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Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva welcomes Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido to the Estádio da Luz on Sunday evening, as their Benfica and Vitoria Guimaraes sides go head to head in the Liga NOS. Stats for our tip of Benfica to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Benfica. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against V. Guimaraes too. The odds point towards Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday evening too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Benfica 77%	2/9 6%	-
Draw 14%	19/4 12%	-
V. Guimaraes 9%	9/1 23%	-
Benfica 2-0 11%	6/1 8%	-
Benfica 3-0 10%	7/1 14%	-
Benfica 2-1 9%	8/1 10%	-
Benfica 1-0 8%	8/1 6%	-
Benfica 3-1 8%	10/1	-
Draw 1-1 7%	10/1 15%	-
Benfica 4-0 7%	11/1 20%	-
Benfica 4-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1 19%	-
Benfica 5-0 3%	20/1 11%	-
Draw 0-0 3%	18/1	-
Benfica 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	-
Benfica 5-1 3%	25/1	-
V. Guimaraes 2-1 3%	28/1 15%	-
V. Guimaraes 1-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	1/2 1%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	6/4 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 61%	2/7 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 37%	13/5 10%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	19/20 5%	-
BTTS - No 49%	4/5 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 35%	7/4 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 11%	6/1 18%	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	16/1 19%	-
Home/draw 91%	1/16 2%	-
Away/draw 23%	11/4 17%	-
Home/away 85%	1/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	1/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	9/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 45%	5/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 55%	4/7 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	7/1 14%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1/12 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/50	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	18/1	-
Home DNB 87%	1/14 2%	-
Away DNB 19%	8/1 18%	-
Benfica win to nil 42%	11/10 15%	-
V. Guimaraes win to nil 4%	18/1 10%	-
Benfica / Benfica 48%	8/11 7%	-
Benfica / V. Guimaraes 2%	50/1	-
Benfica / Draw 4%	18/1 10%	-
Draw / Benfica 21%	3/1	-
Draw / V. Guimaraes 4%	20/1 19%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	8/1 10%	-
V. Guimaraes / Benfica 4%	18/1	-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes 4%	18/1 17%	-
V. Guimaraes / Draw 4%	20/1 19%	-

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Benfica V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	15	21	Feb 28	l 3-1A	Nov 8	Apr 4
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	15	16	-	-	Mar 7	Oct 11
3	S. Lisbon	7	4	3	0	9	15	Dec 27	May 9	Jan 24	l 3-2A
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	7	15	Mar 14	Oct 26	May 2	Dec 20
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	3	11	May 16	Jan 10	l 0-1A	Jan 17
6	Braga	6	3	2	1	2	11	Dec 13	Apr 25	Feb 7	l 1-0A
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11	d 2-2F	Jan 17	Feb 21	l 2-1A
8	Estrela Amadora	7	2	4	1	0	10	Apr 4	Nov 8	Nov 28	Apr 11
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8	w 3-1A	Feb 21	Mar 21	Nov 2
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8	Nov 2	Mar 21	Dec 13	Apr 25
11	Maratimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8	Feb 14	w 0-3F	Oct 23	Mar 14
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8	Jan 31	w 0-4F	d 1-1A	Feb 28
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	2	7	Nov 30	Apr 11	May 16	Jan 10
14	V. Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5	Oct 11	Mar 7	-	-
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4	Apr 18	Dec 6	w 1-0F	Jan 31
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4	May 2	Dec 20	Dec 27	May 9
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4	Jan 24	w 0-7F	d 0-00-0	Feb 14
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2	w 2-1F	Feb 7	Apr 18	Dec 6

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

V. Guimaraes have lost 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
Benfica	2 - 1	Estoril
Benfica	2 - 2	Academico Viseu
Benfica	2 - 2	Braga
Benfica	4 - 1	Moreirense
Benfica	2 - 0	Nacional
Benfica	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Benfica	2 - 2	Porto
Benfica	3 - 0	AVS
Benfica	2 - 1	Alverca
Benfica	4 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Benfica	3 - 1	Estoril
Benfica	1 - 0	Famalicao
Benfica	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Benfica	2 - 2	Casa Pia
Benfica	5 - 0	Arouca
Benfica	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
Benfica	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Benfica	1 - 1	Santa Clara
Benfica	3 - 0	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Benfica	1 - 3	Porto
H	Benfica	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
A	Benfica	4 - 0	Moreirense
A	Benfica	3 - 0	Maratimo
H	Benfica	2 - 1	Estoril
A	Benfica	7 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Benfica	2 - 2	Academico Viseu
A	Benfica	3 - 1	Estoril
H	Benfica	2 - 2	Braga
A	Benfica	2 - 2	Famalicao
H	Benfica	4 - 1	Moreirense
A	Benfica	2 - 1	S. Lisbon
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Nacional
A	Benfica	1 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Benfica	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Benfica	2 - 1	Arouca
H	Benfica	2 - 2	Porto
A	Benfica	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Benfica	3 - 0	AVS
A	Benfica	2 - 1	Santa Clara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Academico Viseu	2 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Braga	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Nacional	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon	5 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
AVS	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Benfica	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Braga	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Arouca	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Estoril	4 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia	0 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Famalicao	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Alverca	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Porto	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Moreirense
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Academico Viseu
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 0	Casa Pia
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Braga
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Nacional
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Arouca
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Nacional
H	V. Guimaraes	0 - 1	Casa Pia
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 5	S. Lisbon
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 0	Rio Ave
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	AVS
H	V. Guimaraes	5 - 0	Tondela
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 3	Benfica
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 2	Famalicao
A	V. Guimaraes	0 - 2	Santa Clara
H	V. Guimaraes	1 - 1	Alverca
A	V. Guimaraes	2 - 3	Braga
H	V. Guimaraes	2 - 1	Estrela Amadora

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Benfica

V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

2 / 11

Clean sheets

9 / 11

1 / 11

BEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica	3 - 0
Benfica	1 - 0
Benfica	4 - 0
Benfica	5 - 1
Benfica	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Benfica	2 - 0
Benfica	3 - 2
Benfica	2 - 0
Benfica	5 - 0
Benfica	1 - 0

V. Guimaraes

Benfica

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 11

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

7 / 11

BEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
	0 - 3	Benfica
	0 - 3	Benfica
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Benfica
	1 - 3	Benfica
	0 - 1	Benfica
	0 - 1	Benfica
	1 - 3	Benfica
	0 - 2	Benfica
	0 - 1	Benfica

Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Vitoria Guimaraes fans, as should a 5 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Benfica 2nd	V. Guimaraes 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.6 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 19% 2 25% 3 22% 4 14% 5+ 20% There is a 81% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 V. Guimaraes have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2026/2027 season

better

BEF

GUI

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BEF

GUI

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Benfica v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	8	3	3
S Soares	V Pavlidis	G Prestianni	T Araújo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Soares GLK	7			-
S Dahl DEF	7			-
T Araújo DEF	7		1	3 -
C Lenglet DEF	7	1		1 1
L Barreiro MID	7	2	1	-
A Schjelderup FWD	7	1	2	-
G Prestianni FWD	7	5	3	1 -
V Pavlidis FWD	7	8	2	-
R Silva FWD	7	1	2	-
H Sudakov MID	6			2 -
J Durán FWD	6	1		1 -
D Lukébakio FWD	6			-
A Bah DEF	5	1	1	1 -
J Palhinha MID	5			2 -
E Barrenechea MID	5		1	1 -
F Aursnes MID	3	1		-
S Karouani DEF	2			-
A Circati DEF	2			1 -
D. Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui DEF	2			-
Manu MID	1			-
C Echeverri MID	1		1	-
J Kaminski FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	13	3	4
V Pavlidis	V Pavlidis	G Prestianni	G Prestianni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Pavlidis FWD	8	13	2	3
G Prestianni FWD	5	11	3	4
L Barreiro MID	2	5	1	1
C Lenglet DEF	1	2		3
A Schjelderup FWD	1	2	2	2
R Silva FWD	1	4	2	2
J Durán FWD	1	1
A Bah DEF	1	3	1	1
F Aursnes MID	1	1
S Dahl DEF		1		1
T Araújo DEF		1	1
H Sudakov MID		2
D Lukébakio FWD		1
J Palhinha MID		2
E Barrenechea MID			1	1
C Echeverri MID		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
602	16	56
T Araújo	J Palhinha	G Prestianni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Araújo DEF	602	7	18
C Lenglet DEF	558	7	25
S Dahl DEF	412	7	25
G Prestianni FWD	283	12	56
J Palhinha MID	239	16	34
A Bah DEF	222	5	19
E Barrenechea MID	220	8	16
L Barreiro MID	186	8	29
R Silva FWD	177	7	31
V Pavlidis FWD	166	8	40
A Schjelderup FWD	159	4	14
S Soares GLK	152	1	2
H Sudakov MID	146	5	17
D. Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui DEF	96	5	13
F Aursnes MID	67	2	4
A Circati DEF	60	1	4
Manu MID	41
D Lukébakio FWD	37	1	6
J Durán FWD	24	2	4
J Kaminski FWD	23	1	3
S Karouani DEF	17	1	3
C Echeverri MID	13		2

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	1	3	3
O Zych	G Nogueira	J. Costa Nogueira	G. da Silva Cunha

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Zych GLK	7			-
J Mendes DEF	7			-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF	7			2 -
T Strata DEF	7		1	1 -
L Doucet MID	7			1 -
Beni MID	7			-
G Nogueira MID	7	1		1 -
Samu MID	7	1		-
J. Costa Nogueira FWD	7		3	2 -
O. Camara FWD	7			1 -
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	7	1		3 -
A Ndoye FWD	6	1		1
O Rivas DEF	5			2 -
M. Mitrovic MID	3			1 -
A Jakupovic FWD	3			1 -
V Ouotro FWD	3			-
T Arcanjo FWD	3			-
T Borevkovic DEF	2	1		1 -
A. Sidibé DEF	2			-
Maga DEF	2			-
Alanzinho MID	2		1	-
V Andersson FWD	2			-
S. Verdi Oliveira Silva MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	7	3	3
G Nogueira	G. da Silva Cunha	J. Costa Nogueira	T Strata

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Nogueira MID	1	1		1
Samu MID	1	6		2
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	1	7		3
A Ndoye FWD	1	4		1
T Borevkovic DEF	1	1
J Mendes DEF		3
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF		1
T Strata DEF		2	1	3
L Doucet MID				2
J. Costa Nogueira FWD			3	2
O. Camara FWD		3		1
A Jakupovic FWD		2		1
V Ouotro FWD		1
T Arcanjo FWD				1
Alanzinho MID		2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
452	15	46
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho	T Strata	G. da Silva Cunha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF	452	14	27
J Mendes DEF	345	10	22
T Strata DEF	300	15	23
O Rivas DEF	269	4	20
Beni MID	256	11	25
L Doucet MID	227	5	15
Samu MID	204	15	25
O Zych GLK	202		2
G Nogueira MID	191	8	13
G. da Silva Cunha FWD	120	14	46
T Borevkovic DEF	108	2	7
J. Costa Nogueira FWD	107	3	18
A. Sidibé DEF	94	2	8
O. Camara FWD	85	5	20
A Ndoye FWD	60	3	45
M. Mitrovic MID	56	1	3
Alanzinho MID	54	1	5
A Jakupovic FWD	53	7	14
Maga DEF	52	1	2
T Arcanjo FWD	22	1	2
V Andersson FWD	11		3
V Ouotro FWD	9		5
S. Verdi Oliveira Silva MID	8

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Moreirense v Gil Vicente

Fri 9th Oct, 18:45

Braga v S. Lisbon

Fri 9th Oct, 20:15

Casa Pia v Santa Clara

Sat 10th Oct, 15:30

Maratimo v Porto

Sat 10th Oct, 18:00

Academico Viseu v Estoril

Sat 10th Oct, 20:30

Rio Ave v Nacional

Sun 11th Oct, 15:30

Benfica v V. Guimaraes

Sun 11th Oct, 18:00

Arouca v Estrela Amadora

Sun 11th Oct, 20:30

Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Benfica v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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