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Arouca v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 15:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Sunday afternoon sees Vasco César Freire De Seabra’s Arouca and João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu’s Estrela Amadora go head to head in a Liga NOS clash at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and sadness to each set of fans. We predict both Arouca and Estrela Amadora to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
48%
1/1
2%
11/10
2%
Draw
23%
12/5
3%
23/10
3%
Estrela Amadora
29%
5/2
7%
13/5
3%
Draw 1-1
10%
11/25/1
Arouca 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Arouca 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
6/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Arouca 2-0
7%
9/1
5%
8/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
6%
10/117/2
Arouca 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
10/1
10%
8/1
6%
Arouca 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Arouca 3-2
4%
25/118/1
10%
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Arouca 4-1
3%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
9/10
3%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
9/10
3%
5/6
2%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/118/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4
5%
11/8
3%
No 1st Goal
2%
10/1
10%
8/1
6%
BTTS - Yes
62%
7/10
6%
8/11
1%
BTTS - No
38%
21/20
5%
1/1
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3/1
8%
3/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Home/draw
71%
2/7
3%
2/7
Away/draw
52%
8/11
4%
8/11
1%
Home/away
77%
3/10
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/4
3%
2/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
11/4
7%
12/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
9/4
4%
21/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/2
7%
5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/9
1%
1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
12/1
13%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/25
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/1
10%
8/1
6%
Home DNB
64%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Away DNB
45%
6/4
5%
6/4
4%
Arouca win to nil
21%
11/4
7%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
12%
11/2-
Arouca / Arouca
25%
9/4
2%
11/5
3%
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Arouca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Arouca
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
11%
13/2
6%
13/2
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
4%
22/120/1
11%
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 14 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 27 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 28 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Estrela Amadora have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2815762852 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
May 17
5
Famalicao2913881147 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 10
w
 
2-3A
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
7
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-3F
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
10
Alverca299812-1535 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
12
Arouca299515-2132 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
-
-
15
Nacional296716-1025 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-5A
17
Tondela284915-2521 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
6
Estrela Amadora have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Arouca 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca3 - 2Estoril
Arouca1 - 2Benfica
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca0 - 1Braga
HArouca3 - 2Estoril
AArouca1 - 0Moreirense
HArouca1 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
AArouca1 - 3Porto
HArouca3 - 0Nacional
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 14TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AVS0 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Nacional
HEstrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arouca since 2024
Arouca
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
1
0
Games: Scored
1 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
1 / 2
ARO
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
Arouca
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
ARO
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora3 - 1
Estrela Amadora2 - 1
1 - 4Arouca
Goal Statistics
Arouca 12th Estrela Amadora 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 74% probability that Estrela Amadora will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Arouca have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-22
Estrela Amadora have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
19%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored20
16
Failed to score9
13
Scored first13
7
Goals scored37
33
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
ARO
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first15
18
Goals conceded58
48
Avg. goals conceded2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%

Arouca v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28839
N Djouahra A TrezzaN Djouahra J Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Djouahra  FWD2963
2
-
T Fukui MID2822
2
1
A Trezza FWD2783
1
1
J Fontán DEF2623
6
3
H. Lee MID2653
5
1
Barbero FWD2672
5
-
M Puche FWD2611
4
-
T Esgaio DEF2413
9
-
P Gozálbez MID2311
4
-
E. van Ee MID2111
5
-
D Nandin FWD191
2
1
B Mansilla FWD181
1
-
B Popovic DEF171
3
-
A Dante DEF16
-
P Santos MID13
2
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
2
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
M. Flores Lozano MID7
1
-
D Monteiro DEF6
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
J. Vinarčík GLK1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29658
R RibeiroKikasA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK29
3
-
I Stoica FWD2822
4
-
L Patrick DEF27
3
1
A Marcus FWD2655
1
1
R Pinho FWD2541
3
-
B Schappo DEF24
5
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2432
7
1
J Encada DEF222
5
-
J Cabral FWD225
5
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD192
-
Kikas FWD1761
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID161
4
-
A Chernev DEF15
4
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID14
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
2
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
L Antonetti FWD10
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-