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Vitoria Guimaraes v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

It's a long trek for Sotiris Silaidopoulos's Rio Ave side on Sunday morning, as they head to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques for a Liga NOS clash with Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's Vitoria Guimaraes. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
52%
--
Draw
24%
--
Rio Ave
24%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Rio Ave 2-0
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
--
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
76%
--
Away/draw
48%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
69%
--
Away DNB
41%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
28%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
12%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 33 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 32 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
May 10
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga2815762852 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
May 3
d
 
2-2A
7
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
10
Alverca299812-1535 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
-
-
12
Arouca299515-2132 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
15
Nacional296716-1025 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
May 17
17
Tondela284915-2521 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 17
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Rio Ave have won 3 consecutive away league games
V. Guimaraes 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Rio Ave 11TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Rio Ave
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
GUI
6
D
1
RIO
2
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
5 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
5 / 10
GUI
4
D
3
RIO
3
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Rio Ave on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Rio Ave makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 8th Rio Ave 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
V. Guimaraes have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score10
11
Scored first12
10
Goals scored35
31
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
8%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games conceded21
24
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first15
17
Goals conceded43
48
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%

V. Guimaraes v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26637
J MendesSamuSamuJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mendes DEF2611
7
-
Beni MID251
6
-
T Arcanjo FWD251
1
2
O. Camara FWD2552
2
-
R Abascal DEF2412
4
-
Samu MID2463
3
-
N Oliveira FWD243
3
1
A Ndoye FWD2221
2
-
Maga DEF19
5
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID1911
4
-
G Nogueira MID183
2
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1841
2
-
T Strata DEF171
2
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
Charles GLK14
-
O Lebedenko DEF14
1
-
O Rivas DEF141
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF91
2
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261058
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2712
4
1
O Pohlmann MID271
1
-
A Ndoj DEF262
7
-
D Spikic FWD2523
1
-
G Liavas MID231
2
-
N Abby DEF221
4
-
T. Nikitscher MID2211
4
1
F. Petrasso DEF21
5
-
J Brabec DEF211
4
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
C Miszta GLK17
5
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
A. Papakanellos MID17
1
-
J Tomé DEF15
2
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
O Richards DEF10
2
-
M Gual FWD10
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF6
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
T. Medina FWD1
-