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Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Sunday night at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca, and it’s a Liga NOS showdown between Arouca and Estrela Amadora. Vasco César Freire De Seabra and Pedro Miguel Marques da Costa Filipe will be doing all they can to claim the win. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Arouca's next match is v Alverca at 18:00 on Saturday 24th October
Estrela Amadora's next match is v Casa Pia at 15:30 on Saturday 24th October
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Arouca and Estrela Amadora was on Sunday 11th October 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
October 11th 2026
Arouca 1
0 Estrela Amadora
 
I. Martínez Gonzálvez 5'
 
ARO
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
2
7
Corners
5
6
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
10
7
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
AroucaEstrela Amadora
 
I. De Arruabarrena Fernández
J. Fontán Mondragón
E. van Ee
T. Fukui (H. Lee 79')
P. Gozalbez Gilabert (P. Carvalho Santos 57')
N. Djouahra (G. Rukavina 65')
J. Sánchez de Felipe
O. Lebedenko
T. Sousa Esgaio
I. Martínez Gonzálvezfootball icon (D. Nandín Berrutti 65')
A. Trezza Hernández (B. Mansilla 79')
L. Baiersdorf Linck
S. Leković
(J. Silva Encada 61') M. Scholze
L. Wiedthauper
(A. Souza de Jesus 90') L. Zvonarek
(B. Loussakou Souza 62') I. Stoica
(E. Pedro Vanga 82') E. Doué
L. Antonetti
L. Soares Alves
(K. Höög-Jansson 90') S. Ferreira Serra
A. Marcus

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Arouca or Estrela Amadora are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
46%
11/10
2%
-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Estrela Amadora
29%
23/10
9%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Arouca 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
Arouca 2-1
9%
8/1-
Arouca 2-0
8%
10/1-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
-
Arouca 3-1
5%
16/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Arouca 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Arouca 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
33/1-
Arouca 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
5%
-
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
8%
-
Home/draw
71%
2/7
5%
-
Away/draw
54%
7/10
2%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
63%
1/2
4%
-
Away DNB
46%
6/4
11%
-
Arouca win to nil
23%
3/1-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
14%
11/2
18%
-
Arouca / Arouca
25%
5/2
6%
-
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/1-
Arouca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Arouca
15%
9/2-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
11%
13/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
4%
22/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
15%
4/1
10%
-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto88001624 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
Apr 25
Dec 13
2
Benfica86111719 
Jan 10
May 16
Nov 8
Apr 4
3
S. Lisbon85301118 
Feb 28
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
4
Santa Clara8530818 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 21
May 9
Dec 27
5
Arouca8422414 
-
-
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
6
Academico Viseu8422114 
Apr 25
Dec 13
l
 
0-2A
Feb 28
7
Alverca8323111 
Mar 14
Oct 24
Jan 24
d
 
2-2F
8
Gil Vicente7322111 
May 9
Dec 27
Dec 6
Apr 18
9
Braga7322011 
Apr 18
Dec 6
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
10
Estrela Amadora8242-110 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
-
-
11
Maratimo8224-58 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 7
Dec 20
May 2
12
Moreirense8224-78 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
Mar 21
Oct 31
13
Famalicao8143-17 
Apr 4
Nov 6
d
 
2-2A
Feb 14
14
Rio Ave8215-97 
Nov 28
Apr 11
Feb 21
d
 
3-3F
15
V. Guimaraes8125-55 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
Nov 28
16
Nacional8116-94 
Nov 1
Mar 21
Feb 7
w
 
2-3A
17
Casa Pia8116-144 
Dec 20
May 2
Oct 24
Mar 14
18
Estoril8026-82 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 10
May 16
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca2 - 1Maratimo
Arouca4 - 0Moreirense
Arouca3 - 1Tondela
Arouca2 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca3 - 2Estoril
Arouca1 - 2Benfica
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca0 - 0Estoril
HArouca2 - 1Maratimo
AArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca4 - 0Moreirense
AArouca1 - 0V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 1Tondela
AArouca3 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca2 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Alverca
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca0 - 1Braga
HArouca3 - 2Estoril
AArouca1 - 0Moreirense
HArouca1 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
AArouca1 - 3Porto
HArouca3 - 0Nacional
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave3 - 3Estrela Amadora
Nacional2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Braga2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Moreirense3 - 2Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AVS0 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Academico Viseu
AEstrela Amadora3 - 3Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Nacional
AEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora2 - 2Braga
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora2 - 3Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Nacional
HEstrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Estrela Amadora
League games at Arouca since 2024
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
1 / 3
ARO
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
Arouca
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora3 - 1
Estrela Amadora2 - 1
1 - 4Arouca
Goal Statistics

Arouca's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 8 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.6 for V. Freire De Seabra's side suggests that run should continue.

Arouca 5th Estrela Amadora 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Arouca have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Estrela Amadora have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
ARO
22%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored10
14
Avg. goals scored1.4
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
44%
better
ARO
view stats
Games conceded4
7
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded7
14
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
5
Conversion rate against9%
21%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+44%

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8553
I ArruabarrenaBarberoN Djouahra J Sánchez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK8
1
-
T Esgaio DEF8
-
J Sánchez DEF7
3
-
J Fontán DEF82
2
-
O Lebedenko DEF8
1
-
E. van Ee MID81
2
-
T Fukui MID8
-
A Trezza MID81
-
P Gozálbez MID71
1
-
N Djouahra  MID85
1
-
Barbero FWD85
2
-
Subs
J. Vinarčík GLK
-
L. Shahar DEF
-
D Monteiro DEF1
1
1
B Popovic DEF1
-
M. Climent Plá DEF1
-
H. Lee MID41
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID7
-
P Santos MID81
2
-
F Mayulu FWD2
-
G Rukavina FWD3
1
-
D Nandin FWD72
2
-
B Mansilla FWD7
2
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8434
L LinckA MarcusE. DouéE. Doué
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Linck GLK8
-
M. Scholze DEF811
3
-
S Lekovic DEF7
3
-
L Patrick DEF7
2
-
R Soares DEF82
-
E. Doué MID83
4
-
S. Ferreira Serra MID5
-
A Marcus MID841
1
-
L. Zvonarek MID8
-
I Stoica MID842
-
L Antonetti FWD841
1
-
Subs
D Pinto GLK
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF1
-
B Schappo DEF3
-
J Encada DEF5
-
A Chernev DEF
-
K Jansson MID4
-
T. Moustier MID
-
E. Pedro Vanga MID3
1
-
B. Loussakou Souza MID811
1
-
R. Mitongo Muteba FWD2
-
H.Poniewas FWD
-
A. Souza de Jesus FWD4
-