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Pachuca v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th Jan, 01:00 BST, Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Manuel Eduardo Berizzo leads his León troops to the Estadio Hidalgo in the Liga MX on Wednesday morning, with Jaime Arturo Lozano Espin's Pachuca their challengers. Liga MX statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Pachuca to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Pachuca. Their latest form statistics show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Leon too. The odds point towards Jaime Arturo Lozano Espin's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Wednesday morning too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.46.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
62%
23/50-
Draw
23%
3/1-
Leon
16%
5/1-
Pachuca 1-0
14%
7/1-
Pachuca 2-0
12%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1-
Pachuca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
14/1-
Pachuca 3-0
7%
10/1-
Leon 1-0
6%
18/1-
Pachuca 3-1
6%
11/1-
Leon 2-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Pachuca 4-0
3%
20/1-
Pachuca 4-1
3%
20/1-
Leon 2-0
2%
33/1-
Pachuca 3-2
2%
20/1-
Pachuca 5-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
13/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
37%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
3/4-
BTTS - No
55%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
21/10-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
9/1-
Home/draw
84%
1/8-
Away/draw
38%
6/4-
Home/away
77%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
14/1-
Home DNB
77%
2/11-
Away DNB
32%
7/2-
Pachuca win to nil
38%
7/4-
Leon win to nil
9%
10/1-
Pachuca / Pachuca
36%
13/10-
Pachuca / Leon
2%
40/1-
Pachuca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Pachuca
18%
7/2-
Draw / Leon
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Leon / Pachuca
4%
18/1-
Leon / Leon
9%
17/2-
Leon / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
5
Leon have lost 5 consecutive away league games
6
Leon have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
6
Leon have failed to score in 6 consecutive away league games
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca1 - 2Tigres
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Pachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
Pachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0Tigres
Pachuca1 - 0America
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Pachuca0 - 0Atlas
Pachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
Pachuca0 - 1Juarez
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APachuca1 - 2Juarez
HPachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca0 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
APachuca2 - 2Toluca
HPachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
APachuca1 - 0Necaxa
HPachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
APachuca2 - 2Puebla
HPachuca0 - 2Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
APachuca0 - 2America
APachuca1 - 1Leon
HPachuca0 - 2Tijuana
APachuca3 - 0Atlas
HPachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
APachuca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HPachuca3 - 0Monterrey
APachuca0 - 2America
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
America1 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Atlas1 - 2Leon
Monterrey2 - 1Leon
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
ALeon1 - 4Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon2 - 3Cruz Azul
HLeon0 - 2Monterrey
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Leon
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
PAC
3
D
1
LEO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
1 - 2Leon
Pachuca3 - 2
Pachuca1 - 0
Pachuca4 - 0
0 - 1Leon
1 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
PAC
1
D
3
LEO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon4 - 0
0 - 1Pachuca
Leon2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon3 - 0
Leon2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday morning, not least because León have conceded in each of their last 9 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.8 for J. Lozano Espin's side suggests that run should continue.

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for León fans, as should a 5 Liga MX matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Pachuca 9th Leon 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Leon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Pachuca have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Leon have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
24%
better
PAC
LEO
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score6
7
Scored first7
5
Goals scored25
14
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal9
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
5%
better
PAC
LEO
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first12
11
Goals conceded24
31
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%

Pachuca v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19448
C MorenoKenedyV GuzmánE Bauermann
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK19
4
-
V Guzmán MID184
1
L Quiñones FWD182
4
1
B García DEF17
1
S Barreto DEF171
4
1
A Aceves DEF1712
2
1
E Bauermann DEF17
7
1
A Gutiérrez MID1722
4
1
J Cádiz FWD1632
3
-
G Togni FWD152
-
Kenedy FWD154
1
-
P Reyna MID14
5
-
O Idrissi FWD1421
3
1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF12
3
-
I Hernández FWD12
-
E Valencia FWD1041
-
W Carvalho MID9
-
A Figueroa FWD91
1
-
E Montiel MID813
1
-
J Berlanga DEF7
3
-
I Luna MID6
-
L Rodríguez DEF4
-
J López MID4
1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16527
S ChávezI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF161
2
-
I Moreno DEF1612
1
-
R Echeverría MID16
5
-
F Beltran MID161
3
-
S Barreiro DEF15
6
1
N Fonseca MID15
4
-
O García GLK14
1
-
J Rodríguez MID1432
1
-
J Cortizo FWD14
4
-
A Alvarado FWD132
1
-
S Santos MID12
3
-
M Rodriguez FWD12
-
I Díaz FWD1251
-
D Ramírez DEF10
2
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
R Mori FWD10
-
P Bellón DEF8
2
-
E Ayon FWD8
2
-
D Arcila MID71
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF6
1
1
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
C Cisneros FWD3
-
O Villa DEF1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-