Toluca's team badge León's team badge

Toluca v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Apr, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

The Liga MX is the focus for both Toluca and León on Sunday morning, as bosses Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich and Javier Marcelo Gandolfi battle it out at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
65%
--
Draw
21%
--
Leon
14%
--
Toluca 1-0
13%
--
Toluca 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Toluca 2-1
10%
--
Toluca 3-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Toluca 3-1
6%
--
Leon 1-0
5%
--
Toluca 4-0
4%
--
Leon 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Toluca 4-1
3%
--
Toluca 3-2
2%
--
Leon 2-0
2%
--
Toluca 5-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
59%
--
Away 1st Goal
37%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
6%
--
Home/draw
86%
--
Away/draw
35%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
80%
--
Away DNB
29%
--
Toluca win to nil
40%
--
Leon win to nil
8%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Toluca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 1Juarez
Toluca2 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Queretaro
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla0 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Guadalajara5 - 0Leon
Mazatlan4 - 2Leon
Monterrey1 - 0Leon
Queretaro2 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon1 - 0Puebla
HLeon2 - 0Atlas
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Toluca have not lost to Leon in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
TOL
1
D
4
LEO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leon
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Toluca
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
TOL
2
D
3
LEO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
2 - 4Toluca
Draw3 - 3Draw
Leon1 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon4 - 0
Leon3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toluca 5th Leon 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Leon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Toluca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-41
Leon have scored 41% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
2
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
TOL
LEO
view stats
Games scored28
20
Failed to score9
11
Scored first20
11
Goals scored70
30
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
30%
better
TOL
LEO
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first12
19
Goals conceded33
55
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+30%

Toluca v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31211012
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF343
9
-
J Uriarte MID3374
2
-
F Romero MID3312
4
-
N Castro MID3338
2
-
Paulinho FWD32214
5
-
J Gallardo DEF3153
12
-
D Barbosa DEF3111
8
-
M Ruíz MID2934
9
-
E López DEF27
2
-
S Simón DEF253
4
-
B Méndez DEF231
3
1
H González GLK22
2
-
Helinho  FWD2196
4
-
A Vega FWD19410
3
-
A Briseño DEF1721
-
L García GLK16
1
-
F Arce MID13
1
1
P Pérez FWD121
1
-
S Córdova MID112
1
-
O. Virgen FWD1111
1
-
J Price MID1012
-
M Isaís DEF9
1
-
Luan DEF8
2
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD71
-
V Camarena MID3
-
A Bermúdez FWD3
1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
308411
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF3014
5
-
R Echeverría MID30
7
-
S Chávez DEF282
6
-
S Barreiro DEF28
10
1
F Beltran MID2822
5
-
O García GLK25
1
-
I Díaz FWD2484
-
J Cortizo FWD231
4
1
R Mori FWD211
1
-
A Alvarado FWD202
1
-
D Ramírez DEF19
2
-
D Arcila MID183
2
-
M Rodriguez FWD181
-
D Cambindo FWD1461
2
-
J Domínguez FWD1411
-
I Rodríguez MID13
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF12
1
1
?. Estrada Meza MID12
-
S Vegas DEF11
4
1
B Colula DEF911
1
-
P Bellón DEF9
2
-
J Vallejo FWD7
-
J. García Bonnet GLK3
1
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
A Villegas DEF2
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-