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Roma v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 14:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Roma and their boss Raul Procopio will be looking to get one over on Giuseppe Pillon and his Milan side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
49%
--
Draw
25%
--
Milan
26%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Roma 1-0
11%
--
Roma 2-1
9%
--
Roma 2-0
9%
--
Milan 1-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Milan 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Roma 3-1
5%
--
Roma 3-0
5%
--
Milan 2-0
4%
--
Roma 3-2
3%
--
Milan 3-1
2%
--
Roma 4-1
2%
--
Milan 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Roma win to nil
27%
--
Milan win to nil
13%
--
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 53 goals to 50 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 18 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Milan are in 9th position in the Serie A on 54 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Milan have conceded 22 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3523843077 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
Inter3522854074 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Atalanta3520874068 
l
 
0-2A
May 12
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus35161542063 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Roma Home3518981863 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
May 18
6
Lazio3518981363 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Bologna35161451562 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
May 9
l
 
2-1F
8
Fiorentina35178101859 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Milan Away34159101554 
May 18
d
 
1-1A
-
-
10
Como 19073512914-345 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
11
Torino35101411-144 
w
 
1-0F
May 25
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
12
Udinese3512815-1144 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
13
Genoa3491213-1239 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 5
14
Cagliari358918-1533 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
15
Parma3561415-1432 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
16
Verona359521-3332 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Lecce356920-3327 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
18
Venezia3541417-2126 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Empoli3541318-2825 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Monza352924-3815 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Roma 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Milan have not lost to Roma in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2014
Roma
Milan
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RMA
2
D
4
ACM
4
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Roma
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
RMA
3
D
3
ACM
5
Goal Statistics

Roma have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 18 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Milan on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, Raul Procopio's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Roma 5th Milan 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283405/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
RMA
ACM
6%
better
view stats
Games scored28
29
Failed to score6
5
Scored first17
16
Goals scored49
53
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
12%
better
RMA
ACM
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets14
12
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded32
38
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%

Roma v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351247
M SvilarA DovbykE ShomurodovG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK35
-
A Angeliño DEF3521
1
-
E Ndicka DEF351
2
-
G Mancini DEF341
7
-
M Koné MID3121
7
-
A Dovbyk FWD31123
-
Z Celik DEF282
4
-
T Baldanzi MID2811
2
-
S Shaarawy FWD2833
2
-
B Cristante MID2722
7
-
N Pisilli MID2621
7
-
L Pellegrini MID2521
4
-
M Malvano FWD2452
3
-
E Shomurodov FWD2444
1
-
P Dybala FWD2463
2
-
L Paredes MID2011
4
-
A Saelemaekers FWD1963
4
-
M Hummels DEF13
1
-
D Rensch DEF111
-
L Gourna-Douath MID5
2
-
V Nelsson DEF4
-
S Abdulhamid DEF41
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF31
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331085
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK33
2
-
T Reijnders MID33105
2
1
Y Fofana MID3216
5
-
R Leão FWD3278
4
-
T Hernández DEF3143
4
1
C Pulisic FWD30108
1
-
T Abraham FWD2834
1
-
Y Musah MID252
5
-
S Chukwueze FWD243
-
M Gabbia DEF221
3
-
M Thiaw DEF21
2
-
S Pavlovic DEF2021
2
1
E Royal DEF18
5
-
F Tomori DEF181
2
1
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF16
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID15
1
-
F Terracciano DEF12
3
-
J Félix FWD11
1
-
S Giménez FWD1131
3
-
L Jović  FWD112
1
-
K Walker DEF9
1
-
R Sottil  FWD5
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
M Sportiello GLK2
-