Lazio's team badge Milan's team badge

Lazio v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

the Stadio Olimpico masses welcome Milan's supporters on Sunday evening, as Maurizio Sarri's Lazio clash with Massimiliano Allegri's side in the Serie A. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
24%
31/10
3%
29/10
Draw
25%
23/10
3%
23/10
Milan
51%
19/201/1
13%
Milan 1-0
12%
11/25/1
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
9%
Milan 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Milan 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
6%
13/2
15%
Lazio 1-0
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
13%
Lazio 2-1
6%
14/1
13%
10/1
9%
Milan 3-0
5%
16/112/1
12%
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1
12%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
15%
Lazio 2-0
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
15%
Milan 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Milan 4-0
2%
33/1
21%
25/1
15%
Milan 4-1
2%
40/125/1
15%
Lazio 3-1
2%
40/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
6/5
4%
11/10
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/6
3%
4/6
5%
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4
4%
8/5
5%
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6
4%
4/6
5%
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
6%
13/2
15%
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
50%
4/53/4
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
8/1
11%
13/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
7/2
6%
17/5
10%
Home/draw
49%
4/54/5
8%
Away/draw
76%
2/9
2%
1/4
4%
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/114/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/519/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/114/5
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/42/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
13%
13/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
1/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
12%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/100
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/121/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/113/2
7%
Home DNB
41%
2/1
12%
7/4
14%
Away DNB
69%
4/11
6%
2/5
6%
Lazio win to nil
13%
11/2
8%
-
Milan win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Lazio / Lazio
12%
6/1
14%
5/1
10%
Lazio / Milan
3%
25/120/1
Lazio / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Lazio
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Milan
17%
15/4
5%
19/5
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
5%
Milan / Lazio
3%
33/125/1
Milan / Milan
26%
21/10
5%
2/1
9%
Milan / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Lazio have conceded 18 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lazio have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 60 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 9 and losing 2 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Milan have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan2817922460 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Napoli2817561456 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
4
Roma2816391751 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
5
Como 19072814952551 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
6
Juventus2814862250 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
7
Atalanta28121061346 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
Bologna2811611339 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 3
10
Lazio289109037 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
11
Udinese2810612-836 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
12
Parma2881010-1234 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
13
Genoa287912-630 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
14
Cagliari287912-830 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
w
 
0-1F
15
Torino288614-2130 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
16
Lecce287615-1727 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
19
Verona283916-2718 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Milan have won 3 consecutive away league games
14
Milan have not lost in 14 consecutive away league games
Lazio 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Lazio3 - 2Genoa
Lazio0 - 3Como 1907
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 0Cremonese
Lazio1 - 1Bologna
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Cagliari
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio3 - 3Torino
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Lazio4 - 0Verona
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Lazio1 - 1Juventus
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Torino
Lazio1 - 1Udinese
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLazio2 - 1Sassuolo
ALazio0 - 2Torino
ALazio0 - 0Cagliari
HLazio0 - 2Atalanta
ALazio2 - 2Juventus
HLazio3 - 2Genoa
ALazio0 - 0Lecce
HLazio0 - 3Como 1907
ALazio1 - 0Verona
HLazio2 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio0 - 2Napoli
ALazio1 - 1Udinese
HLazio0 - 0Cremonese
ALazio1 - 0Parma
HLazio1 - 1Bologna
ALazio0 - 1Milan
HLazio2 - 0Lecce
ALazio0 - 2Inter
HLazio2 - 0Cagliari
ALazio0 - 0Pisa
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cremonese0 - 2Milan
Pisa1 - 2Milan
Bologna0 - 3Milan
Roma1 - 1Milan
Como 19071 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
LAZ
4
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Milan
Lazio4 - 0
1 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 0
0 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Milan
Lazio3 - 1
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Lazio
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
0 / 12
LAZ
2
D
1
ACM
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Lazio
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan3 - 2
1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Milan's defensive record is to be admired, M. Allegri's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Lazio makes sense in this context.

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Lazio have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.6 for M. Allegri's side suggests that run should continue.

Lazio 10th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Lazio scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+31
Milan have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1
1.6
Attack rating
LAZ
ACM
37%
better
view stats
Games scored14
26
Failed to score14
2
Scored first13
18
Goals scored28
44
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
LAZ
ACM
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets12
13
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded28
20
Avg. goals conceded1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
11
Conversion rate against10%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%

Lazio v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27337
I ProvedelD CataldiD CataldiM Zaccagni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK27
1
-
A Marusic DEF2611
1
1
M Gila  DEF25
3
1
D Cataldi MID2533
5
-
A Romagnoli DEF24
6
-
M Zaccagni FWD223
6
1
G Isaksen FWD2231
-
L Pellegrini DEF21
6
-
M Cancellieri FWD2131
4
-
T Noslin FWD202
1
1
Pedro FWD2031
2
-
B Dia FWD171
-
M Lazzari  DEF16
2
-
O Provstgaard DEF16
2
-
T Basic MID1612
1
N Tavares DEF15
2
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID14
-
R Belahyane MID111
1
1
K Taylor MID91
2
-
N Rovella MID81
2
-
Patric DEF7
-
P Ratkov FWD7
-
D Maldini MID511
-
E Hysaj DEF4
-
E. Motta GLK1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27946
M Maignan R LeãoA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK27
3
-
L Modric MID2723
4
-
A Saelemaekers MID2623
4
-
F Tomori DEF252
4
-
M Gabbia DEF24
3
-
S Pavlovic DEF2431
2
-
Y Fofana MID2313
4
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2331
1
-
S Ricci MID2313
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF222
2
-
C Nkunku  FWD2253
-
R Leão FWD2192
3
-
C Pulisic FWD2182
-
K Winter DEF2011
1
-
A Rabiot MID2044
5
1
Z. Athekame DEF1811
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF1511
2
1
N Füllkrug FWD121
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
A Jashari MID81
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-