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Arouca v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido leads his CD Nacional charges to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, with Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca the opponent. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.

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Arouca's next match is v Benfica at 20:30 on Saturday 14th March
CD Nacional's next match is v Moreirense at 15:30 on Saturday 7th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Arouca and Nacional was on Saturday 21st February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 21st 2026
Arouca 3
0 Nacional
 
A. Trezza Hernández 47'
H. Lee 67'
D. Nandín Berrutti 72'
 
ARO
NAC
Shots On
7
5
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
4
1
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
4/1
3/1
 
AroucaNacional
 
I. De Arruabarrena Fernández
J. Fontán Mondragón
H. Leefootball icon
N. Djouahra (P. Gozalbez Gilabert 65')
J. Sánchez de Felipe
B. Kuipers
T. Sousa Esgaio (D. Pinheiro Monteiro 85')
T. Fukui
E. van Ee (J. Santiago 85')
I. Martínez Gonzálvez (D. Nandín Berrutti 65')
A. Trezza Hernándezfootball icon (M. Puche García 89')
K. Pereira Azarias
(J. Organista da Silva 71') Matheus Dias
A. Núñez Duarte
L. Vallier
(Deivison Souza Brito 46') M. Baeza Pérez
C. Abidi
(P. Messias Cardozo 71') J. Ramírez Díaz
(D. de Melo Araujo Junior 79') P. Pereira da Silva
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
J. Lima Cardoso
(W. Quembo 78') G. Fonseca de Souza

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Arouca and Nacional will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Nacional coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
33%
11/1011/10
Draw
25%
12/59/4
Nacional
41%
23/109/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Nacional 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Nacional 2-1
9%
11/19/1
Arouca 1-0
8%
7/16/1
Arouca 2-1
8%
8/115/2
Nacional 2-0
7%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Arouca 2-0
5%
10/117/2
Nacional 3-1
4%
25/120/1
Arouca 3-1
3%
16/112/1
Nacional 3-0
3%
33/125/1
Nacional 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
25/120/1
Arouca 3-0
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/517/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
6/523/20
No 1st Goal
4%
9/18/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
44%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
17%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/25/1
Home/draw
59%
1/32/5
Away/draw
67%
4/611/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/73/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/49/4
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Home DNB
51%
8/157/10
Away DNB
59%
11/821/20
Arouca win to nil
17%
11/4-
Nacional win to nil
21%
5/1-
Arouca / Arouca
24%
5/223/10
Arouca / Nacional
3%
28/122/1
Arouca / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Arouca
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Nacional
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Nacional / Arouca
4%
22/120/1
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 11 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 23 goals at home.

Nacional are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 24 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica2417703758 
Mar 14
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
4
Braga2513752746 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
Famalicao251168939 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 21
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 21
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
Estoril24969433 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
2-1A
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
11
Arouca257513-2126 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
14
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
-
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3A
May 10
17
Tondela244713-1919 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AVS2 - 2Nacional
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Arouca have beaten Nacional in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Arouca have not lost to Nacional in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Nacional
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Nacional
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca2 - 0
Arouca3 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Arouca
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
0 / 4
ARO
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2Arouca
1 - 2Arouca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Arouca 11th Nacional 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Nacional have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
5%
better
ARO
NAC
view stats
Games scored15
16
Failed to score7
6
Scored first10
8
Goals scored28
27
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
ARO
NAC
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
18
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded49
31
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against23%
14%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

Arouca v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24839
N Djouahra A TrezzaJ FontánT Esgaio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK8
3
-
T Esgaio DEF2112
9
-
J Sánchez DEF7
3
-
J Fontán DEF2213
5
3
B Kuipers DEF81
1
-
T Fukui MID2422
2
1
E. van Ee MID1711
5
-
A Trezza MID2583
1
-
H. Lee MID2253
4
1
N Djouahra  MID2562
2
-
Barbero FWD2351
4
-
Subs
J Valido GLK9
-
B Popovic DEF161
3
-
D Monteiro DEF5
1
-
J. Silva DEF2
-
P Gozálbez MID191
1
-
J Santiago MID4
-
M Puche FWD231
3
-
D Nandin FWD171
1
1
B Mansilla FWD161
1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241329
ChuchuChuchuP BóiaL Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Azarias GLK18
3
-
A Duarte DEF1111
1
-
L Santos DEF2231
9
-
Z Vitor DEF2141
6
1
L Vallier DEF9
3
-
M Baeza MID10
1
-
M Dias MID231
4
1
C. Abidi MID2011
4
1
G Veron FWD61
-
Chuchu FWD2413
4
-
P Bóia FWD2432
4
-
Subs
K. Medeiros de Freitas GLK
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF6
2
-
D Jr MID8
1
-
J Silva MID14
-
Deivison Souza Brito MID4
1
1
A Sousa MID92
1
-
L João FWD141
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD15
2
1
Witi FWD211
2
-