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Sporting Lisbon v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 29th Apr, 20:15 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Tondela are away from home on Sunday morning, as manager Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira takes his team to visit Sporting Lisbon and Rui Manuel Gomes Borges at the Estádio José Alvalade in the Liga NOS. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

A Liga NOS win on home turf for Rui Manuel Gomes Borges's S. Lisbon side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A S. Lisbon win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.12.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
78%
3/25-
Draw
15%
6/1-
Tondela
7%
20/1-
S. Lisbon 2-0
14%
11/2-
S. Lisbon 3-0
12%
11/2-
S. Lisbon 1-0
11%
8/1-
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
10/1-
S. Lisbon 4-0
7%
8/1-
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1-
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
14/1-
S. Lisbon 5-0
4%
14/1-
Tondela 1-0
3%
40/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1-
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
22/1-
S. Lisbon 3-2
2%
33/1-
Tondela 2-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/9-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
17/10-
Home 1st Goal
65%
1/5-
Away 1st Goal
32%
10/3-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/4-
BTTS - No
58%
4/7-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
2/1-
BTTS - Draw
10%
8/1-
BTTS - Away Win
3%
28/1-
Home/draw
93%
1/50-
Away/draw
22%
9/2-
Home/away
85%
1/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/8-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/10-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/9-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1-
Home DNB
88%
1/33-
Away DNB
17%
14/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
50%
8/11-
Tondela win to nil
4%
25/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
54%
1/2-
S. Lisbon / Tondela
2%
50/1-
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
11/4-
Draw / Tondela
3%
33/1-
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1-
Tondela / S. Lisbon
4%
18/1-
Tondela / Tondela
2%
33/1-
Tondela / Draw
3%
28/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 14 clean sheets out of 25 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 74 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Tondela have conceded 46 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Tondela
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3025414779 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica3021904472 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
3
S. Lisbon2922525571 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 29
4
Braga2915862853 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Famalicao3013981148 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
Gil Vicente30121081346 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
7
V. Guimaraes3011613-739 
May 4
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
8
Moreirense3011613-839 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 10
l
 
1-0A
9
Estoril3010713037 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
10
Alverca309813-1635 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Arouca3010515-2035 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 17
12
Rio Ave3081012-1734 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
13
Santa Clara307815-1129 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
14
Nacional307716-928 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
Apr 25
l
 
3-1F
15
Estrela Amadora3061014-1628 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia2951113-2426 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 3
17
Tondela294916-2721 
Apr 29
w
 
0-3F
-
-
18
AVS3011019-4313 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Benfica
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Alverca
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 0Tondela
V. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
Estrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
Estoril2 - 2Tondela
Famalicao3 - 0Tondela
Moreirense1 - 0Tondela
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Gil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AVS2 - 2Tondela
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Gil Vicente3 - 0Tondela
P. Ferreira1 - 1Tondela
Moreirense2 - 0Tondela
Maratimo1 - 3Tondela
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Famalicao2 - 1Tondela
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela0 - 2Porto
HTondela2 - 2Gil Vicente
ATondela0 - 5V. Guimaraes
HTondela0 - 0AVS
HTondela0 - 1Rio Ave
HTondela2 - 2Santa Clara
ATondela2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HTondela1 - 1Alverca
ATondela2 - 2Estoril
HTondela0 - 0Benfica
ATondela0 - 3Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
S. Lisbon have beaten Tondela in 6 consecutive league meetings
7
S. Lisbon have not lost to Tondela in 7 consecutive home league meetings
3
S. Lisbon have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Tondela
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Tondela
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
SCL
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon4 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Tondela since 2015
Tondela
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
7
16
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
SCL
6
CDT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
0 - 3S. Lisbon
1 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Tondela1 - 0
Tondela2 - 1
1 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 4S. Lisbon
1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Sunday morning.

S. Lisbon 3rd Tondela 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Tondela will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
S. Lisbon have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-28
Tondela have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Tondela
2.5
0.6
Attack rating
61%
better
SCL
CDT
view stats
Games scored25
11
Failed to score0
13
Scored first20
8
Goals scored64
19
Avg. goals scored2.6
0.8
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for19
10
Avg. XG for2.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
51%
better
SCL
CDT
view stats
Games conceded12
20
Clean sheets13
4
Conceded first5
14
Goals conceded14
38
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+51%

S. Lisbon v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28241110
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID29611
1
-
R Silva GLK27
3
-
L Suárez FWD27244
5
-
G Inácio DEF2613
4
1
H Morita MID2613
3
-
M Hjulmand MID2624
9
-
M Vilches DEF2443
9
1
G Catamo  FWD2463
1
-
I Fresneda DEF231
6
-
P Gonçalves FWD22136
5
-
G Vagiannidis DEF193
4
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID181
3
-
A Santos FWD182
-
G. Quenda FWD1514
-
O Diomande DEF14
4
-
Z Debast DEF141
2
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
R Mangas DEF1321
3
-
E Quaresma DEF1212
1
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
M Reis DEF92
2
D Bragança  MID95
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
N Santos DEF21
-
Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
296211
B FontesP HenryqueE MaviramB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK29
2
-
P Henryque FWD2961
4
-
C Marques DEF27
5
-
B Medina DEF241
9
2
J. Rodríguez López MID24
3
-
T. Silva Manso DEF231
5
-
S Sithole MID231
5
-
Bebeto DEF222
5
-
J Hodge MID2211
3
-
H. Sequeira MID21
1
-
Jordan FWD211
2
-
E Maviram DEF2022
4
-
H Tavares MID17
1
1
C. Alves Santana MID141
3
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD14
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD132
1
-
J Afonso DEF11
3
-
R Lopes FWD1122
2
-
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
J. Rodriguez FWD91
1
-
A Rodrigues FWD7
1
-
Xabi Huarte MID5
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-