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Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

the Estadio Municipal de Arouca masses welcome Estrela Amadora's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Daniel Sousa's Arouca take on Sergio Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira's troops in the Liga NOS. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Arouca and Estrela Amadora was on Sunday 5th May 2024

Portuguese Liga NOS

May 5th 2024

Arouca 0	0 Estrela Amadora

	ARO
Shots On	2 1
Shots Off	12 4
Corners	6 3
Possession	71% 29%
Fouls	12 9
Yellow/red cards	1/0 4/0

Arouca	Estrela Amadora

J. Figueiredo Valido F. Montero Rubio M. Quaresma Correia (W. Moreira da Costa 70') B. Milovanov M. Rocha Calderón O. Busquets Mas (P. Carvalho Santos 62') M. Sylla D. Martins Simão V. Morozov (A. Trezza Hernández 83') D. Remeseiro Salgueiro (Y. Lawal 83') C. González Pérez	B. Brigido de Oliveira P. Teodósio Mendes J. Lima Santos (E. Chipela Gomes 75') J. Nogueira da Silva H. Ciriaco Santos L. Bucca L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva (J. Alves Rodrigues 63') R. Pereira de Pinho (R. N'do 68') A. Inácio da Silva (R. Rodrigues Tavares 68') L. Rodrigues Lima (R. Rocha Lima 63') N. Lopes

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Arouca or Estrela Amadora are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arouca 52%	11/10 5%	11/10 10%
Draw 24%	11/4 4%	27/10
Estrela Amadora 24%	11/5 9%	11/5 16%
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	11/2
Arouca 1-0 10%	9/1 25%	15/2 21%
Arouca 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1 7%
Arouca 2-0 9%	11/1 20%	9/1 18%
Estrela Amadora 1-0 6%	11/1 9%	10/1 10%
Estrela Amadora 2-1 6%	10/1 8%	9/1 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	14/1 36%	10/1 16%
Arouca 3-1 6%	14/1 12%	12/1 8%
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1 20%	10/1 15%
Arouca 3-0 5%	18/1	14/1 15%
Estrela Amadora 2-0 4%	18/1 12%	14/1
Arouca 3-2 3%	20/1 19%	16/1 11%
Arouca 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1 2%	22/1 21%	16/1 26%
Arouca 4-0 2%	40/1	25/1 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	4/6 12%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	23/20 13%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	5/4 6%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 36%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/7 10%	4/7 13%
BTTS - No 45%	5/4 13%	5/4 15%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	11/4 6%	13/5 4%
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2 5%	10/3 6%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	9/2 15%	4/1 23%
Home/draw 76%	4/11 5%	1/3 6%
Away/draw 48%	7/10 6%	7/10 8%
Home/away 76%	1/4 3%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/5 7%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	10/3 24%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	13/8 19%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/9 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	4/1 23%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/6 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	9/1 33%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/16 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/33 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	14/1 36%	-
Home DNB 69%	8/15 2%	8/15 9%
Away DNB 41%	11/8 5%	13/10 16%
Arouca win to nil 27%	3/1 14%	-
Estrela Amadora win to nil 12%	11/2 8%	-
Arouca / Arouca 26%	12/5 5%	11/5 10%
Arouca / Estrela Amadora 3%	25/1 10%	20/1 19%
Arouca / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 8%
Draw / Arouca 16%	9/2 10%	17/4 9%
Draw / Estrela Amadora 10%	13/2	6/1 13%
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	9/2 5%
Estrela Amadora / Arouca 4%	20/1 9%	16/1 11%
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora 14%	4/1 17%	4/1 13%
Estrela Amadora / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 44 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Arouca

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Estrela Amadora

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 2-1A	S. Lisbon	34	29	3	2	67	90	l 1-2F	l 3-2A
l 0-3A	l 5-0A	Benfica	34	25	5	4	49	80	l 1-4F	l 2-0A
w 3-2F	d 1-1F	Porto	34	22	6	6	36	72	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
l 0-1A	w 0-3F	Braga	34	21	5	8	21	68	l 2-4A	l 3-0A
l 1-3F	l 2-1F	V. Guimaraes	34	19	6	9	14	63	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Moreirense	34	16	7	11	1	55	l 0-1A	d 2-2A
-	-	Arouca Home	34	13	7	14	4	46	l 1-4F	d 0-00-0
w 3-2A	l 1-0A	Famalicao	34	10	12	12	-4	42	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Casa Pia	34	10	8	16	-12	38	w 3-1F	w 0-1F
w 2-1F	l 2-0A	Sporting Farense	34	10	7	17	-5	37	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0
d 2-2A	d 1-1A	Rio Ave	34	6	19	9	-5	37	d 2-2A	d 1-1A
w 3-0F	d 2-2F	Gil Vicente	34	9	9	16	-10	36	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
w 4-3A	w 1-2A	Estoril	34	9	6	19	-9	33	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
d 0-00-0	w 1-4A	Estrela Amadora A	34	7	12	15	-20	33	-	-
w 2-1F	w 0-4F	Boavista	34	7	11	16	-23	32	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
d 1-1A	w 1-2F	Portimonense	34	8	8	18	-33	32	w 3-0F	d 1-1F
w 5-0F	d 2-2A	Vizela	34	5	11	18	-30	26	d 1-1F	l 4-0A
l 0-2A	w 1-5A	Chaves	34	5	8	21	-41	23	d 1-1A	d 2-2F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Arouca	2 - 1	Boavista
Arouca	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
Arouca	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Arouca	3 - 2	Famalicao
Arouca	3 - 2	Porto
Arouca	5 - 0	Vizela
Arouca	0 - 3	Benfica
Arouca	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
Arouca	2 - 2	Rio Ave
Arouca	0 - 1	Braga
Arouca	0 - 1	Moreirense
Arouca	0 - 2	Chaves
Arouca	0 - 1	Casa Pia
Arouca	1 - 1	Portimonense
Arouca	4 - 3	Estoril
Arouca	1 - 0	Chaves
Arouca	0 - 1	Porto
Arouca	1 - 0	Vizela
Arouca	1 - 0	Maratimo
Arouca	1 - 1	P. Ferreira

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Arouca	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Arouca	1 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Arouca	2 - 1	Boavista
A	Arouca	3 - 0	Braga
H	Arouca	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
A	Arouca	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Arouca	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Arouca	5 - 1	Chaves
H	Arouca	3 - 2	Famalicao
A	Arouca	0 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Arouca	3 - 2	Porto
A	Arouca	2 - 1	Portimonense
H	Arouca	5 - 0	Vizela
A	Arouca	2 - 1	Estoril
A	Arouca	1 - 2	V. Guimaraes
H	Arouca	0 - 3	Benfica
A	Arouca	4 - 1	Estrela Amadora
H	Arouca	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Arouca	2 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Arouca	4 - 0	Boavista

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 15

Conceded

12 / 15

Clean sheets

3 / 15

Failed to score

7 / 15

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Boavista	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Moreirense	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Famalicao	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Braga	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Porto	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon	3 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Chaves	2 - 2	Estrela Amadora
Portimonense	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Benfica	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	Sporting Farense
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Boavista
H	Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Moreirense
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Famalicao
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	Braga
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Chaves
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	Porto
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 0	Portimonense
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Estoril
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 4	Benfica
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 3	V. Guimaraes
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Vizela
H	Estrela Amadora	1 - 4	Arouca
A	Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Sporting Farense
H	Estrela Amadora	3 - 1	Boavista
A	Estrela Amadora	1 - 1	Rio Ave

Goal Statistics

Arouca have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Arouca 7th	Estrela Amadora 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-29 Estrela Amadora have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season

16%

better

ARO

view stats

Games scored	22		21
Failed to score	12		13
Scored first	12		14
Goals scored	54		33
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate	16%		11%
KickOff rating		+16%

ARO

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		27
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	21		17
Goals conceded	50		53
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate	16%		15%
KickOff rating		+7%

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	15	9	10
C González	C González	C González	B Pinto

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Valido GLK	1			-
B Milovanov DEF	22			3 -
M Rocha DEF	11	1		1 1
F Montero DEF	29	1	1	8 -
Quaresma DEF	6		1	1 -
U Busquets MID	18			2 -
B Pinto MID	32		7	9 1
Jason MID	34	6	5	4 -
C González MID	34	15	9	4 -
M Sylla MID	32	3	5	8 -
V Morozov FWD	3			-
Subs
T Silva GLK	2			-
Weverson DEF	26	1	1	4 -
N Galovic DEF	18		1	3 -
Y Moses MID	3			-
Vitinho MID	7			-
P Santos MID	28	1		7 -
Y Lawal FWD	17		1	1 -
A Trezza FWD	24			5 -
M Puche FWD	23			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	45	9	15
C González	C González	C González	Jason

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C González MID	15	45	9	11
Jason MID	6	22	5	15
M Sylla MID	3	17	5	5
M Rocha DEF	1	1
F Montero DEF	1	1	1	1
Quaresma DEF			1	1
U Busquets MID		1		1
B Pinto MID		1	7	5
V Morozov FWD		1
Subs
Weverson DEF	1	2	1	4
P Santos MID	1	3		1
N Galovic DEF			1	1
Y Lawal FWD			1	1
A Trezza FWD		2		1
M Puche FWD		5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1837	69	143
F Montero	M Sylla	M Sylla

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
F Montero DEF	1837	26	94
B Pinto MID	1780	49	129
M Sylla MID	1190	69	143
C González MID	875	20	99
Jason MID	746	24	123
B Milovanov DEF	495	49	80
M Rocha DEF	372	6	25
U Busquets MID	292	8	15
Quaresma DEF	141	7	30
J Valido GLK	31	1	1
V Morozov FWD	11		7
Subs
P Santos MID	1048	29	77
Weverson DEF	912	49	99
N Galovic DEF	876	9	46
A Trezza FWD	228	17	49
T Silva GLK	102
Y Lawal FWD	92	4	22
M Puche FWD	90	6	21
Vitinho MID	55	4	11
Y Moses MID	32	1	6

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	8	4	6
L Cordeiro	Kikas	L Jabá	R Ndo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Brígido GLK	26			-
Hevertton DEF	29		1	3 1
P Mendes DEF	12			1 -
Mansur DEF	20		1	4 -
J Felipe MID	23	1	2	-
L Cordeiro MID	32	3		5 -
L Bucca MID	15	1		4 -
Nilton MID	12			2 -
A Luiz FWD	27	4		2 -
R Pinho FWD	8	1	1	2 -
L Jabá FWD	31	5	4	3 -
Subs
A Filipe GLK	3			-
R Lima DEF	14		1	3 -
Nanu DEF	12		1	2 -
L Lucão DEF				-
P Sá MID	18			1 -
T Oakley-Boothe MID	2			-
Kikas FWD	31	8	1	4 -
R Ndo FWD	23	1	1	6 -
R Tavares FWD	24	3		2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	4	15
Kikas	Kikas	L Jabá	L Jabá

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Jabá FWD	5	16	4	15
A Luiz FWD	4	10		1
L Cordeiro MID	3	9		2
J Felipe MID	1	3	2	7
L Bucca MID	1	5		2
R Pinho FWD	1	4	1	1
Hevertton DEF		2	1	6
Mansur DEF			1	3
Nilton MID				1
Subs
Kikas FWD	8	20	1	4
R Tavares FWD	3	8
R Ndo FWD	1	7	1	4
R Lima DEF			1	1
Nanu DEF		2	1	4
T Oakley-Boothe MID				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1143	60	135
L Cordeiro	L Cordeiro	L Cordeiro

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Cordeiro MID	1143	60	135
Mansur DEF	857	27	82
Hevertton DEF	830	27	100
B Brígido GLK	699	2	13
L Jabá FWD	523	36	131
J Felipe MID	496	25	46
P Mendes DEF	298	13	48
L Bucca MID	262	34	76
A Luiz FWD	243	19	98
Nilton MID	154	20	51
R Pinho FWD	47	2	14
Subs
R Lima DEF	363	15	41
R Ndo FWD	322	15	77
P Sá MID	318	8	32
Kikas FWD	294	4	48
R Tavares FWD	218	9	67
Nanu DEF	173	8	28
A Filipe GLK	101		1
T Oakley-Boothe MID	30	1	2

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arouca have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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