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Lazio v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim pays counterpart Ivan Gennaro Gattuso a visit on Saturday evening in the Serie A, as their Milan and Lazio charges face each other at the Stadio Olimpico. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Lazio's next match is v Venezia at 19:45 on Saturday 19th September
Milan's next match is v Benfica at 20:00 on Wednesday 16th September
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Lazio and Milan was on Saturday 12th September 2026
Italian Serie A
September 12th 2026
Lazio 2
2 Milan
 
M. Cancellieri 10'65' D. da Silva Moreira
T. Noslin 39'67' D. da Silva Moreira
 
LAZ
ACM
Shots On
6
7
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
2
5
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
15
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LazioMilan
 
O. Nielsen
R. Floriani (M. Lazzari 84')
M. Zaccagni
N. Varela Tavares
D. Frattesi
R. Belahyane
K. Taylor (A. Gudmundsson 74')
C. Mandas
J. Šutalo (D. Monteiro Pinto Leite 84')
T. Noslinfootball icon (A. Pinamonti 58')
M. Cancellierifootball icon (G. Isaksen 58')
M. Maignan
(D. da Silva Moreira 46') P. Estupiñán Tenorio
K. De Winter
(C. Pulisic 46') R. Loftus-Cheek
A. Rabiot
(Y. Musah 46') L. Modrić
(F. Camarda 85') G. Ramos
S. Chukwueze
S. Pavlović
M. Fuentes
(O. Giraud-Hutchinson 77') A. Cisse

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Lazio and Milan have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
27%
29/10
8%
-
Draw
26%
11/5-
Milan
47%
21/20
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Milan 1-0
12%
11/2-
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1-
Milan 2-0
9%
8/1-
Lazio 1-0
9%
9/1
5%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1-
Lazio 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
-
Lazio 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Milan 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
-
Milan 3-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Milan 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Lazio 3-1
2%
33/1-
Lazio 3-2
2%
40/1-
Milan 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/5
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
5%
-
Home/draw
53%
8/11
2%
-
Away/draw
73%
1/4
3%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/5
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Home DNB
46%
13/8-
Away DNB
65%
4/9-
Lazio win to nil
15%
11/2
8%
-
Milan win to nil
27%
12/5-
Lazio / Lazio
14%
5/1-
Lazio / Milan
3%
25/1-
Lazio / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Lazio
11%
7/1
7%
-
Draw / Milan
16%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Milan / Lazio
2%
33/1-
Milan / Milan
24%
9/4
4%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio4310310 
-
-
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Roma330099 
Dec 13
Apr 18
May 16
Jan 10
3
Inter330059 
Jan 6
May 23
Oct 31
Feb 14
4
Cagliari430129 
Nov 1
Feb 14
Mar 7
Nov 29
5
Milan422038 
d
 
2-2F
May 2
-
-
6
Como 1907321047 
Apr 25
Jan 10
Dec 20
Feb 28
7
Frosinone421137 
Mar 7
Dec 20
Nov 22
Jan 24
8
Juventus421127 
Mar 14
Oct 18
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
9
Sassuolo421117 
May 9
Oct 27
Mar 14
Oct 11
10
Napoli420216 
Feb 21
Nov 8
Apr 18
Dec 13
11
Atalanta420206 
Dec 6
Feb 7
Oct 18
Mar 21
12
Lecce4202-26 
Nov 21
Apr 4
Sep 20
Apr 25
13
Udinese311104 
May 16
w
 
1-2A
May 30
Oct 25
14
Torino3102-13 
Apr 11
Nov 29
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
15
Fiorentina4103-63 
May 30
Jan 3
Jan 6
Apr 11
16
Bologna4013-31 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
Oct 28
Feb 7
17
Parma3012-31 
Oct 24
Mar 21
Dec 6
May 9
18
Monza4013-51 
Oct 11
Jan 24
Apr 4
Jan 3
19
Genoa4013-61 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Feb 21
Nov 8
20
Venezia4004-70 
Jan 31
Sep 19
w
 
2-0F
May 23
Win / draw / win form
4
Lazio have won 4 consecutive league games
Lazio 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio1 - 0Genoa
Lazio2 - 1Pisa
Lazio0 - 3Inter
Lazio3 - 3Udinese
Lazio1 - 1Parma
Lazio1 - 0Milan
Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Lazio3 - 2Genoa
Lazio0 - 3Como 1907
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 0Cremonese
Lazio1 - 1Bologna
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Cagliari
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio3 - 3Torino
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Lazio4 - 0Verona
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALazio2 - 1Udinese
HLazio1 - 0Genoa
ALazio1 - 0Bologna
HLazio2 - 1Pisa
ALazio0 - 2Roma
HLazio0 - 3Inter
ALazio2 - 1Cremonese
HLazio3 - 3Udinese
ALazio2 - 0Napoli
ALazio0 - 1Fiorentina
HLazio1 - 1Parma
ALazio2 - 0Bologna
HLazio1 - 0Milan
HLazio2 - 1Sassuolo
ALazio0 - 2Torino
ALazio0 - 0Cagliari
HLazio0 - 2Atalanta
ALazio2 - 2Juventus
HLazio3 - 2Genoa
ALazio0 - 0Lecce
Milan 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus1 - 1Milan
Torino1 - 2Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Sassuolo2 - 0Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Napoli1 - 0Milan
Lazio1 - 0Milan
Cremonese0 - 2Milan
Pisa1 - 2Milan
Bologna0 - 3Milan
Roma1 - 1Milan
Como 19071 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan1 - 1Juventus
HMilan2 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 1Torino
HMilan1 - 2Cagliari
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
HMilan2 - 3Atalanta
AMilan0 - 2Sassuolo
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Milan
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
LAZ
5
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Lazio1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Milan
Lazio4 - 0
1 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 0
0 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Milan
Lazio3 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Lazio
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
0 / 12
LAZ
2
D
1
ACM
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Lazio
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan3 - 2
1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Lazio on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Lazio 1st Milan 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lazio will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2027 season
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.5
Attack rating
LAZ
ACM
15%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored4
5
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
21%
better
LAZ
ACM
view stats
Games conceded1
2
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
2
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded23
11
Conversion rate against4%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

Lazio v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
C MandasD FrattesiM ZaccagniM Zaccagni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Mandas GLK4
-
R Floriani DEF4
1
-
J Sutalo DEF1
-
O Provstgaard DEF4
1
-
N Tavares DEF41
-
D Frattesi MID43
-
R Belahyane MID3
1
-
K Taylor MID4
-
M Cancellieri FWD41
1
-
T Noslin FWD31
-
M Zaccagni FWD42
2
-
Subs
E. Motta GLK
-
D. Renzetti GLK
-
A Pedraza DEF3
-
R. Bordon DEF
-
A Przyborek MID
-
M Lazzari  MID2
-
D Cataldi MID
-
V. Farcomeni MID
-
A Pinamonti FWD3
-
G Isaksen FWD4
1
-
F. Serra FWD
-
A Gudmundsson FWD21
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4222
M Maignan A CissèS ChukwuezeS Pavlovic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK4
-
M Gila  DEF4
1
-
K Winter DEF4
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF4
2
-
S Chukwueze MID42
-
L Modric MID4
-
A Rabiot MID412
-
P Estupiñán MID4
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek FWD4
1
-
A Cissè FWD42
1
-
G Ramos FWD41
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
-
F Terracciano DEF1
-
M Gabbia DEF2
-
S. Bocoum DEF
-
F Tomori DEF
-
C Pulisic MID11
1
-
C. Comotto MID
-
A Jashari MID3
-
Y Musah MID4
-
A Saelemaekers FWD31
-
F. Camarda FWD1
-
O Hutchinson FWD1
-
D Moreira FWD22
-