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FC Porto v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 15th Dec, 20:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Estrela Amadora are away from home on Monday night, as manager João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu takes his men to visit FC Porto and Francesco Farioli at the Estádio do Dragão in the Liga NOS. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

As training goes on this week and the Porto players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Estádio do Dragão hasn't been a successful away day for Estrela Amadora in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Monday night. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
71%
-1/5
2%
Draw
19%
-6/1
7%
Estrela Amadora
10%
-14/1
Porto 2-0
14%
-9/2
Porto 1-0
14%
-11/2
Porto 3-0
10%
-11/2
8%
Porto 2-1
9%
-15/2
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
-10/1
8%
Draw 0-0
7%
-12/1
13%
Porto 3-1
6%
-9/1
Porto 4-0
5%
-8/1
6%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
4%
-20/1
Porto 4-1
3%
-14/1
Draw 2-2
3%
-22/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
3%
-28/1
Porto 5-0
2%
-14/1
15%
Porto 3-2
2%
-25/1
Porto 5-1
1%
-22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
-4/7
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
-13/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
63%
-1/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
33%
-4/1
5%
No 1st Goal
4%
-12/1
13%
BTTS - Yes
41%
-11/8
3%
BTTS - No
59%
-8/15
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
-11/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
-15/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
-20/1
Home/draw
90%
-1/50
Away/draw
29%
-7/2
6%
Home/away
81%
-1/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
-2/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
-17/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
-29/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
-1/2
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
-16/5
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-1/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-12/1
13%
Home DNB
84%
-1/33
Away DNB
23%
-9/1
9%
Porto win to nil
47%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
6%
--
Porto / Porto
48%
-13/20
2%
Porto / Estrela Amadora
2%
-50/1
Porto / Draw
4%
-20/1
Draw / Porto
21%
-14/5
Draw / Estrela Amadora
4%
-20/1
Draw / Draw
9%
-15/2
6%
Estrela Amadora / Porto
4%
-18/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
5%
-16/1
11%
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
-20/1
9%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 13 games. Porto are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 14 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 7 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 14 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1312102437 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 15
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica138501829 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
4
Gil Vicente137331024 
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Braga136431322 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
Jan 3
May 16
6
Famalicao13553520 
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
May 9
Dec 27
7
Moreirense13625120 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
Dec 20
May 2
8
V. Guimaraes13535-318 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
9
Alverca13526-417 
May 2
Dec 22
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
10
Rio Ave13373-416 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
11
Santa Clara13436-315 
May 16
Jan 4
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
12
Estoril13355114 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
13
Estrela Amadora13355-314 
Dec 15
Apr 25
-
-
14
Nacional13337-612 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
15
Casa Pia13238-149 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
16
Tondela13238-159 
Apr 18
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
17
Arouca13238-239 
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
18
AVS130310-223 
Dec 27
May 9
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
5
Porto have won 5 consecutive league games
16
Porto have not lost in 16 consecutive league games
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
Estrela Amadora 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for FC Porto in their clash with Estrela Amadora, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Liga NOS games.

With a PG of just 0.6, Estrela Amadora look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that FC Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for J. Rodrigues Carromeu's men.

Porto 1st Estrela Amadora 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
53%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Estrela Amadora will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-36
Estrela Amadora have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
2.1
0.6
Attack rating
49%
better
PTO
view stats
Games scored11
6
Failed to score1
6
Scored first10
2
Goals scored25
13
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
70%
better
PTO
view stats
Games conceded3
9
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first1
8
Goals conceded3
18
Avg. goals conceded0.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded24
6
Conversion rate against4%
16%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+70%

Porto v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13754
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK13
1
-
J Bednarek DEF13
4
-
V. Froholdt MID1323
1
-
B Sainz FWD1332
4
-
A Varela MID12
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD1271
2
-
F Moura DEF1111
3
-
A Baio DEF115
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID111
-
G Veiga MID1114
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD104
2
-
Pepê FWD1022
1
-
J Kiwior DEF91
-
P Rosario MID91
4
-
D Gül FWD92
1
-
Zaidu  DEF811
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF6
2
1
S Eustaquio MID6
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13524
R RibeiroS CabralS CabralO Ngom
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK13
1
-
L Patrick DEF13
2
-
S Cabral DEF1352
2
-
A Chernev DEF12
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID122
2
1
I Stoica FWD1222
1
-
Kikas FWD1241
-
A Marcus FWD1212
-
B Schappo DEF11
3
-
R Pinho FWD1111
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID10
2
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD102
-
J Encada DEF9
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF8
1
-
J Cabral FWD8
2
-
O Ngom MID71
3
1
J. Gastão FWD71
2
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
L Antonetti FWD4
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID3
1
-
I Dramé DEF1
-