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Lecce v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 20th Apr, 19:45 BST, Via Del Mare, Lecce

Eusebio Di Francesco welcomes Paolo Vanoli to the Via Del Mare on Monday evening, as their Lecce and Fiorentina charges meet in the Serie A. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Lecce and Fiorentina have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
31%
3.60-
Draw
26%
3.25-
Fiorentina
43%
2.05-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Fiorentina 1-0
11%
7.00-
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
9.00-
Lecce 1-0
9%
9.50-
Fiorentina 2-0
8%
9.50-
Draw 0-0
7%
8.50-
Lecce 2-1
7%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Lecce 2-0
5%
17.00-
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
17.00-
Fiorentina 3-0
4%
19.00-
Lecce 3-1
3%
29.00-
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
29.00-
Lecce 3-2
2%
41.00-
Lecce 3-0
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.10-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.73-
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.38-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.73-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.50-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.91-
BTTS - No
48%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.50-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4.75-
Home/draw
57%
1.73-
Away/draw
69%
1.29-
Home/away
74%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.36-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.20-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
4.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.07-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8.50-
Home DNB
49%
2.50-
Away DNB
61%
1.50-
Lecce win to nil
17%
6.00-
Fiorentina win to nil
24%
3.40-
Lecce / Lecce
14%
6.00-
Lecce / Fiorentina
3%
26.00-
Lecce / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Lecce
11%
7.50-
Draw / Fiorentina
17%
5.00-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Fiorentina / Lecce
2%
34.00-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
24%
3.40-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Lecce have conceded 43 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 15th place on 32 points in the Serie A league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lecce
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3123354572 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Napoli3120561765 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
3
Milan3118942363 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
4
Como 190731161053158 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
5
Juventus3116962557 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
6
Roma31173111454 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 3
7
Atalanta31141161753 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-1A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
8
Bologna3113612345 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
9
Lazio3111119344 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
10
Sassuolo3112613-342 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
11
Udinese3111713-740 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
5-1F
l
 
3-0A
12
Torino3110615-1836 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Parma3181112-1735 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
14
Genoa318914-833 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
2-2A
15
Fiorentina3171113-832 
Apr 20
w
 
0-1F
-
-
16
Cagliari317915-1230 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
17
Cremonese316916-2027 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Lecce317618-2227 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
19
Verona313919-3118 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
20
Pisa3121217-3218 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Lecce 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce2 - 1Cremonese
Lecce0 - 2Inter
Lecce2 - 1Udinese
Lecce0 - 0Lazio
Lecce1 - 2Parma
Lecce0 - 2Roma
Lecce0 - 3Como 1907
Lecce1 - 0Pisa
Lecce2 - 1Torino
Lecce0 - 0Verona
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Lecce0 - 0Sassuolo
Lecce2 - 2Bologna
Lecce1 - 2Cagliari
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Lecce1 - 0Torino
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Lecce0 - 3Como 1907
Lecce1 - 1Venezia
Lecce0 - 1Roma
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALecce0 - 1Roma
ALecce1 - 2Napoli
HLecce2 - 1Cremonese
ALecce1 - 3Como 1907
HLecce0 - 2Inter
ALecce2 - 0Cagliari
HLecce2 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 1Torino
HLecce0 - 0Lazio
ALecce0 - 1Milan
ALecce0 - 1Inter
HLecce1 - 2Parma
HLecce0 - 2Roma
ALecce1 - 1Juventus
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
HLecce1 - 0Pisa
ALecce0 - 2Cremonese
HLecce2 - 1Torino
ALecce0 - 2Lazio
HLecce0 - 0Verona
Fiorentina 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Verona0 - 1Fiorentina
Cremonese1 - 4Fiorentina
Udinese3 - 0Fiorentina
Como 19071 - 2Fiorentina
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Bologna1 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 0Fiorentina
Sassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
Genoa2 - 2Fiorentina
Inter3 - 0Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Pisa0 - 0Fiorentina
Torino0 - 0Fiorentina
Cagliari1 - 1Fiorentina
Udinese2 - 3Fiorentina
Venezia2 - 1Fiorentina
Roma1 - 0Fiorentina
Cagliari1 - 2Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina1 - 0Verona
HFiorentina1 - 1Inter
AFiorentina4 - 1Cremonese
HFiorentina0 - 0Parma
AFiorentina0 - 3Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 0Pisa
AFiorentina2 - 1Como 1907
HFiorentina2 - 2Torino
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 2Cagliari
AFiorentina2 - 1Bologna
HFiorentina1 - 1Milan
AFiorentina2 - 2Lazio
HFiorentina1 - 0Cremonese
AFiorentina0 - 1Parma
HFiorentina5 - 1Udinese
HFiorentina1 - 2Verona
AFiorentina1 - 3Sassuolo
AFiorentina0 - 2Atalanta
HFiorentina1 - 1Juventus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
LEC
1
D
1
FIO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 6Fiorentina
Lecce3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Fiorentina
League games at Fiorentina since 2019
Fiorentina
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
LEC
2
D
1
FIO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
0 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina1 - 0
0 - 1Lecce
Goal Statistics
Lecce 18th Fiorentina 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Lecce will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Lecce have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Fiorentina’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
LEC
FIO
25%
better
view stats
Games scored15
23
Failed to score15
8
Scored first13
13
Goals scored21
36
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
11%
better
LEC
FIO
view stats
Games conceded22
25
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first13
15
Goals conceded40
44
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Lecce v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30338
W FalconeN StulicA GalloD Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK30
2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF301
4
-
A Gallo DEF303
2
-
Y Ramadani MID291
7
-
S Pierotti FWD291
2
-
D Veiga DEF281
8
-
N Stulic FWD283
1
-
L Coulibaly  MID2531
2
-
L Banda FWD2433
6
1
K Gaspar DEF21
6
1
R Sottil  FWD2112
1
-
K N’Dri FWD202
2
-
F. Camarda FWD171
1
-
J Siebert DEF131
2
-
M Berisha MID1323
-
O Gendelman MID122
-
C Ndaba DEF11
-
W Cheddira FWD9
-
Álex Sala MID81
-
O Ngom MID7
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID7
-
S Fofana MID4
-
G Jean DEF2
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31849
D GeaM KeanA GudmundssonM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK31
-
M Pongracic  DEF29
9
-
Dodô DEF2912
6
-
L Ranieri DEF281
7
-
N Fagioli MID2823
5
-
R Mandragora  MID2862
6
-
R Piccoli FWD2731
-
A Gudmundsson FWD2754
3
1
C Ndour MID262
2
-
M Kean FWD2681
4
-
P. Comuzzo DEF231
2
-
R Gosens DEF2021
2
-
F Parisi DEF2011
5
-
N. Fortini DEF16
-
J Fazzini MID16
1
-
M Brescianini MID121
1
-
G Fabbian MID9
2
-
J Harrison FWD92
-
M Solomon FWD92
-
D Rugani DEF3
1
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
L. Balbo Vieira DEF1
-
A Sabiri MID1
-