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Tondela v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 20:15 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela and Moreirense clash at the Estadio Joao Cardoso on Monday night, with both Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira and Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa hoping for success in the Liga NOS. Form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 77% chance of Tondela and Moreirense 3 goals or less combined during this Liga NOS game according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tondela are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tondela 43%	1.86	1.95
Draw 27%	3.40	3.50
Moreirense 30%	4.10	3.80
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	6.00
Tondela 1-0 11%	7.00	6.50
Moreirense 1-0 9%	11.00	9.00
Tondela 2-1 9%	8.50	8.00
Draw 0-0 8%	9.50	9.00
Tondela 2-0 8%	9.00	8.00
Moreirense 2-1 7%	15.00	11.00
Moreirense 2-0 5%	21.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00
Tondela 3-1 4%	15.00	13.00
Tondela 3-0 4%	17.00	13.00
Moreirense 3-1 3%	34.00	23.00
Tondela 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00
Moreirense 3-0 2%	41.00	29.00
Moreirense 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	2.00	2.00
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	1.80	1.75
Home 1st Goal 50%	1.67	1.67
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.50	2.50
No 1st Goal 5%	9.50	8.50
BTTS - Yes 50%	1.80	1.85
BTTS - No 50%	1.95	1.85
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4.33	4.00
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.40
BTTS - Away Win 13%	8.50	7.00
Home/draw 70%	1.22	1.25
Away/draw 57%	1.91	1.83
Home/away 73%	1.30	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1.30	1.30
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	3.40	3.20
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3.50	3.40
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1.29	1.29
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	7.00	6.50
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.10	1.09
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	15.00	13.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.06	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10.00	9.00
Home DNB 61%	1.36	1.40
Away DNB 49%	3.00	2.70
Tondela win to nil 25%	3.25	-
Moreirense win to nil 17%	7.00	-
Tondela / Tondela 26%	3.00	3.00
Tondela / Moreirense 3%	34.00	26.00
Tondela / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Tondela 17%	4.75	4.80
Draw / Moreirense 10%	8.50	7.50
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	4.80
Moreirense / Tondela 4%	23.00	21.00
Moreirense / Moreirense 13%	6.50	6.00
Moreirense / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 5. Tondela have conceded 50 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 17 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 16 games at home, winning 1, drawing 7 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 8th place on 42 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Tondela Moreirense
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	47	85	l 0-2A	l 2-0A	l 1-2F	l 3-0A
2	S. Lisbon	32	23	7	2	59	76	l 0-3A	d 2-2A	l 0-3A	l 3-0A
3	Benfica	32	22	10	0	47	76	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A	l 0-4A	l 4-1A
4	Braga	32	16	9	7	28	57	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
5	Famalicao	32	14	10	8	12	52	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	d 2-2A	d 1-1F
6	Gil Vicente	32	13	11	8	14	50	d 2-2F	w 0-1F	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
7	V. Guimaraes	32	12	6	14	-9	42	l 0-1A	l 5-0A	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
8	Moreirense	32	12	6	14	-10	42	May 11	l 1-0A	-	-
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	-1	39	d 2-2A	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	d 3-3F
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	-16	39	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	l 2-1A
11	Arouca	32	10	6	16	-21	36	w 3-1A	May 17	l 0-1A	w 0-2F
12	Rio Ave	32	8	11	13	-19	35	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	w 3-1F	w 1-2F
13	Santa Clara	32	8	9	15	-10	33	d 2-2F	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
14	Nacional	32	8	7	17	-8	31	l 0-2A	l 3-1F	d 1-1F	l 3-2F
15	Estrela Amadora	32	6	10	16	-18	28	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0
16	Casa Pia	32	5	11	16	-27	26	l 1-2F	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	d 1-1A
17	Tondela	32	5	10	17	-28	25	-	-	w 1-0F	May 11
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	-40	20	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	May 17	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Tondela have not won in 8 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela	0 - 2	Nacional
Tondela	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
Tondela	0 - 0	AVS
Tondela	0 - 1	Rio Ave
Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Tondela	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
Tondela	0 - 1	Famalicao
Tondela	2 - 2	Boavista
Tondela	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Tondela	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
Tondela	2 - 2	Arouca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tondela	1 - 0	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Nacional
A	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Tondela	0 - 5	V. Guimaraes
H	Tondela	0 - 0	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Tondela	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
A	Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Famalicao
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
H	Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	1 - 3	Nacional
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	4 - 1	Moreirense
Famalicao	1 - 1	Moreirense
Porto	3 - 0	Moreirense
Casa Pia	1 - 1	Moreirense
Rio Ave	1 - 2	Moreirense
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
Alverca	2 - 1	Moreirense
AVS	0 - 2	Moreirense
Estrela Amadora	0 - 0	Moreirense
Estoril	3 - 3	Moreirense
Braga	2 - 1	Moreirense
Arouca	0 - 2	Moreirense
Nacional	3 - 2	Moreirense
S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Moreirense
Gil Vicente	2 - 0	Moreirense
Santa Clara	0 - 1	Moreirense
AVS	0 - 3	Moreirense
Porto	3 - 1	Moreirense
S. Lisbon	3 - 1	Moreirense
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Moreirense	3 - 2	Estrela Amadora
A	Moreirense	1 - 4	Benfica
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Estoril
A	Moreirense	1 - 1	Famalicao
H	Moreirense	0 - 1	Braga
H	Moreirense	0 - 1	Arouca
A	Moreirense	0 - 3	Porto
H	Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
A	Moreirense	1 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Moreirense	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Moreirense	2 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Moreirense	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Moreirense	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Moreirense	1 - 2	Alverca
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Tondela
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	AVS
A	Moreirense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Moreirense	0 - 4	Benfica
A	Moreirense	3 - 3	Estoril

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tondela

Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

CDT

MOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Tondela	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tondela	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Moreirense
	1 - 2	Moreirense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Moreirense

Tondela

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

CDT

MOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Moreirense	1 - 0
Moreirense	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Tondela
	1 - 2	Tondela
Moreirense	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Tondela
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Tondela

Goal Statistics

	Tondela 17th	Moreirense 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Tondela have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	+9 Moreirense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

CDT

MOR

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		23
Failed to score	18		9
Scored first	10		15
Goals scored	24		37
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		6
Avg. shots per goal	11		6
Conversion rate for	9		18
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+32%

CDT

MOR

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		24
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	19		16
Goals conceded	52		47
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.5
KickOff rating		+11%

Tondela v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	6	2	11
B Fontes	P Henryque	E Maviram	B Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	32			2 -
P Henryque FWD	31	6	1	6 -
C Marques DEF	29			6 -
J. Rodríguez López MID	27			3 -
T. Silva Manso DEF	26	1		7 -
S Sithole MID	26	1		6 -
B Medina DEF	25		1	9 2
Bebeto DEF	24	3		5 -
H. Sequeira MID	24		1	1 -
J Hodge MID	24	1	1	2 -
Jordan FWD	21	1		2 -
E Maviram DEF	20	2	2	4 -
H Tavares MID	19			1 1
C. Alves Santana MID	16	1	1	4 -
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	16			1 -
R Lopes FWD	14	2	2	3 -
I Cavaleiro FWD	13	2		1 -
J Afonso DEF	11			3 -
Y. Augusto FWD	11			-
J. Rodriguez FWD	9	1		1 -
A Rodrigues FWD	7			1 -
Xabi Huarte MID	5			-
R Vita DEF	4			2 -
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	2	4
P Henryque	P Henryque	E Maviram	R Lopes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Henryque FWD	6	25	1	3
Bebeto DEF	3	3		2
E Maviram DEF	2	4	2	3
R Lopes FWD	2	8	2	4
I Cavaleiro FWD	2	4		3
T. Silva Manso DEF	1	7		2
S Sithole MID	1	2
J Hodge MID	1	5	1	2
Jordan FWD	1	9
C. Alves Santana MID	1	3	1	1
J. Rodriguez FWD	1	3
C Marques DEF		1		1
J. Rodríguez López MID		1		1
B Medina DEF		4	1	1
H. Sequeira MID		8	1	2
M. Sie Ouattara FWD		1		2
Y. Augusto FWD		3		2
A Rodrigues FWD		1
Xabi Huarte MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1096	71	142
C Marques	Bebeto	B Medina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Marques DEF	1096	35	83
B Fontes GLK	919	4	20
B Medina DEF	834	61	142
Bebeto DEF	716	71	125
J. Rodríguez López MID	697	40	88
S Sithole MID	672	35	74
J Hodge MID	554	32	44
P Henryque FWD	548	39	131
T. Silva Manso DEF	479	34	76
H. Sequeira MID	471	9	57
C. Alves Santana MID	467	19	59
E Maviram DEF	452	18	51
R Lopes FWD	298	18	38
J Afonso DEF	258	13	41
I Cavaleiro FWD	234	5	35
Jordan FWD	207	6	58
H Tavares MID	182	15	37
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	140	3	36
R Vita DEF	95	4	9
Y. Augusto FWD	77	7	26
Xabi Huarte MID	33	5	7
J. Rodriguez FWD	30	5	14
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	30	3	6
A Rodrigues FWD	27	3	12

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	9	6	11
Alanzinho	G Schettine	D Pinto	M Maracás

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Alanzinho MID	31	5	5	7 -
M Stjepanovic MID	31	1		6 -
K Bondoso FWD	29		4	-
M Maracás DEF	28	4		10 1
G Batista DEF	27			4 -
D. Martins Travassos DEF	27	5	3	2 -
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	25	1	1	5 -
R Alonso MID	25	3	3	5 -
D Pinto DEF	23	1	6	8 -
A Ferreira GLK	22		1	2 -
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	19	1	1	4 -
C Teguia FWD	19			1 -
L Semedo FWD	19	3	1	-
A. Cunha Almeida MID	17	1	1	4 -
G Schettine FWD	15	9	1	1 -
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	14			1 1
Bernardo MID	14	1	1	1 -
Marcelo DEF	12	1		5 -
C Secco GLK	10			3 -
V Sousa MID	9	1		2 1
J. Gower MID	8			-
Michel DEF	4			1 -
L Ofori MID	4		1	-
J Jorquera FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	18	6	9
G Schettine	Alanzinho	D Pinto	Alanzinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Schettine FWD	9	17	1	1
Alanzinho MID	5	18	5	9
D. Martins Travassos DEF	5	11	3	7
M Maracás DEF	4	5
R Alonso MID	3	5	3	3
L Semedo FWD	3	6	1	2
M Stjepanovic MID	1	4		2
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	1	2	1
D Pinto DEF	1	6	6	5
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	1	5	1	1
A. Cunha Almeida MID	1	2	1
Bernardo MID	1	8	1	1
Marcelo DEF	1	2
V Sousa MID	1	3
K Bondoso FWD		2	4	4
G Batista DEF		3
A Ferreira GLK			1	1
C Teguia FWD		2		1
?. Martínez Navarro DEF				1
C Secco GLK				1
L Ofori MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1625	56	151
M Maracás	D. Martins Travassos	D. Martins Travassos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Maracás DEF	1625	40	125
G Batista DEF	1262	22	70
M Stjepanovic MID	1161	26	51
Alanzinho MID	1043	26	97
D Pinto DEF	820	53	143
D. Martins Travassos DEF	801	56	151
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	739	44	94
A Ferreira GLK	726		17
K Bondoso FWD	625	25	76
R Alonso MID	598	22	61
Marcelo DEF	569	11	57
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	484	12	29
A. Cunha Almeida MID	478	12	44
C Secco GLK	270	1	6
Bernardo MID	245	19	50
C Teguia FWD	237	13	41
Michel DEF	226	2	11
G Schettine FWD	218	7	57
V Sousa MID	189	7	28
L Semedo FWD	184	4	57
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	130	7	55
L Ofori MID	69	4	11
J. Gower MID	40	1	4
J Jorquera FWD	10	1	3