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Estrela Amadora v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

It's an away match for Francesco Farioli's FC Porto side on Sunday morning, as they visit the Estádio José Gomes for a Liga NOS tie with João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu's Estrela Amadora. Analysing both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
23%
--
Draw
25%
--
Porto
52%
--
Porto 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Porto 2-0
10%
--
Porto 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
--
Porto 3-0
5%
--
Porto 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
--
Porto 3-2
2%
--
Porto 4-0
2%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
42%
--
Away 1st Goal
54%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
22%
--
Home/draw
48%
--
Away/draw
77%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
41%
--
Away DNB
70%
--
Estrela Amadora win to nil
13%
--
Porto win to nil
30%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Estrela Amadora have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 76 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 59 goals and kept 18 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 15 away games, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
4
Braga2815762852 
d
 
3-3A
May 17
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
May 10
w
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Estoril2910712137 
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Alverca299812-1535 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
w
 
0-1F
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
15
Nacional296716-1025 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-5A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Tondela284915-2521 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Estrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Nacional
HEstrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 3Porto
Braga1 - 2Porto
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto3 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
APorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto3 - 0Moreirense
APorto2 - 2Benfica
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2023
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
1
PTO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
League games at Porto since 2024
Porto
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
PTO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto3 - 1
Porto2 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Estrela Amadora makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estrela Amadora 14th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Estrela Amadora have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1
1.6
Attack rating
PTO
48%
better
view stats
Games scored16
28
Failed to score13
1
Scored first7
25
Goals scored33
59
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
PTO
59%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
11
Clean sheets7
18
Conceded first18
3
Goals conceded48
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
13
Conversion rate against17%
8%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.7
KickOff rating
+59%

Estrela Amadora v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29658
R RibeiroKikasA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK29
3
-
I Stoica FWD2822
4
-
L Patrick DEF27
3
1
A Marcus FWD2655
1
1
R Pinho FWD2541
3
-
B Schappo DEF24
5
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2432
7
1
J Encada DEF222
5
-
J Cabral FWD225
5
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD192
-
Kikas FWD1761
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID161
4
-
S Cabral DEF1553
3
-
A Chernev DEF15
4
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID14
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
2
-
O Ngom MID111
4
1
L Antonetti FWD10
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
J. Gastão FWD31
2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291378
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaV. FroholdtJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK29
2
-
V. Froholdt MID2957
2
-
J Bednarek DEF281
8
-
B Sainz FWD2752
5
-
G Veiga MID2627
4
-
A Varela MID262
7
-
Pepê FWD2634
1
-
A Baio DEF2417
6
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2481
5
1
D Gül FWD242
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2311
-
J Kiwior DEF221
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
F Moura DEF1922
3
-
P Rosario MID1921
6
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF1811
3
1
Zaidu  DEF1511
2
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-