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Toluca v Santos Laguna : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th Jan, 03:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Santos Laguna pay Liga MX rivals Toluca a visit on Thursday morning, as Francisco Javier Rodríguez Vílchez guides his team into an away clash with Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich & co. at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga MX match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Toluca to win

We're predicting Toluca will claim victory after 90 mins on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estadio Nemesio Díez.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 74% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.14.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
74%
7/50-
Draw
15%
11/2-
S. Laguna
11%
12/1-
Toluca 2-0
10%
15/2-
Toluca 2-1
9%
10/1-
Toluca 3-0
9%
7/1-
Toluca 3-1
8%
9/1-
Toluca 1-0
7%
12/1-
Draw 1-1
7%
14/1-
Toluca 4-0
6%
9/1-
Toluca 4-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Toluca 3-2
4%
22/1-
S. Laguna 2-1
3%
33/1-
Toluca 5-0
3%
14/1-
Toluca 5-1
3%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
25/1-
S. Laguna 1-0
3%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
3/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
5/2-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
39%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
25/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/5-
BTTS - No
43%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
37%
11/8-
BTTS - Draw
13%
7/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
18/1-
Home/draw
89%
1/25-
Away/draw
26%
4/1-
Home/away
85%
1/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/14-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
8/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
8/11-
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
1/1-
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
13/8-
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
4/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
10/3-
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/5-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/100-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
25/1-
Home DNB
84%
1/20-
Away DNB
22%
10/1-
Toluca win to nil
36%
11/10-
S. Laguna win to nil
4%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
53%
8/15-
Toluca / S. Laguna
2%
50/1-
Toluca / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / Toluca
20%
3/1-
Draw / S. Laguna
3%
28/1-
Draw / Draw
6%
12/1-
S. Laguna / Toluca
5%
14/1-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
3%
25/1-
S. Laguna / Draw
3%
25/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
10
Toluca have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
28
S. Laguna have not won in 28 consecutive away league games
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
HToluca2 - 2Pachuca
AToluca0 - 0Tijuana
HToluca4 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 2Leon
HToluca3 - 1Mazatlan
HToluca6 - 2Monterrey
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
S. Laguna 12TH
20 league games
Away
28
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
D
3
Lost
17
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
Mazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
America3 - 0S. Laguna
Monterrey1 - 0S. Laguna
Atlas2 - 2S. Laguna
Juarez2 - 1S. Laguna
Cruz Azul3 - 2S. Laguna
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Pumas UNAM2 - 0S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Tigres3 - 0S. Laguna
Monterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
Mazatlan1 - 1S. Laguna
Necaxa3 - 2S. Laguna
Juarez1 - 0S. Laguna
Pachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
Guadalajara1 - 0S. Laguna
Queretaro3 - 2S. Laguna
Cruz Azul2 - 0S. Laguna
America3 - 0S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Laguna1 - 0Pachuca
AS. Laguna1 - 4Necaxa
HS. Laguna3 - 1Queretaro
AS. Laguna2 - 2Mazatlan
HS. Laguna2 - 0Leon
AS. Laguna0 - 3America
AS. Laguna0 - 1Monterrey
HS. Laguna1 - 0Tijuana
HS. Laguna1 - 4A. San Luis
AS. Laguna2 - 2Atlas
HS. Laguna0 - 1Tigres
AS. Laguna1 - 2Juarez
AS. Laguna2 - 3Cruz Azul
HS. Laguna1 - 0Guadalajara
AS. Laguna0 - 1Puebla
HS. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
HS. Laguna3 - 0Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
AS. Laguna0 - 2Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna1 - 2Queretaro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Toluca have beaten S. Laguna in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to S. Laguna in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
TOL
6
D
1
STS
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
Toluca4 - 3
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 2S. Laguna
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca2 - 1
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Toluca
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
3
D
1
STS
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Laguna
2 - 4Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0
S. Laguna3 - 1
0 - 5Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
S. Laguna3 - 1
S. Laguna4 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toluca 3rd S. Laguna 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of S. Laguna scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
Toluca have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
-10
S. Laguna’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
S. Laguna
2.7
0.9
Attack rating
15%
better
TOL
STS
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score6
4
Scored first11
9
Goals scored50
22
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
4%
better
TOL
STS
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded24
28
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1
1.9
KickOff rating
+4%

Toluca v S. Laguna Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2115108
N CastroPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Castro MID2338
1
-
F Pereira DEF222
6
-
F Romero MID222
3
-
M Ruíz MID2122
4
-
J Uriarte MID2154
-
J Gallardo DEF2041
8
-
Paulinho FWD20152
2
-
R Morales FWD2033
1
D Barbosa DEF191
5
-
H Herrera MID171
1
J Domínguez FWD1711
3
-
B Méndez DEF161
1
1
E López DEF16
1
-
H González GLK15
1
-
S Simón MID142
2
-
A Vega FWD14410
3
-
A Briseño DEF1211
-
Helinho  FWD1264
2
-
L García GLK9
1
-
O. Virgen FWD911
1
-
F Arce MID7
-
M Isaís DEF4
1
-
A Bermúdez FWD2
1
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17456
C AcevedoC DájomeJ AbellaK Balanta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK17
1
-
J Abella DEF175
2
-
B Amione DEF1731
3
-
J Güemez MID17
4
-
K Balanta DEF161
6
-
F Villalba MID161
3
-
A López MID1621
-
J Ocejo FWD1632
1
1
C Dájome FWD164
5
-
R Sordo FWD1622
5
1
K Palacios FWD1521
2
-
J Rodriguez FWD13
1
-
H Ortega DEF1211
4
2
E. Echeverría Mata DEF11
2
-
S Murra MID11
2
-
B Barticciotto FWD1121
1
1
D Medina FWD91
-
Édson Gutiérrez DEF7
-
C Lozano FWD7
1
J. Pérez Sánchez DEF51
-
R Prieto MID1
-
F Fagúndez FWD1
-