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Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 20:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

the Estadio Municipal de Arouca crowd welcome Estrela Amadora's supporters on Sunday night, as Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca face Pedro Miguel Marques da Costa Filipe's troops in the Liga NOS. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of Arouca and Estrela Amadora serving up at least a couple of goals in this Liga NOS clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
44%
11/10-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Estrela Amadora
30%
11/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Arouca 1-0
10%
7/1-
Arouca 2-1
9%
8/1-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
9/1-
Arouca 2-0
7%
10/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
16/1-
Arouca 3-1
5%
16/1-
Arouca 3-0
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
25/1-
Arouca 3-2
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
33/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4-
BTTS - No
44%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1-
Home/draw
70%
4/11-
Away/draw
56%
4/6-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/7-
Away DNB
48%
5/4-
Arouca win to nil
23%
11/4-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
15%
9/2-
Arouca / Arouca
23%
13/5-
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/1-
Arouca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Arouca
15%
9/2-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
4%
22/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
17%
4/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto77001521 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
Apr 25
Dec 13
2
Benfica75111516 
Jan 10
May 16
Nov 8
Apr 4
3
S. Lisbon7430915 
Feb 28
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
4
Santa Clara7430715 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 21
May 9
Dec 27
5
Arouca7322311 
-
-
Mar 7
Oct 11
6
Braga6321211 
Apr 18
Dec 6
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
7
Academico Viseu7322011 
Apr 25
Dec 13
l
 
0-2A
Feb 28
8
Estrela Amadora7241010 
Oct 11
Mar 7
-
-
9
Gil Vicente622208 
May 9
Dec 27
Dec 6
Apr 18
10
Alverca7223-28 
Mar 14
Oct 24
Jan 24
d
 
2-2F
11
Maratimo7223-48 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 7
Dec 20
May 2
12
Moreirense7223-68 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
Mar 21
Oct 31
13
Famalicao714227 
Apr 4
Nov 6
d
 
2-2A
Feb 14
14
V. Guimaraes7124-35 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
Nov 28
15
Nacional7115-84 
Nov 1
Mar 21
Feb 7
w
 
2-3A
16
Rio Ave7115-104 
Nov 28
Apr 11
Feb 21
d
 
3-3F
17
Casa Pia7115-134 
Dec 20
May 2
Oct 24
Mar 14
18
Estoril7025-72 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 10
May 16
Win / draw / win form
Arouca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca2 - 1Maratimo
Arouca4 - 0Moreirense
Arouca3 - 1Tondela
Arouca2 - 2Santa Clara
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca3 - 2Estoril
Arouca1 - 2Benfica
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArouca1 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca0 - 0Estoril
HArouca2 - 1Maratimo
AArouca0 - 2Porto
HArouca4 - 0Moreirense
AArouca1 - 0V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 1Tondela
AArouca3 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca2 - 2Santa Clara
AArouca1 - 2Alverca
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca0 - 1Braga
HArouca3 - 2Estoril
AArouca1 - 0Moreirense
HArouca1 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
AArouca1 - 3Porto
HArouca3 - 0Nacional
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave3 - 3Estrela Amadora
Nacional2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Braga2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Moreirense3 - 2Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AVS0 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Academico Viseu
AEstrela Amadora3 - 3Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Nacional
AEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora2 - 2Braga
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora2 - 3Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Nacional
HEstrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arouca since 2024
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
1 / 3
ARO
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Arouca1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
Arouca
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora3 - 1
Estrela Amadora2 - 1
1 - 4Arouca
Goal Statistics

Arouca's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 8 Liga NOS outings. A PG of 1.5 for V. Freire De Seabra's side suggests that run should continue.

Arouca 5th Estrela Amadora 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Arouca have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Estrela Amadora have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ARO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7443
I ArruabarrenaBarberoN Djouahra J Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK7
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF7
1
-
T Esgaio DEF7
-
J Fontán DEF72
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID7
-
P Santos MID71
1
-
T Fukui MID7
-
E. van Ee MID71
2
-
A Trezza FWD71
-
Barbero FWD74
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD74
1
-
J Sánchez DEF6
3
-
P Gozálbez MID61
-
D Nandin FWD62
2
-
B Mansilla FWD6
2
-
H. Lee MID31
1
-
G Rukavina FWD2
1
-
F Mayulu FWD2
-
B Popovic DEF1
-
D Monteiro DEF1
1
1
M. Climent Plá DEF1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7434
L LinckL AntonettiE. DouéE. Doué
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Linck GLK7
-
R Soares DEF72
-
M. Scholze DEF711
2
-
L. Zvonarek MID7
-
E. Doué MID73
4
-
B. Loussakou Souza FWD711
1
-
L Antonetti FWD741
1
-
A Marcus FWD741
-
I Stoica FWD742
-
S Lekovic DEF6
3
-
L Patrick DEF6
2
-
J Jordán MID5
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID51
1
-
J Encada DEF4
-
S. Ferreira Serra MID4
-
B Schappo DEF3
-
K Jansson MID3
-
A. Souza de Jesus FWD3
-
E. Pedro Vanga MID2
1
-
R. Mitongo Muteba FWD2
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF1
-