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Vitoria Guimaraes v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Rio Ave, led by manager Armando Evangelista, visit Massimo Pavanel and his Vitoria Guimaraes side at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Sunday evening in the Liga NOS. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of V. Guimaraes and Rio Ave 3 goals or less combined during this Liga NOS game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
53%
4/6-
Draw
25%
11/4-
Rio Ave
22%
4/1
5%
-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
10%
13/2-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2-
Rio Ave 1-0
8%
11/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
12/1-
Rio Ave 2-1
5%
14/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Rio Ave 2-0
3%
22/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
25/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
28/1-
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
40%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
78%
1/6
2%
-
Away/draw
47%
23/20-
Home/away
75%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/2-
Home DNB
71%
2/7-
Away DNB
39%
5/2-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
32%
13/8-
Rio Ave win to nil
12%
7/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
31%
7/4-
V. Guimaraes / Rio Ave
2%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
19%
10/3-
Draw / Rio Ave
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Rio Ave / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/1-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
10%
15/2-
Rio Ave / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 9 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 14 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Rio Ave have conceded 39 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2922344669 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
3
Porto3019563162 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2918652460 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
5
V. Guimaraes H29121251248 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
10
Moreirense309813-935 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
11
Rio Ave Away308913-1533 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
-
-
12
Nacional309516-1432 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
w
 
2-1F
May 10
13
Arouca297913-1630 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 4
l
 
1-0A
16
AVS3041214-2624 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Boavista305619-2721 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Boavista
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
HV. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Sporting Farense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Benfica
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
Rio Ave 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 2Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
Portimonense2 - 2Rio Ave
Vizela1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Boavista0 - 0Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave2 - 0Moreirense
HRio Ave0 - 2Boavista
ARio Ave1 - 2Casa Pia
HRio Ave2 - 3Benfica
ARio Ave0 - 1Famalicao
HRio Ave2 - 1Braga
ARio Ave1 - 2Estoril
HRio Ave1 - 1AVS
ARio Ave1 - 1Arouca
HRio Ave2 - 2Porto
ARio Ave2 - 1Sporting Farense
HRio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
ARio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
HRio Ave2 - 1Nacional
ARio Ave0 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave0 - 1Santa Clara
HRio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave2 - 0Boavista
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
GUI
5
D
1
RIO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Rio Ave
1 - 2Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
V. Guimaraes3 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
GUI
3
D
3
RIO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw2 - 2Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rio Ave2 - 1
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
0 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.6 against Rio Ave on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 5th Rio Ave 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Rio Ave have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285316/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games scored22
20
Failed to score7
9
Scored first14
12
Goals scored41
32
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
28%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games conceded17
25
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first13
17
Goals conceded29
47
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+28%

V. Guimaraes v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28549
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK28
4
-
Samu MID2821
2
-
T Händel  MID2721
3
-
N Santos MID2733
5
-
J Mendes DEF26
9
-
J Mendes MID263
2
-
T Silva MID2644
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2534
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2342
4
-
T Borevkovic DEF22
4
-
Chuchu FWD1921
1
-
M Villanueva DEF15
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD155
3
-
Maga DEF122
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD10
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
F Relvas DEF6
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2613310
M Vrousai ClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2613
4
-
K Bondoso FWD2621
1
-
T Morais FWD264
1
-
Clayton FWD25132
9
1
O Richards DEF241
4
-
O Pohlmann MID2312
-
J Novais MID23
1
-
B Aguilera MID2231
3
-
D Tıknaz MID2112
5
1
C Miszta GLK19
2
-
M Neto MID1911
6
1
J Panzo DEF121
3
1
J Graça MID11
-
A Ndoj DEF10
-
J Tomé DEF9
-
A Luiz FWD91
-
K. Zoabi FWD8
-
N Abby DEF6
-
F. Petrasso DEF5
2
-
T. Bakoulas MID5
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD5
-
J Pedro DEF21
-
T. Medina FWD2
-