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Benfica v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Roger Schmidt welcomes Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte to the Estádio da Luz on Saturday evening, as their Benfica and Sporting Braga teams go head to head in the Liga NOS. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Benfica's next match is v Famalicao at 20:30 on Sunday 5th May
Sporting Braga's next match is v Casa Pia at 18:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Braga was on Saturday 27th April 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 27th 2024
Benfica 3
1 Braga
 
M. Santos Almeida 71'28' R. Horta
D. Neres Campos 85'
M. Santos Almeida 90'
 
BEF
BRG
Shots On
6
7
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
6
3
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
13
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/1
 
BenficaBraga
 
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva
A. Hartmann Bah (?. Fernández 52')
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo
F. Aursnes
Á. Di María Hernández (T. Antunes Gouveia 90')
A. Mendonça Cabral (O. Kökçü 70')
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva (M. Santos Almeida 70')
D. Neres Camposfootball icon (B. Rollheiser 90')
M. Lima Magalhães
S. Niakate
C. Borja González
V. Gómez Perea
P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
(V. Carvalho Vieira 64') R. Zalazar Martínez
(A. Tué Na Bangna 83') C. Ndour
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
(M. Mesquita Lopes 69') Á. Dias Fernandes
football iconR. Horta
S. Banza
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of Braga ready themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After studying the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both sides know how to find the back of the net and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Benfica
60%
4/711/20
3%
--
Draw
20%
15/4
13%
18/5
10%
--
Braga
20%
4/1
5%
17/4--
Benfica 2-1
10%
15/213/2--
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
13%
--
Benfica 2-0
8%
9/1
25%
8/1
20%
--
Benfica 1-0
8%
11/1
50%
17/2
36%
--
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
14%
--
Benfica 3-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
15%
--
Braga 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1--
Benfica 3-2
4%
16/1
26%
12/1
24%
--
Braga 1-0
4%
20/1
40%
16/1
31%
--
Benfica 4-1
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
12%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
22/1
77%
14/1
36%
--
Benfica 4-0
3%
20/116/1--
Braga 2-0
2%
28/122/1
10%
--
Benfica 4-2
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
28%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
2/5
18%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
15/8
37%
---
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/5---
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
7%
---
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1
77%
---
BTTS - Yes
61%
1/2
17%
1/2
17%
--
BTTS - No
39%
6/4
28%
29/20
26%
--
BTTS - Home Win
33%
13/8
19%
6/4
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/24/1--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
28%
6/1
18%
--
Home/draw
80%
1/62/13--
Away/draw
40%
13/107/5
4%
--
Home/away
80%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/9
9%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
11/2
63%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
1/1
27%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/11
24%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
9/4
35%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/3
14%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
5/1
45%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/8
7%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80
3%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/1
77%
---
Home DNB
74%
1/4
2%
2/9--
Away DNB
34%
11/4
6%
29/10--
Benfica win to nil
27%
12/5
24%
---
Braga win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
---
Benfica / Benfica
33%
11/8
1%
5/4
5%
--
Benfica / Braga
3%
28/1
29%
25/1
10%
--
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/112/1--
Draw / Benfica
17%
15/4
10%
7/2
7%
--
Draw / Braga
8%
10/19/1--
Draw / Draw
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
17%
--
Braga / Benfica
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
--
Braga / Braga
11%
7/1
11%
13/2
6%
--
Braga / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1--
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 68 goals to 63 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 40 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Braga are in 4th position in the Liga NOS on 62 points having played 30 matches so far this season. Braga are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 34 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Braga have conceded 9 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Benfica
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Braga
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
 S. Lisbon3126326081 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
-
-
 Benfica Home3124434676 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
 Porto3119663163 
May 19
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Braga Away3119572062 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
 V. Guimaraes3118671460 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Moreirense3113711-246 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
May 12
w
 
0-3F
 Arouca31136121145 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
May 5
 Famalicao3181211-636 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Casa Pia319814-1135 
May 5
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Sporting Farense319715-234 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Estoril319616-633 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1A
May 19
 Rio Ave315179-632 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Gil Vicente318815-1132 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2F
 Boavista317915-2230 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
 Estrela Amadora3161114-1729 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Portimonense317717-3228 
w
 
6-1A
w
 
3-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Chaves315818-3423 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
6-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Vizela3141017-3322 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Braga
Goals: Scored
26
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
BEF
6
BRG
2
All league games since 2015
Benfica
Braga
Goals: Scored
45
18
Games: Scored
15 / 17
11 / 17
Clean sheets
6 / 17
2 / 17
BEF
13
BRG
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Benfica in their clash with Sporting Braga, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Benfica 2nd Braga 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Benfica have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Braga have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264910/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
2.2
1.2
Attack rating
16%
better
BEF
BRG
view stats
Games scored29
26
Failed to score2
5
Scored first22
18
Goals scored71
64
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate18%
16%
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
37%
better
BEF
BRG
view stats
Games conceded16
25
Clean sheets15
6
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded25
44
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate10%
16%
KickOff rating
+37%

Benfica v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27121110
F AursnesR SilvaR SilvaN Otamendi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK24
1
-
A Bah DEF1721
3
-
A Silva DEF262
6
-
N Otamendi DEF2621
10
-
F Aursnes DEF2826
2
-
Florentino MID25
6
-
J Mário MID2631
3
-
Ángel Di María MID2488
3
-
R Silva MID271211
3
-
D Neres  MID2147
1
-
A Cabral FWD2551
2
-
Subs
S Soares GLK4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF6
1
-
Morato DEF191
2
-
J Neves MID2931
3
-
O Kökcü MID2247
5
-
B Rollheiser FWD51
1
-
M Leonardo FWD115
-
T Gouveia FWD823
-
C Tengstedt FWD1531
1
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292167
MatheusS BanzaR Zalazar J Moutinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK29
3
-
V Gómez DEF261
1
-
P Oliveira DEF161
4
-
S Niakaté DEF14
3
1
C Borja DEF2515
3
-
J Moutinho MID251
7
-
R Zalazar  MID2736
4
-
Álvaro Djaló MID2673
5
-
C Ndour MID61
-
R Horta MID2373
3
-
S Banza FWD23214
2
-
Subs
L Hornicek GLK
-
J Fonte DEF17
7
-
J. Wooding Mendes DEF132
1
-
A Marín DEF8
-
V Carvalho MID221
7
-
Pizzi MID2513
1
-
Bruma  FWD2151
2
-
R Lopes FWD1711
-
Y. Vasconcelos Said FWD
-