	Apr 4	l 1-2A	Feb 14
4	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	11	29	l 0-1A	Feb 15	Jan 10	May 9
5	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	9	27	l 2-3F	Mar 14	l 0-3A	Feb 28
6	Stuttgart	15	8	2	5	3	26	l 0-3A	Mar 1	Feb 7	l 2-0A
7	E.Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	0	25	Apr 11	d 1-1F	Mar 7	l 2-0A
8	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	-3	21	w 3-1F	Apr 18	l 0-1A	Apr 4
9	Freiburg	15	5	5	5	-1	20	l 3-4A	May 2	Mar 21	l 2-1A
10	W.Bremen	15	4	5	6	-10	17	Mar 21	l 2-1F	Feb 22	l 1-0A
11	Köln	15	4	4	7	-2	16	d 3-3A	Jan 30	Apr 18	d 1-1A
12	B. M'gladbach	15	4	4	7	-6	16	Apr 25	w 1-3F	l 0-4A	Mar 14
13	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16	Mar 7	w 0-1F	Jan 23	w 0-2F
14	Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	-5	15	-	-	May 16	Jan 14
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	-11	14	Feb 21	l 3-1A	w 2-1A	Jan 31
16	St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	-13	12	Jan 14	May 16	-	-
17	Heidenheim	15	3	2	10	-21	11	Jan 17	w 1-3F	w 2-1F	Apr 25
18	Mainz	15	1	5	9	-13	8	d 1-1F	Jan 24	May 2	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

St. Pauli have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg	3 - 4	Freiburg
Wolfsburg	3 - 1	Union Berlin
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	2 - 3	Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg	0 - 3	Stuttgart
Wolfsburg	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg	3 - 3	Köln
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Mainz
Wolfsburg	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Freiburg
Wolfsburg	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	2 - 2	Holstein
Wolfsburg	5 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	4 - 3	Mainz
Wolfsburg	1 - 0	Union Berlin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Wolfsburg	3 - 4	Freiburg
A	Wolfsburg	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Wolfsburg	3 - 1	Union Berlin
A	Wolfsburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Leverkusen
A	Wolfsburg	1 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Wolfsburg	2 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	Wolfsburg	1 - 0	Hamburg
H	Wolfsburg	0 - 3	Stuttgart
A	Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Augsburg
H	Wolfsburg	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Dortmund
H	Wolfsburg	3 - 3	Köln
H	Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Mainz
A	Wolfsburg	3 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Wolfsburg	1 - 0	B. M'gladbach
H	Wolfsburg	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Wolfsburg	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Wolfsburg	2 - 2	Mainz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
Freiburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Holstein	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Heidenheim	0 - 2	St. Pauli
VfL Bochum	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	0 - 1	St. Pauli
Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach	2 - 0	St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
A	St. Pauli	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen

Goal Statistics

VfL Wolfsburg have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against FC St. Pauli on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Wolfsburg 14th	St. Pauli 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Wolfsburg will score 1 or more goals	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Wolfsburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-33 St. Pauli have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

39%

better

WOB

STP

view stats

Games scored	12		8
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	8		3
Goals scored	23		13
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		12
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+39%

WOB

STP

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		13
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	7		11
Goals conceded	28		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	17%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.6
KickOff rating		+2%

Wolfsburg v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	4	4
K Grabara	M Amoura	S Kumbedi	M Arnold

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Grabara GLK	15			1 -
K Koulierakis DEF	14			3 -
M Svanberg MID	14	2	1	2 1
M Arnold MID	14	1	3	4 -
M Amoura FWD	14	6	2	2 -
L Majer MID	13	2	2	3 -
D Pejčinović FWD	13	3		1 -
A Zehnter DEF	12	2		-
C Eriksen MID	12		3	1 -
V Souza MID	12			1 -
P Wimmer FWD	12	3	3	3 -
J Seelt DEF	9			-
S Kumbedi DEF	9		4	1 -
A Daghim FWD	9	2		-
M Jenz DEF	8			3 -
A Olsen FWD	8	1		1 -
J Wind FWD	8			1 -
K Fischer DEF	7			-
J Maehle DEF	7		1	-
Y Gerhardt MID	6			-
D Vavro DEF	4	1		1 -
J Lindström FWD	2			-
B. Dárdai MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	4	7
M Amoura	M Amoura	S Kumbedi	M Arnold

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Amoura FWD	6	11	2	6
D Pejčinović FWD	3	7
P Wimmer FWD	3	6	3	2
M Svanberg MID	2	6	1	1
L Majer MID	2	5	2	1
A Zehnter DEF	2	3		1
A Daghim FWD	2	3
M Arnold MID	1	4	3	7
A Olsen FWD	1	2		1
D Vavro DEF	1	2
K Koulierakis DEF		6		1
C Eriksen MID		4	3	3
V Souza MID		1
S Kumbedi DEF			4	3
J Wind FWD		3
K Fischer DEF				1
J Maehle DEF		1	1	3
J Lindström FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
721	25	61
K Koulierakis	V Souza	P Wimmer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Koulierakis DEF	721	15	51
M Arnold MID	649	15	42
K Grabara GLK	563		10
A Zehnter DEF	395	11	20
J Seelt DEF	379	13	44
C Eriksen MID	375	10	19
M Jenz DEF	364	13	32
L Majer MID	294	14	35
K Fischer DEF	291	12	26
S Kumbedi DEF	287	13	31
V Souza MID	285	25	58
P Wimmer FWD	226	19	61
M Amoura FWD	216	21	46
J Maehle DEF	190	13	18
Y Gerhardt MID	181	7	14
A Daghim FWD	167	11	31
M Svanberg MID	146	6	27
A Olsen FWD	126	2	12
J Wind FWD	99		20
D Pejčinović FWD	97	2	28
D Vavro DEF	45	1	6
J Lindström FWD	10		2
B. Dárdai MID	8	1	1

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	3
N Vasilj	A Hountondji	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	15			-
L. Oppie DEF	15	1		-
J Fujita MID	15		3	3 -
M Lage FWD	15		2	2 -
H Wahl DEF	14	1		-
E Smith DEF	14	1		2 1
J Sands MID	14			3 -
C Metcalfe MID	14		1	-
D Sinani MID	14	2	2	2 -
A Pyrka DEF	12			3 -
M Kaars FWD	12	2		-
A Hountondji FWD	12	4		1 -
A. Ceesay FWD	10			2 -
A Dzwigala DEF	9	1		3 -
K Mets DEF	9			1 -
M Saliakas DEF	8		1	2 -
L Ritzka DEF	8			-
J Irvine MID	8			-
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -
R Jade-Jones FWD	3	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	3	3
A Hountondji	M Lage	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Hountondji FWD	4	7
D Sinani MID	2	6	2	3
M Kaars FWD	2	5
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		2
H Wahl DEF	1	3
E Smith DEF	1	3
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1
R Jade-Jones FWD	1	1
J Fujita MID		1	3	3
M Lage FWD		10	2	3
J Sands MID		3		1
C Metcalfe MID		2	1	2
A Pyrka DEF		1		2
A. Ceesay FWD		1
M Saliakas DEF		2	1
J Irvine MID		1		1
O Afolayan FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
854	31	94
E Smith	J Sands	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Smith DEF	854	19	54
H Wahl DEF	843	20	54
J Fujita MID	666	30	59
J Sands MID	528	31	94
L. Oppie DEF	501	20	39
N Vasilj GLK	495	1	6
D Sinani MID	472	12	35
K Mets DEF	456	10	28
A Pyrka DEF	356	13	29
A Dzwigala DEF	314	23	38
M Lage FWD	293	22	67
M Saliakas DEF	288	13	23
J Irvine MID	171	8	35
M Kaars FWD	159	1	13
L Ritzka DEF	159	11	19
C Metcalfe MID	121	9	17
A Hountondji FWD	91	6	23
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
A. Ceesay FWD	37	1	16
R Jade-Jones FWD	11		6