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Vitoria Guimaraes v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Luís Miguel Correia Pinto welcomes Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday morning, as their Vitoria Guimaraes and Tondela teams do battle in the Liga NOS. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
46%
--
Draw
26%
--
Tondela
28%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
--
Tondela 1-0
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Tondela 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Tondela 2-0
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
4%
--
Tondela 3-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Tondela 3-2
2%
--
Tondela 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
26%
--
Tondela win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 19 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Tondela have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Tondela
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2622314269 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
l
 
0-3A
-
3
Benfica2618803862 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga2513752746 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Gil Vicente2611961242 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
6
Famalicao2612681042 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Estoril261079537 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
8
Moreirense2610511-735 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
May 10
l
 
1-0A
9
V. Guimaraes269512-1032 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
10
Alverca267811-1529 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Estrela Amadora2761011-1228 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
12
Rio Ave266911-1927 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
13
Arouca267514-2226 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 17
14
Santa Clara266713-825 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
15
Casa Pia265912-2224 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
May 3
16
Nacional265714-922 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
AVS261718-4010 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Mar 21
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
Estoril2 - 2Tondela
Famalicao3 - 0Tondela
Moreirense1 - 0Tondela
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Gil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AVS2 - 2Tondela
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Gil Vicente3 - 0Tondela
P. Ferreira1 - 1Tondela
Moreirense2 - 0Tondela
Maratimo1 - 3Tondela
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Famalicao2 - 1Tondela
Estoril1 - 0Tondela
Portimonense1 - 2Tondela
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTondela0 - 1Rio Ave
HTondela2 - 2Santa Clara
ATondela2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HTondela1 - 1Alverca
ATondela2 - 2Estoril
HTondela0 - 0Benfica
ATondela0 - 3Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Tondela
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
GUI
5
CDT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes5 - 2
1 - 2Tondela
V. Guimaraes2 - 0
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 1Tondela
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
League games at Tondela since 2016
Tondela
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
GUI
4
D
2
CDT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2V. Guimaraes
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 0
1 - 4V. Guimaraes
Tondela2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Tondela on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Tondela makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 9th Tondela 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Tondela have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Tondela
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
GUI
CDT
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
GUI
CDT
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

V. Guimaraes v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24527
R AbascalSamuR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF2412
4
-
J Mendes DEF231
7
-
Beni MID221
6
-
A Ndoye FWD2221
2
-
T Arcanjo FWD221
1
2
O. Camara FWD2241
2
-
N Oliveira FWD223
3
1
Samu MID2152
3
-
Maga DEF18
5
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID1611
3
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
G Nogueira MID152
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1521
1
-
T Strata DEF141
2
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
O Lebedenko DEF13
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
Charles GLK11
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF61
1
-
Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
256310
B FontesP HenryqueR LopesB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK25
2
-
P Henryque FWD2561
4
-
C Marques DEF23
3
-
B Medina DEF211
8
2
T. Silva Manso DEF211
5
-
J. Rodríguez López MID21
3
-
S Sithole MID201
5
-
Bebeto DEF192
4
-
E Maviram DEF1822
4
-
H. Sequeira MID18
1
-
J Hodge MID181
2
-
Jordan FWD181
2
-
H Tavares MID15
1
1
C. Alves Santana MID141
3
-
I Cavaleiro FWD132
1
-
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
J Afonso DEF10
3
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD10
-
J. Rodriguez FWD91
1
-
R Lopes FWD813
2
-
A Rodrigues FWD7
1
-
Xabi Huarte MID5
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-