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Estrela Amadora v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 19:00 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

the Estádio José Gomes masses welcome FC Porto's fans on Saturday evening, as Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora face Martin Svedik's troops in the Liga NOS. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Estrela Amadora and Porto have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
22%
13/2-
Draw
25%
7/2-
Porto
53%
2/5-
Porto 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
8/1-
Porto 2-0
10%
11/2-
Porto 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
16/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
20/1-
Porto 3-0
5%
8/1-
Porto 3-1
5%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
3%
40/1-
Porto 3-2
2%
28/1-
Porto 4-0
2%
16/1-
Porto 4-1
2%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
41%
3/1-
Away 1st Goal
54%
2/7-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/20-
BTTS - No
52%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
14/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
12/5-
Home/draw
47%
7/4-
Away/draw
78%
1/10-
Home/away
75%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Home DNB
39%
5/1-
Away DNB
71%
1/8-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
12%
12/1-
Porto win to nil
32%
6/5-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
6%
12/1-
Estrela Amadora / Porto
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
6%
14/1-
Draw / Porto
21%
3/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Porto / Estrela Amadora
2%
40/1-
Porto / Porto
39%
11/10-
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 37 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 62 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Porto have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2922344669 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
3
Porto Away3019563162 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
Braga2918652460 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
7
Famalicao3011109643 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
l
 
2-4A
May 17
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Moreirense309813-935 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
w
 
0-3F
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Nacional309516-1432 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
13
Arouca297913-1630 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
15
Estrela Amadora H296815-2026 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
16
AVS3041214-2624 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista305619-2721 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
7
Estrela Amadora have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Famalicao
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
AEstrela Amadora1 - 5S. Lisbon
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Portimonense0 - 3Porto
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3Gil Vicente
APorto0 - 2Nacional
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
HPorto2 - 0Casa Pia
APorto1 - 4Benfica
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Estrela Amadora fans, as should a 9 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Estrela Amadora 15th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Estrela Amadora have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285320/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
PTO
49%
better
view stats
Games scored15
26
Failed to score14
3
Scored first8
18
Goals scored22
55
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
17
Avg. XG for0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
PTO
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
14
Clean sheets6
15
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded42
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%

Estrela Amadora v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24529
NiltonR PinhoNiltonA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD275
6
-
Kikas FWD2651
3
-
Nilton DEF252
4
-
L Bucca MID2421
8
-
R Lima DEF222
2
1
P. Valente Moreira MID221
3
-
A Ruiz MID222
9
-
L Cordeiro MID2111
3
-
J Cabral FWD2021
2
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF191
4
-
M Keliano MID191
7
-
Ferro DEF15
5
-
I Dramé DEF151
1
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD9
-
Andorinha GLK8
-
C Banza FWD81
3
-
R Pantalon DEF6
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF6
2
1
Amine MID5
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD3
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281679
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraN Pérez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK28
-
A Varela MID262
7
-
S Eustaquio MID25
6
-
Pepê FWD2532
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD24163
3
1
D Namaso FWD2431
2
-
G Borges FWD2322
6
-
N Pérez DEF2211
9
-
J Mário DEF213
5
-
F Moura DEF2117
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF205
4
-
F Vieira MID2043
5
-
O Silva DEF182
8
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1753
3
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF14
1
-
A Franco MID141
4
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
D Gül FWD111
-
T Djaló DEF8
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD6
-
I Marcano DEF5
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
T Pérez MID2
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-