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Benfica v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 01:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Sunday morning, as José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and his Benfica side host Carlos Vicens’s Sporting Braga at the Estádio da Luz. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
48%
--
Draw
24%
--
Braga
28%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Benfica 2-1
9%
--
Benfica 1-0
9%
--
Benfica 2-0
8%
--
Braga 2-1
7%
--
Braga 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Benfica 3-1
5%
--
Benfica 3-0
4%
--
Braga 2-0
4%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Braga 3-1
3%
--
Braga 3-2
2%
--
Benfica 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
Benfica win to nil
23%
--
Braga win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 29 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 29 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 16 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 7 and lost no matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 67 goals to 58 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 39 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Braga are in 4th position in the Liga NOS on 56 points having played 30 matches so far this season. Braga are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Braga have conceded 9 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Braga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
2
Benfica3122904775 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
May 10
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga3016862956 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
-
-
5
Famalicao3114981251 
w
 
1-0F
May 2
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
7
V. Guimaraes3112613-542 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
8
Moreirense3111614-1139 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
9
Alverca3110813-1538 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
10
Estoril3110714-137 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
May 3
l
 
1-0A
11
Arouca3110516-2135 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
12
Rio Ave3181013-1934 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Nacional318716-731 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
14
Santa Clara307815-1129 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
d
 
3-3F
16
Casa Pia3051114-2526 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela304917-2921 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS3011019-4313 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
3
Benfica have won 3 consecutive home league games
24
Benfica have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica4 - 1Moreirense
Benfica2 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Benfica3 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica4 - 1Moreirense
ABenfica2 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1Casa Pia
HBenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 1Arouca
HBenfica2 - 2Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 1Braga
Moreirense0 - 1Braga
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Gil Vicente2 - 1Braga
AVS0 - 4Braga
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Famalicao1 - 2Braga
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Porto2 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Casa Pia2 - 1Braga
Famalicao1 - 1Braga
Estoril0 - 2Braga
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
Sporting Farense0 - 1Braga
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABraga1 - 0Casa Pia
HBraga2 - 2Famalicao
HBraga1 - 0Arouca
ABraga1 - 0Moreirense
HBraga1 - 2Porto
HBraga2 - 2S. Lisbon
ABraga2 - 1Nacional
HBraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga1 - 2Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga4 - 0AVS
HBraga5 - 0Alverca
ABraga1 - 0Tondela
ABraga3 - 3Estrela Amadora
HBraga2 - 2Benfica
ABraga0 - 1Estoril
HBraga1 - 0Santa Clara
ABraga2 - 1Famalicao
ABraga4 - 0Arouca
HBraga2 - 1Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Braga
Goals: Scored
30
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
BEF
7
BRG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica6 - 1
2 - 3Braga
0 - 1Braga
Benfica6 - 2
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica5 - 1
League games at Braga since 2015
Braga
Benfica
Goals: Scored
11
22
Games: Scored
6 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
5 / 11
BEF
7
D
2
BRG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
Braga3 - 0
Braga3 - 2
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 4Benfica
1 - 4Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Sporting Braga on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Benfica's defensive record is very strong, José Mourinho's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Sporting Braga makes sense in this context.

Benfica 2nd Braga 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Benfica have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
BEF
BRG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BEF
BRG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292258
V PavlidisV PavlidisL BarreiroG Prestianni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD31224
3
-
S Dahl DEF3011
3
-
A Trubin GLK29
2
-
N Otamendi DEF282
6
1
L Barreiro MID2835
1
-
G Prestianni FWD2634
7
1
F Aursnes MID2534
2
-
R Ríos MID2534
8
-
E Barrenechea MID251
6
-
A Schjelderup FWD2564
2
-
A Silva DEF232
4
-
F Ivanovic FWD2361
1
-
H Sudakov MID2242
2
-
A Dedic DEF2114
2
2
T Araújo DEF2111
3
-
D Lukébakio FWD153
1
-
Manu MID8
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
A Bah DEF71
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301548
L HornicekR Zalazar P VictorG Lagerbielke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK30
2
-
V Gómez DEF3013
1
-
P Victor FWD2984
5
-
J Moutinho MID2811
5
-
R Horta FWD27144
4
1
G Martínez FWD263
3
1
L Lelo DEF254
1
-
G Lagerbielke DEF252
7
1
Gorby MID25
4
-
R Zalazar  MID25154
6
-
F Navarro FWD2561
2
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF23
3
-
D. Oliveira Rodrigues MID2012
2
-
F Grillitsch  MID1911
3
-
G Salles MID19
3
-
M Dorgeles MID171
-
P Oliveira DEF14
2
-
V Carvalho MID1221
4
-
S Niakaté DEF11
2
-
A Ouazzani FWD112
-
S. Rodrigues Vidigal FWD4
1
-
Y. da Rocha MID3
-