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Guadalajara v Pachuca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 23:00 BST, Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Gabriel Alejandro Milito's Guadalajara side are on home soil in the Liga MX on Saturday night, as Jaime Arturo Lozano Espin's Pachuca arrive at the Estadio AKRON. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Guadalajara and Pachuca will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guadalajara 46%	81/100	4/5
Draw 24%	13/5	23/10
Pachuca 30%	10/3	11/4
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2
Guadalajara 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Guadalajara 1-0 8%	13/2	11/2
Pachuca 2-1 7%	12/1	11/1
Guadalajara 2-0 7%	8/1	7/1
Pachuca 1-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	11/1
Guadalajara 3-1 5%	14/1	11/1
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1	8/1
Pachuca 2-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Guadalajara 3-0 4%	14/1	11/1
Guadalajara 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Pachuca 3-1 3%	33/1	22/1
Pachuca 3-2 3%	40/1	25/1
Guadalajara 4-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	9/10	5/6
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	9/10	4/5
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/13	8/13
Away 1st Goal 46%	7/5	8/5
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	8/1
BTTS - Yes 60%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - No 40%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3/1	11/4
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 17%	7/1	6/1
Home/draw 70%	1/5	2/9
Away/draw 54%	10/11	10/11
Home/away 76%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/7	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	5/2	9/4
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	9/4	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	1/3	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	11/2	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/9	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	12/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/25	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1	15/2
Home DNB 62%	4/11	4/11
Away DNB 47%	2/1	15/8
Guadalajara win to nil 22%	9/4	-
Pachuca win to nil 14%	6/1	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 27%	2/1	9/5
Guadalajara / Pachuca 3%	33/1	25/1
Guadalajara / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Guadalajara 17%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Pachuca 9%	15/2	15/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Pachuca / Guadalajara 4%	22/1	18/1
Pachuca / Pachuca 13%	11/2	5/1
Pachuca / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Guadalajara have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	4 - 2	Monterrey
Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Necaxa
Guadalajara	0 - 3	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Tigres
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Juarez
Guadalajara	4 - 3	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Puebla
Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Queretaro
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	4 - 2	Monterrey
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pachuca
H	Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Puebla
H	Guadalajara	3 - 1	Necaxa
H	Guadalajara	0 - 3	Toluca
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Guadalajara	2 - 1	America
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Guadalajara	3 - 3	Tijuana
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Juarez
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	4 - 3	A. San Luis
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Leon
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Atlas

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	2 - 1	Pachuca
S. Laguna	1 - 0	Pachuca
Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 2	Pachuca
America	2 - 0	Pachuca
Leon	1 - 1	Pachuca
Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
Pumas UNAM	2 - 3	Pachuca
America	2 - 0	Pachuca
Monterrey	1 - 2	Pachuca
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Pachuca
Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Pachuca
Queretaro	0 - 1	Pachuca
Monterrey	2 - 3	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Pachuca	1 - 2	Juarez
H	Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Pachuca	2 - 2	Toluca
H	Pachuca	1 - 2	Tigres
A	Pachuca	2 - 2	Juarez
A	Pachuca	1 - 0	Necaxa
H	Pachuca	2 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Pachuca	2 - 2	Puebla
H	Pachuca	0 - 2	Queretaro
H	Pachuca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Pachuca	0 - 2	America
A	Pachuca	1 - 1	Leon
H	Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
A	Pachuca	3 - 0	Atlas
H	Pachuca	1 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Pachuca	3 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Pachuca	3 - 0	Monterrey
A	Pachuca	0 - 2	America

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guadalajara have beaten Pachuca in 4 consecutive league meetings

Guadalajara have not lost to Pachuca in 7 consecutive league meetings

Guadalajara

Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

3 / 7

GUA

PAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 4	Pachuca
	1 - 3	Pachuca

Pachuca

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 9

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

4 / 9

GUA

PAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
	0 - 2	Guadalajara
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Pachuca	2 - 1
Pachuca	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Pachuca	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Guadalajara's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Pachuca have conceded in each of their last 7 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.7 for G. Milito's side suggests that run should continue.

	Guadalajara 6th	Pachuca 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Pachuca will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Guadalajara have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	+16 Pachuca have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

13%

better

GUA

PAC

view stats

Games scored	13		13
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	9		7
Goals scored	31		25
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+13%

better

GUA

PAC

view stats

Games conceded	14		15
Clean sheets	5		4
Conceded first	8		12
Goals conceded	25		24
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+5%

Guadalajara v Pachuca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	12	5	6
J Rangel	A. González Alba	R Ledezma	R Ledezma

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	19			1 -
B González DEF	19	3	1	1 -
E Álvarez FWD	19	2	4	-
L Romo MID	18	1	1	2 1
A. González Alba FWD	18	12	1	2 -
R Ledezma DEF	17		5	5 1
J Castillo DEF	17			1 -
D Campillo DEF	15	1		4 -
R Hernández FWD	14	3	3	-
C Cowell FWD	14	2	1	1 -
O Govea MID	13	1		2 -
Érick Gutiérrez MID	13		2	5 -
D Aguirre MID	12	1	1	3 -
F González MID	12			2 1
M Ortiz DEF	11		2	1 -
M Tapias DEF	9		1	-
G Sepúlveda DEF	9			2 -
Chicharito FWD	7	1		-
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD	7			1 -
A Pulido FWD	6			-
A Mozo DEF	5		1	1 -
T Braams FWD	4			-
J Sandoval FWD	2			-
I Brizuela FWD	1			-
Óscar Whalley GLK				-
E. García Mendoza GLK				-
L. Sepúlveda DEF				-
R Ruiz DEF				-
L Olivas DEF				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	22	5	7
A. González Alba	A. González Alba	R Ledezma	E Álvarez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. González Alba FWD	12	22	1	1
B González DEF	3	5	1	6
R Hernández FWD	3	7	3	4
E Álvarez FWD	2	12	4	7
C Cowell FWD	2	4	1	2
L Romo MID	1	2	1	1
D Campillo DEF	1	3
O Govea MID	1	2
D Aguirre MID	1	3	1	1
Chicharito FWD	1	1		1
R Ledezma DEF		7	5	6
J Castillo DEF		1		1
Érick Gutiérrez MID			2	2
F González MID		1		2
M Ortiz DEF			2
M Tapias DEF		1	1	1
G Sepúlveda DEF				1
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD		1
A Pulido FWD		1
A Mozo DEF			1	1
T Braams FWD		1
J Sandoval FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1172	39	97
L Romo	L Romo	L Romo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Romo MID	1172	39	97
J Castillo DEF	767	20	44
D Campillo DEF	630	22	41
O Govea MID	614	18	34
B González DEF	595	27	84
E Álvarez FWD	574	12	51
F González MID	559	24	45
J Rangel GLK	480		8
R Hernández FWD	434	13	54
D Aguirre MID	419	16	40
R Ledezma DEF	413	11	27
Érick Gutiérrez MID	408	23	47
A. González Alba FWD	258	6	38
G Sepúlveda DEF	228	3	21
M Tapias DEF	200	7	13
M Ortiz DEF	124	12	23
C Cowell FWD	108	9	40
A Pulido FWD	81	3	13
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD	66	3	10
A Mozo DEF	64	1	5
Chicharito FWD	32	1	7
T Braams FWD	21		7
J Sandoval FWD	12	2	7
I Brizuela FWD	5		1

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	4	4	8
C Moreno	Kenedy	V Guzmán	E Bauermann

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Moreno GLK	19			4 -
V Guzmán MID	18		4	1
L Quiñones FWD	18	2		4 1
E Bauermann DEF	17			7 1
B García DEF	17			1
S Barreto DEF	17	1		4 1
A Aceves DEF	17	1	2	2 1
A Gutiérrez MID	17	2	2	4 1
J Cádiz FWD	16	3	2	3 -
G Togni FWD	15	2		-
Kenedy FWD	15	4		1 -
P Reyna MID	14			5 -
O Idrissi FWD	14	2	1	3 1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	12			3 -
I Hernández FWD	12			-
E Valencia FWD	10	4	1	-
W Carvalho MID	9			-
A Figueroa FWD	9	1		1 -
E Montiel MID	8	1	3	1 -
J Berlanga DEF	7			3 -
I Luna MID	6			-
L Rodríguez DEF	4			-
J López MID	4			1 -
J Téllez GLK				-
G Cabral DEF				-
P Blanco DEF				-
A Micolta DEF				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	4	4
Kenedy	J Cádiz	V Guzmán	J Cádiz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Kenedy FWD	4	7		4
E Valencia FWD	4	10	1
J Cádiz FWD	3	12	2	4
L Quiñones FWD	2	8		1
A Gutiérrez MID	2	8	2	3
G Togni FWD	2	5		1
O Idrissi FWD	2	7	1	4
S Barreto DEF	1	2
A Aceves DEF	1	6	2	3
A Figueroa FWD	1	2
E Montiel MID	1	5	3	2
C Moreno GLK				1
V Guzmán MID		4	4	3
B García DEF		1		1
P Reyna MID		1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF				1
I Hernández FWD		7
J Berlanga DEF		1
I Luna MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
869	44	100
S Barreto	L Quiñones	L Quiñones

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Barreto DEF	869	22	65
E Bauermann DEF	844	25	61
A Aceves DEF	730	35	59
C Moreno GLK	618	3	14
L Quiñones FWD	595	44	100
B García DEF	568	19	41
A Gutiérrez MID	533	27	52
V Guzmán MID	453	14	46
E Montiel MID	428	6	18
P Reyna MID	351	24	35
O Idrissi FWD	348	13	46
Kenedy FWD	305	14	58
J Berlanga DEF	286	7	10
C. Sánchez Nava DEF	199	8	23
W Carvalho MID	198	4	10
L Rodríguez DEF	165	8	11
E Valencia FWD	147	6	41
G Togni FWD	143	5	13
A Figueroa FWD	140	8	23
J Cádiz FWD	111	3	51
I Luna MID	89	10	15
J López MID	49		3
I Hernández FWD	37	5	19