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Milan v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Massimiliano Allegri’s Milan will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce are their opponents at the Giuseppe Meazza. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Milan's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Sunday 25th January
Lecce's next match is v Lazio at 19:45 on Saturday 24th January
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Lecce was on Sunday 18th January 2026
Italian Serie A
January 18th 2026
Milan 1
0 Lecce
 
N. Füllkrug 76'
 
ACM
LEC
Shots On
6
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
10
2
Possession
69%
31%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
MilanLecce
 
K. De Winter
S. Ricci (R. Loftus-Cheek 73')
A. Rabiot
R. Conceição Leão (C. Nkunku 87')
C. Pulisic (N. Füllkrug 73')
M. Maignan
P. Estupiñán Tenorio
F. Tomori
M. Gabbia
A. Jasari (L. Modrić 87')
A. Saelemaekers (Z. Athekame 80')
C. Ndaba
J. Siebert
O. Gandelman
(J. Morente Oliva 69') N. Štulić
(Y. Maleh 85') Y. Ramadani
W. Falcone
(K. Jocelyn N’dri 84') A. Gallo
T. Coelho Oliveira
L. Coulibaly
(L. Banda 54') R. Sottil
S. Pierotti

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Milan to win

We are predicting Milan will claim victory after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Giuseppe Meazza.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
62%
2/71/1000
Draw
23%
17/440/1
Lecce
15%
11/1750/1
Milan 1-0
15%
9/22/9
Milan 2-0
13%
9/217/4
Draw 1-1
11%
9/114/1
Milan 2-1
9%
8/140/1
Draw 0-0
9%
10/11/1
Milan 3-0
8%
13/228/1
Lecce 1-0
6%
20/112/1
Milan 3-1
5%
12/1125/1
Lecce 2-1
4%
28/1125/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1150/1
Milan 4-0
3%
12/1125/1
Milan 4-1
2%
20/1200/1
Lecce 2-0
2%
50/166/1
Milan 3-2
2%
33/1150/1
Milan 5-0
1%
25/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
10/1118/1
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
10/111/1000
Home 1st Goal
58%
3/101/1
Away 1st Goal
36%
3/117/2
No 1st Goal
6%
10/11/1
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/411/1
BTTS - No
58%
1/21/40
BTTS - Home Win
22%
11/433/1
BTTS - Draw
15%
13/212/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
22/190/1
Home/draw
85%
1/201/1000
Away/draw
38%
5/212/1
Home/away
77%
1/61/66
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/1014/5
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
5/22/9
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/570/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/31/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
5/190/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/203/4
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/11/1
Home DNB
78%
1/141/1000
Away DNB
31%
8/180/1
Milan win to nil
40%
5/6-
Lecce win to nil
9%
14/1-
Milan / Milan
44%
10/1111/2
Milan / Lecce
2%
50/166/1
Milan / Draw
4%
18/128/1
Draw / Milan
21%
13/517/20
Draw / Lecce
4%
20/18/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/123/10
Lecce / Milan
4%
22/133/1
Lecce / Lecce
4%
18/128/1
Lecce / Draw
4%
22/133/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 7 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Milan have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Lecce are in 17th position in the Serie A on 17 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Lecce have conceded 28 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2116142749 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Milan2113711846 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2113441443 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
4
Roma2114071442 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
5
Juventus2111641539 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
1-1F
6
Como 19072110741537 
Feb 8
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
7
Atalanta21885632 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 4
l
 
4-1A
8
Bologna21867630 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
9
Lazio21777228 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Jan 24
l
 
2-0A
10
Udinese21759-1126 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
l
 
3-2A
11
Torino216510-1323 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
12
Parma21588-823 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Cremonese21588-823 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
14
Sassuolo216510-523 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
15
Cagliari21579-822 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
16
Genoa21489-720 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
17
Lecce214512-1617 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
18
Fiorentina213810-917 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
19
Pisa211119-1514 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
May 3
20
Verona212811-1714 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
3
Lecce have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Lecce have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 1Genoa
Milan3 - 0Verona
Milan2 - 2Sassuolo
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan1 - 1Inter
Milan3 - 2Parma
Milan1 - 1Cagliari
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
Lecce 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Inter1 - 0Lecce
Juventus1 - 1Lecce
Cremonese2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Udinese3 - 2Lecce
Parma0 - 1Lecce
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Genoa0 - 0Lecce
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Verona1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Juventus2 - 1Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Como 19072 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALecce0 - 1Inter
HLecce1 - 2Parma
HLecce0 - 2Roma
ALecce1 - 1Juventus
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
HLecce1 - 0Pisa
ALecce0 - 2Cremonese
HLecce2 - 1Torino
ALecce0 - 2Lazio
HLecce0 - 0Verona
ALecce1 - 0Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Napoli
ALecce2 - 3Udinese
HLecce0 - 0Sassuolo
ALecce1 - 0Parma
HLecce2 - 2Bologna
HLecce1 - 2Cagliari
ALecce1 - 4Atalanta
HLecce0 - 2Milan
ALecce0 - 0Genoa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Milan have beaten Lecce in 4 consecutive league meetings
9
Milan have not lost to Lecce in 9 consecutive league meetings
3
Milan have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Lecce
League games at Milan since 2019
Milan
Lecce
Goals: Scored
10
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
ACM
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 0
Milan3 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Milan
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
ACM
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 2Milan
2 - 3Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Milan
Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Lecce on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Lecce fans, as should a 7 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Milan 2nd Lecce 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Lecce’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
48%
better
ACM
LEC
view stats
Games scored19
10
Failed to score1
10
Scored first12
8
Goals scored33
13
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
28%
better
ACM
LEC
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded16
28
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Milan v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21834
A SaelemaekersC PulisicA SaelemaekersF Tomori
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK20
2
-
F Tomori DEF182
4
-
M Gabbia DEF20
3
-
K Winter DEF13
1
-
A Saelemaekers MID2123
2
-
S Ricci MID1712
1
-
A Jashari MID5
-
A Rabiot MID1433
2
-
P Estupiñán MID111
2
1
C Pulisic FWD1582
-
R Leão FWD1572
1
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK2
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
Z. Athekame DEF121
2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1821
2
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF162
1
-
L Modric MID2012
2
-
Y Fofana MID1812
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID1911
1
-
N Füllkrug FWD51
-
C Nkunku  FWD1542
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21226
W FalconeL Coulibaly L BandaY Ramadani
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK21
2
-
C Ndaba DEF8
-
J Siebert DEF4
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF211
1
-
A Gallo DEF211
2
-
O Gendelman MID3
-
Y Ramadani MID20
6
-
L Coulibaly  MID172
2
-
R Sottil  FWD1511
1
-
N Stulic FWD202
1
-
S Pierotti FWD20
1
-
Subs
C Früchtl GLK
-
J Samooja GLK
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-
G Jean DEF
-
C. Kouassi Bathele DEF4
-
Álex Sala MID61
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID6
-
L Banda MID1622
4
1
F Marchwiński MID
-
M Kaba MID15
1
-
O Ngom MID
-
Y Maleh MID9
2
-
S Fofana MID
-
T Morente FWD151
2
-
K N’Dri FWD152
2
-