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Alverca v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Estoril, led by manager Ian Cathro, visit Custódio André Gune and his Alverca side at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on Sunday night in the Liga NOS. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Alverca's next match is v Famalicao at 01:00 on Sunday 17th May
Estoril's next match is v Benfica at 01:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Alverca and Estoril was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 10th 2026
Alverca 1
1 Estoril
 
L. Figueiredo dos Santos 12'47' A. Ferreira Lacximicant
 
EST
Shots On
1
3
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
4
4
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
20
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
AlvercaEstoril
 
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
D. Gui (C. Nuozzi 88')
L. Oliveira dos Santos
L. Figueiredo dos Santosfootball icon
Matheus Mendes
N. Meupiyou Menadjou (S. Baseya 88')
D. Spencer Marques (I. de La Caridad Caldeira dos Santos 66')
R. Simião Gomes (V. Silva Moreira 74')
S. Cesar (F. de Almeida Lima 74')
J. Robles Blázquez
(G. Faria Costa 46') F. Reis Ferreira
A. Tsoungui
(K. Boma 72') M. da Silva Rocha
J. Holsgrove
(P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 80') R. Sánchez Sendra
J. Antunes Carvalho
(A. Ferreira Lacximicant 46') P. Gaspar Amaral
F. Bacher
Y. Begraoui
(A. Ramos das Neves 80') R. Guitane

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of Alverca and Estoril serving up a minimum of two goals in this Liga NOS match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alverca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
42%
6/416/1
Draw
24%
5/21/20
Estoril
33%
31/2014/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/22/11
Alverca 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Alverca 1-0
8%
10/13/1
Estoril 2-1
8%
9/17/1
Estoril 1-0
7%
10/18/1
Alverca 2-0
6%
14/119/4
Draw 2-2
6%
10/140/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/1
Estoril 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Alverca 3-1
5%
18/160/1
Estoril 3-1
4%
18/150/1
Alverca 3-0
3%
25/112/1
Alverca 3-2
3%
22/1150/1
Estoril 3-2
3%
22/1150/1
Estoril 3-0
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/617/5
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
23/202/11
Home 1st Goal
50%
10/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/73/5
BTTS - No
41%
5/46/5
BTTS - Home Win
22%
7/215/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/11/6
BTTS - Away Win
18%
7/213/2
Home/draw
67%
1/21/14
Away/draw
58%
1/21/20
Home/away
76%
2/718/5
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/52/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/822/1
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/180/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/61/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
59%
5/621/20
Away DNB
51%
5/67/10
Alverca win to nil
20%
4/1-
Estoril win to nil
15%
9/2-
Alverca / Alverca
19%
3/13/5
Alverca / Estoril
4%
22/113/2
Alverca / Draw
7%
12/129/10
Draw / Alverca
13%
11/218/1
Draw / Estoril
13%
11/216/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/116/1
Estoril / Alverca
4%
22/1100/1
Estoril / Estoril
21%
3/150/1
Estoril / Draw
7%
12/180/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 36 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alverca have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 9th place on 38 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon3223725976 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica32221004776 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
May 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Braga3216972857 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
5
Famalicao32141081252 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
6
Gil Vicente32131181450 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
V. Guimaraes3212614-942 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
8
Moreirense3212614-1042 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
9
Estoril3310914-139 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
-
-
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
11
Arouca3210616-2136 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-3A
l
 
3-2F
12
Rio Ave3281113-1935 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-4F
13
Santa Clara328915-1033 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
14
Nacional328717-831 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
15
Estrela Amadora3261016-1828 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
16
Casa Pia3251116-2726 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
17
Tondela3251017-2825 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS3331119-4020 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
6
Estoril have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Alverca 10TH
16 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 16
Conceded
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
Failed to score
4 / 16
Won
7
Draw
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca2 - 1Arouca
Alverca3 - 1Casa Pia
Alverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
Alverca0 - 0AVS
Alverca1 - 1Santa Clara
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca0 - 1Porto
HAlverca2 - 1Arouca
AAlverca0 - 1Nacional
HAlverca3 - 1Casa Pia
AAlverca2 - 1Rio Ave
HAlverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
AAlverca2 - 2Gil Vicente
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 1Estoril
Moreirense1 - 0Estoril
Arouca3 - 2Estoril
Nacional0 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AVS3 - 0Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril1 - 1Braga
HEstoril0 - 1Famalicao
AEstoril0 - 1Moreirense
HEstoril1 - 3Porto
AEstoril2 - 3Arouca
HEstoril1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstoril1 - 0Nacional
HEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
AEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
Goal Statistics

Alverca's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Estoril have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.6 for C. Gune's side suggests that run should continue.

Alverca's defensive record is to be admired, C. Gune's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

Alverca 10th Estoril 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
16 home / away league games
-6
Alverca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+23
Estoril have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
EST
16%
better
view stats
Games scored23
22
Failed to score9
10
Scored first11
13
Goals scored34
52
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
3%
better
EST
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first20
18
Goals conceded50
53
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+3%

Alverca v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30558
K NavesL FigueiredoLincolnK Naves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mendes GLK7
1
-
K Naves DEF302
7
1
S Gómez DEF28
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF29
4
1
Zoubdi MID3114
5
-
D. Gui MID2611
3
-
Rhaldney MID121
3
-
D. Spencer Marques MID5
-
Lincoln FWD2825
5
-
L Figueiredo FWD2552
3
-
S. Cesar FWD2752
1
1
Subs
M Mateusão GLK
1
-
S Baseya DEF10
1
-
I. de La Caridad Caldeira dos Santos DEF
-
Kauan de Souza Gomes DEF3
-
V. Silva Moreira MID14
1
-
Z. Kessary MID3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD241
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
F. de Almeida Lima FWD4
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3220129
F BacherY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK29
3
-
A Tsoungui DEF22
7
-
F Bacher DEF322
3
-
Ferro DEF252
4
-
R Sánchez MID2424
9
-
Xeka  MID101
1
-
J Holsgrove MID3117
8
-
P Amaral MID252
3
-
R Guitane FWD2835
2
-
J Carvalho FWD31612
8
-
Y Begraoui FWD32201
1
-
Subs
D. Aranha Dias GLK
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
G Costa DEF14
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF252
4
-
N Lominadze MID152
4
-
Pizzi MID225
-
A Marqués FWD264
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2022
3
-
A. Ramos das Neves FWD9
1
-