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Atlas v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 03:00 BST, Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Atlas and Puebla meet at the Estadio Jalisco on Saturday morning, with both Gonzalo Pineda Reyes and Rolando Hernán Cristante Mandarino aiming for victory in the Liga MX. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Liga MX clash, with Atlas and Puebla going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atlas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlas 52%	21/20 10%	21/20
Draw 22%	12/5 3%	9/4
Puebla 26%	13/5 13%	21/10
Atlas 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Draw 1-1 9%	11/2 7%	5/1
Atlas 2-0 7%	9/1 10%	8/1
Atlas 1-0 7%	13/2	6/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Puebla 2-1 6%	12/1 8%	9/1
Atlas 3-1 6%	16/1 13%	12/1
Puebla 1-0 5%	10/1	8/1
Atlas 3-0 5%	18/1 11%	14/1
Atlas 3-2 4%	25/1 13%	20/1
Draw 0-0 3%	9/1 8%	8/1
Puebla 2-0 3%	18/1 11%	12/1
Atlas 4-1 3%	33/1 21%	22/1
Puebla 3-2 3%	33/1	22/1
Puebla 3-1 3%	28/1 12%	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	19/20 3%	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	17/20 3%	3/4
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11 4%	3/4
Away 1st Goal 45%	13/10 5%	13/10
No 1st Goal 2%	9/1 8%	8/1
BTTS - Yes 65%	3/4	3/4
BTTS - No 35%	1/1	19/20
BTTS - Home Win 30%	10/3 8%	16/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 16%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 74%	2/7 5%	1/3
Away/draw 48%	7/10 7%	7/10
Home/away 78%	3/10 1%	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	2/7	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	5/2	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	12/5 8%	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	3/10 2%	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	6/1	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	1/10	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	14/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/33	1/80
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/16 1%	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	9/1 8%	7/1
Home DNB 67%	1/2 8%	8/15
Away DNB 42%	6/4 12%	11/8
Atlas win to nil 22%	5/2 7%	-
Puebla win to nil 10%	11/2 15%	-
Atlas / Atlas 24%	12/5 11%	11/5
Atlas / Puebla 3%	28/1	25/1
Atlas / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Atlas 16%	4/1	17/4
Draw / Puebla 11%	13/2 7%	13/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Puebla / Atlas 4%	22/1	18/1
Puebla / Puebla 15%	9/2 9%	4/1
Puebla / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Atlas have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
Atlas	2 - 4	America
Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
Atlas	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Atlas	2 - 3	Toluca
Atlas	1 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	1 - 3	America
Atlas	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 3	Monterrey
Atlas	1 - 2	Leon
Atlas	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Atlas	0 - 0	Tijuana
Atlas	0 - 0	Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Atlas	1 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
A	Atlas	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	2 - 4	America
A	Atlas	3 - 3	Queretaro
H	Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Monterrey
H	Atlas	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Atlas	2 - 3	Toluca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon	1 - 2	Puebla
Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
America	2 - 1	Puebla
Queretaro	3 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	7 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Puebla
Leon	1 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Queretaro	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
S. Laguna	0 - 2	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	2 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	4 - 4	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	America
H	Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
A	Puebla	1 - 3	Queretaro
H	Puebla	0 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Puebla	2 - 2	Pachuca
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Puebla	1 - 3	Toluca
H	Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey
A	Puebla	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	0 - 7	Tigres
H	Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Mazatlan
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlas have beaten Puebla in 3 consecutive league meetings

Atlas

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

3 / 8

ATL

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Atlas	3 - 2
	2 - 3	Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
	1 - 2	Puebla

Puebla

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

3 / 9

ATL

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	2 - 3	Atlas
	1 - 2	Atlas
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 4	Atlas
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Puebla	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Atlas
	0 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Atlas 14th	Puebla 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 60% probability that Atlas will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 Atlas have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	-4 Puebla’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

11%

better

ATL

PUE

view stats

Games scored	11		11
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	6		5
Goals scored	24		21
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	19		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+11%

10%

better

ATL

PUE

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	10		11
Goals conceded	35		42
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		4
Conversion rate against	16%		24%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.5
KickOff rating		+10%

Atlas v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	7	5	9
G Ferrareis	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	U Djurdjevic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Ferrareis DEF	17		3	1 -
D Alcaraz FWD	17	5	5	2 -
G Aguirre DEF	16	1		3 -
U Djurdjevic FWD	16	7	1	9 -
C Vargas GLK	15		1	2 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	15			2 -
A Mora DEF	14	2		3 -
M Cóccaro FWD	14	1		2 1
D Dória DEF	13	1		3 -
A Rocha MID	12		2	3 1
A González FWD	12			-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	11	1		2 -
E Lara FWD	11	1	1	-
J Lozano DEF	9	1	1	3 1
G Prete FWD	9	2	1	1 -
M García FWD	9	2		1 -
C Orrantía DEF	6			-
R Pier DEF	5		1	-
J Rodríguez DEF	3			-
A Jiménez MID	3			1 -
A Sánchez GLK	1			1 -
C Becerra GLK	1			-
C Robles DEF				-
E Ortega MID				-
E Zaldívar MID				-
M Manotas FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	13	5	5
U Djurdjevic	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
U Djurdjevic FWD	7	13	1	3
D Alcaraz FWD	5	12	5	5
A Mora DEF	2	4
G Prete FWD	2	3	1
M García FWD	2	5
G Aguirre DEF	1	1
M Cóccaro FWD	1	3
D Dória DEF	1	2
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	1	3
E Lara FWD	1	2	1	1
J Lozano DEF	1	1	1	2
G Ferrareis DEF		2	3	3
C Vargas GLK			1	1
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID		3
A Rocha MID			2	1
A González FWD		1
R Pier DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
581	29	84
G Aguirre	G Aguirre	D Alcaraz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Aguirre DEF	581	29	68
G Ferrareis DEF	488	27	74
C Vargas GLK	477	1	3
A Rocha MID	430	14	34
D Alcaraz FWD	426	17	84
A Mora DEF	423	24	51
D Dória DEF	359	8	36
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	350	25	55
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	336	18	34
U Djurdjevic FWD	216	1	43
M García FWD	210	10	40
R Pier DEF	204	1	6
A González FWD	138	8	16
J Lozano DEF	131	10	38
G Prete FWD	121	4	20
E Lara FWD	101	12	33
A Jiménez MID	101	11	15
M Cóccaro FWD	61	6	28
C Orrantía DEF	45	3	5
C Becerra GLK	29		1
A Sánchez GLK	22		1
J Rodríguez DEF	16	2	3

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	4	6
A Orozco	E Gómez	E Gómez	N Huincales

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Orozco MID	17	1	1	2 -
E Gómez FWD	16	6	4	1 -
N Huincales DEF	15		1	6 -
R Sánchez FWD	15	4	3	2 -
E Orona DEF	12			1 -
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD	12	1	3	1 -
E Solana FWD	12	1		2 -
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	12			-
J González GLK	11			1 -
L Mejía DEF	11	2		2 -
J. Fedorco DEF	11			4 -
J Martinez DEF	11		1	-
M Pérez MID	11			-
A. Gamarra MID	11			3 1
E Guerra FWD	11	1	1	2 -
C Baltazar MID	10	3	1	-
R Castillo MID	9			2 1
J Rivas DEF	8			1 -
F Moyano MID	8		1	2 -
J Rodríguez GLK	7			1 -
Ángelo Araos MID	5	1		-
I Moreno MID	5			-
B Garnica FWD	5			-
W Portales DEF	4			-
Ángel Robles FWD	1			-
L Cavallini FWD	1			1 -
J Gómez GLK				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	10	4	4
E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	6	10	4	4
R Sánchez FWD	4	8	3	2
C Baltazar MID	3	4	1	2
L Mejía DEF	2	4
A Orozco MID	1	6	1	3
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD	1	3	3	3
E Solana FWD	1	3
E Guerra FWD	1	5	1	2
Ángelo Araos MID	1	2
N Huincales DEF		1	1
E Orona DEF		2
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD		9		2
J. Fedorco DEF		1
J Martinez DEF		2	1	1
M Pérez MID		2		1
A. Gamarra MID		1
R Castillo MID		5
F Moyano MID		1	1
Ángel Robles FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
783	37	93
N Huincales	N Huincales	N Huincales

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Huincales DEF	783	37	93
A Orozco MID	516	30	67
J. Fedorco DEF	481	22	53
L Mejía DEF	403	19	38
J Martinez DEF	358	17	34
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD	329	13	29
E Orona DEF	327	11	29
E Gómez FWD	323	4	57
A. Gamarra MID	305	26	54
M Pérez MID	285	15	34
J González GLK	261		3
J Rivas DEF	234	13	15
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	230	9	30
F Moyano MID	230	5	7
R Sánchez FWD	215	12	48
E Guerra FWD	210	17	50
J Rodríguez GLK	184
R Castillo MID	140	4	12
C Baltazar MID	111	4	32
E Solana FWD	109	7	52
W Portales DEF	86	5	5
Ángelo Araos MID	63	3	6
I Moreno MID	58	5	7
B Garnica FWD	56	3	15
L Cavallini FWD	5		2
Ángel Robles FWD	1		2