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Sporting Lisbon v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Ian Cathro guides his Estoril troops to the Estádio José Alvalade in the Liga NOS on Monday night, with Piero Braglia's Sporting Lisbon their rivals. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 18:00 on Saturday 29th March
Estoril's next match is v Porto at 18:00 on Sunday 30th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Estoril was on Monday 3rd March 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 3rd 2025
S. Lisbon 3
1 Estoril
 
G. Inácio 5'84' G. Faria Costa
V. Gyökeres 36'
V. Gyökeres 90'
 
SCL
EST
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
6
6
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
10
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/1
 
S. LisbonEstoril
 
R. Dantas da Silva
R. Sousa Esgaio
M. Reis de Lima (G. Cipriano Catamo 58')
G. Ináciofootball icon
O. Diomande
Z. Debast
I. Fresneda Corraliza
E. Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicíssimo (H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol 78')
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão (C. Harder 79')
V. Gyökeresfootball iconfootball icon
G. Quenda (J. Silva 79')
J. Robles Blázquez
K. Boma
F. Bacher
P. Gaspar Amaral
(G. Faria Costa 81') P. Costa Álvaro
(P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 73') W. Cardoso Pina
J. Antunes Carvalho
J. Holsgrove
(A. Orellana Gómez 73') M. da Silva Rocha
(A. Ferreira Lacximicant 66') R. Guitane
(A. Marqués Méndez 66') Y. Begraoui

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this Liga NOS game, a bet on win / draw / win for S. Lisbon to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will be too strong for Estoril, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It may not all be plain sailing, but S. Lisbon claiming victory is the bet come Monday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
65%
3/10
4%
1/3
9%
Draw
19%
9/2
15%
17/4
13%
Estoril
16%
9/1
18%
8/1
31%
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
S. Lisbon 2-0
10%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
23%
8/1
10%
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
13/2
6%
6/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10/117/2
S. Lisbon 3-0
7%
15/2
13%
7/1
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Estoril 2-1
4%
25/118/1
27%
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
18/114/1
15%
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Estoril 1-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
19%
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
S. Lisbon 4-2
2%
40/125/1
Estoril 2-0
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
3/5
3%
4/7
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
13/10
2%
5/4
8%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/9
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
10/3
9%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
19/20
5%
19/20
5%
BTTS - No
44%
4/5
6%
4/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
15/8
4%
15/8
5%
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2
24%
11/2
13%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
14/112/1
24%
Home/draw
84%
1/16
2%
1/16
3%
Away/draw
35%
12/5
9%
9/4
19%
Home/away
81%
1/7
3%
2/13
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/112/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/210/3
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/47/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/21/2
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
16/5
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
1/5
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/113/2
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/141/14
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Home DNB
78%
1/10
2%
1/11
5%
Away DNB
29%
6/1
13%
11/2
28%
S. Lisbon win to nil
33%
6/5
10%
-
Estoril win to nil
7%
14/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
43%
20/21
8%
10/11
12%
S. Lisbon / Estoril
2%
50/140/1
11%
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
16/1
11%
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
11/4
7%
29/10
Draw / Estoril
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
21%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
13%
Estoril / S. Lisbon
5%
18/116/1
Estoril / Estoril
6%
14/1
21%
11/1
29%
Estoril / Draw
4%
20/1
17%
16/1
11%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Estoril are in 8th position in the Liga NOS on 34 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Estoril have conceded 21 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Home2619524762 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2519243959 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
May 4
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto2616553153 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 30
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga2616552053 
Apr 7
w
 
2-4A
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
5
Santa Clara261349243 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
May 17
d
 
4-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Casa Pia2610610-336 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
8
Estoril Away26998-736 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
9
Famalicao268108034 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
10
Moreirense268711-631 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 11
11
Nacional268513-1029 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
13
Arouca267811-1429 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 29
May 17
w
 
2-4F
16
AVS2641111-1723 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista263617-2715 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
64
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
S. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
S. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
S. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
S. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon6 - 1Boavista
S. Lisbon3 - 2Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon5 - 0Braga
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon2 - 2AVS
HS. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 4V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Moreirense
HS. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Famalicao
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Braga2 - 2Estoril
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave2 - 2Estoril
Boavista0 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
Moreirense2 - 1Estoril
Sporting Farense3 - 2Estoril
Chaves2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Vizela3 - 3Estoril
Boavista2 - 1Estoril
Rio Ave1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
AEstoril2 - 2Braga
HEstoril2 - 1Famalicao
HEstoril0 - 0AVS
AEstoril0 - 4Porto
HEstoril4 - 1Arouca
AEstoril0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstoril2 - 2Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 0Nacional
AEstoril0 - 0Boavista
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
S. Lisbon have beaten Estoril in 7 consecutive league meetings
7
S. Lisbon have not lost to Estoril in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2015
S. Lisbon
Estoril
Goals: Scored
17
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
SCL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon5 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
S. Lisbon4 - 2
S. Lisbon1 - 0
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
SCL
6
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
0 - 2S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril2 - 0
0 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their clash with Estoril, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 1st Estoril 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
S. Lisbon have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Estoril have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
3.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285262/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
2.2
1
Attack rating
42%
better
SCL
EST
view stats
Games scored21
14
Failed to score2
9
Scored first19
9
Goals scored61
30
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for2.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
32%
better
SCL
EST
view stats
Games conceded12
18
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first3
11
Goals conceded20
35
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+32%

S. Lisbon v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2628116
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoO Diomande
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK9
1
-
R Esgaio DEF7
-
O Diomande DEF242
4
2
G Inácio DEF2032
5
-
I Fresneda MID143
2
-
Z Debast MID233
2
-
E. Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicíssimo MID4
1
-
M Reis MID222
4
1
F Trincão FWD26811
1
-
G. Quenda FWD2614
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD25285
2
-
Subs
F Israel GLK11
1
-
J. Silva DEF1
-
G Catamo  MID2242
2
-
K. Oliveira Pinto MID
-
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID2
-
M. Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça MID
-
C Harder FWD2154
-
Biel  FWD1
-
A Moreira FWD1
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241038
J RoblesA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK24
3
-
K Boma DEF211
5
-
P Álvaro DEF2411
8
-
F Bacher DEF1611
5
-
W. Cardoso Pina MID2523
3
-
Xeka  MID1211
5
-
J Holsgrove MID2113
4
-
P Amaral MID212
1
-
R Guitane FWD1
-
Y Begraoui FWD2662
1
-
J Carvalho FWD2152
3
1
Subs
K Chamorro GLK1
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
G Costa DEF132
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF13
1
-
J Orellana MID2011
2
-
V Zanocelo MID221
7
-
A Marqués FWD2510
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1912
2
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-