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Atletico de Madrid v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Diego Pablo Simeone and Claudio Giráldez González clash in the La Liga on Saturday evening, as Atletico de Madrid face Celta de Vigo at the Wanda Metropolitano. All the odds are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to La Liga match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Osasuna at 20:30 on Tuesday 12th May
Celta de Vigo's next match is v Levante at 18:00 on Tuesday 12th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and Celta was on Saturday 9th May 2026
Spanish La Liga
May 9th 2026
A.Madrid 0
1 Celta
 
62' B. Iglesias Quintas
 
ATM
CEL
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
10
1
Corners
10
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
A.MadridCelta
 
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas (R. Le Normand 20')
M. Ruggeri
M. Llorente Moreno
J. Resurrección Merodio
A. Griezmann (T. Almada 61')
A. Sørloth
A. Rodríguez (O. Vaargas 69')
D. Hancko
M. Pubill Pagès
A. Lookman (N. Molina Lucero 60')
I. Radu
(M. Ristić 89') Ó. Mingueza García
Ilaix Moriba
F. López González
(F. Jutlgà Blanc 68') football iconB. Iglesias Quintas
(S. Carreira Vilariño 68') Á. Núñez Cobo
M. Alonso Mendoza
Y. Lago Amil
J. Rodríguez Galiano
(I. Aspas Juncal 68') P. Durán Fernández
(H. Álvarez Antúnez 77') W. Swedberg

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that A.Madrid and Celta will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
51%
4/528/1
Draw
24%
11/417/4
Celta
25%
16/51/6
Draw 1-1
11%
6/117/4
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
8/112/5
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/228/1
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
9/16/1
Celta 1-0
7%
14/11/5
Celta 2-1
6%
14/155/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/115/8
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
12/1125/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1200/1
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/118/1
Celta 2-0
4%
22/118/1
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
20/1150/1
Celta 3-1
2%
28/1100/1
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
25/1150/1
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/622/1
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
6/51/1000
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/1317/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/810/3
No 1st Goal
4%
14/115/8
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/1319/5
BTTS - No
45%
6/51/6
BTTS - Home Win
24%
12/525/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/4
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/145/1
Home/draw
75%
2/919/5
Away/draw
49%
19/201/1000
Home/away
76%
1/42/15
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/516/5
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/21/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
13/890/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/21/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/21/50
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/51/50
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/141/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/254/11
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/119/10
Home DNB
67%
1/325/1
Away DNB
42%
9/41/1000
A.Madrid win to nil
27%
5/2-
Celta win to nil
13%
8/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
7/415/2
A.Madrid / Celta
3%
28/145/1
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/125/1
Draw / A.Madrid
16%
4/16/5
Draw / Celta
9%
8/119/4
Draw / Draw
14%
11/22/1
Celta / A.Madrid
4%
20/128/1
Celta / Celta
13%
11/220/1
Celta / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 17 games at home winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Celta are in 6th position in the La Liga on 47 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Celta have conceded 13 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3530146091 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
2-4A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3524563777 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
3
Villarreal3521682569 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
A.Madrid35196102063 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
5
Real Betis35131571154 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta35131111550 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
7
Getafe3513616-845 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
R.Sociedad35111113-144 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
A.Bilbao3513517-1144 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 17
10
Osasuna3511915-342 
w
 
1-0F
May 12
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
11
R.Vallecano34101212-642 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Valencia3511915-1242 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-3A
13
Sevilla3511717-1340 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
May 24
w
 
0-1F
14
Elche3591214-839 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
Mallorca3510916-939 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Espanyol3510916-1539 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
17
Girona3491114-1538 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Alaves3591016-1337 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-4F
w
 
0-1F
19
Levante359917-1636 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
w
 
1-2F
20
Real Oviedo3561118-2829 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid3 - 2A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
A.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
A.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
A.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
A.Madrid3 - 1Levante
A.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid3 - 2A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid2 - 3Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Sevilla
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Real Madrid
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
HA.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid0 - 3R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 0Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
Celta 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal2 - 1Celta
Barcelona1 - 0Celta
Valencia2 - 3Celta
Real Betis1 - 1Celta
Girona1 - 2Celta
Espanyol2 - 2Celta
Getafe0 - 0Celta
R.Sociedad3 - 1Celta
Sevilla0 - 1Celta
Real Oviedo0 - 0Celta
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Levante1 - 2Celta
Osasuna2 - 3Celta
Elche2 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
Mallorca1 - 1Celta
Getafe1 - 2Celta
R.Sociedad0 - 1Celta
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCelta3 - 1Elche
ACelta1 - 2Villarreal
ACelta0 - 1Barcelona
HCelta0 - 3Real Oviedo
ACelta3 - 2Valencia
HCelta3 - 4Alaves
ACelta1 - 1Real Betis
HCelta1 - 2Real Madrid
ACelta2 - 1Girona
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta2 - 2Espanyol
HCelta1 - 2Osasuna
ACelta0 - 0Getafe
ACelta1 - 3R.Sociedad
HCelta3 - 0R.Vallecano
ACelta1 - 0Sevilla
HCelta4 - 1Valencia
ACelta0 - 0Real Oviedo
HCelta2 - 0A.Bilbao
ACelta2 - 0Real Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
14
A.Madrid have not lost to Celta in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Celta
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
10 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
1 / 11
ATM
7
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid4 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
18
Games: Scored
5 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
7 / 12
ATM
8
D
2
CEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 3A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Celta2 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Celta de Vigo on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 4th Celta 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
A.Madrid have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Celta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
ATM
CEL
view stats
Games scored30
28
Failed to score4
6
Scored first27
16
Goals scored58
48
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
25%
better
ATM
CEL
view stats
Games conceded21
26
Clean sheets13
8
Conceded first6
16
Goals conceded37
44
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%

A.Madrid v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291246
J OblakA SörlothM LlorenteC Lenglet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK29
-
M Pubill DEF161
1
-
J Giménez DEF161
3
-
D Hancko DEF272
2
-
M Ruggeri DEF233
4
-
M Llorente MID274
5
-
Koke MID3122
5
-
Álex Baena MID2523
5
-
A Lookman MID92
1
-
A Griezmann FWD3172
1
-
A Sörloth FWD3212
4
1
Subs
J Musso GLK6
2
-
S. Esquivel Gámez GLK
-
C Lenglet DEF161
5
1
N Molina DEF2622
4
-
R Normand DEF2611
3
-
J. Morcillo Rodrigalvarez MID3
1
-
R Mendoza MID71
2
-
T Almada MID2531
2
1
O Vargas MID91
2
-
J. Del Romo MID41
2
-
I. Luque Sierra FWD11
-
M. Llorente Cubo FWD21
-
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351457
I Radu B IglesiasW SwedbergI Moriba
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK35
1
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF301
5
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF9
4
-
M Alonso DEF291
5
-
Á. Núñez Cobo MID6
-
F. López González MID141
3
-
I Moriba MID3412
7
-
Óscar Mingueza MID3114
4
-
P Durán FWD2722
1
-
W Swedberg FWD2645
2
-
B Iglesias FWD32142
7
-
Subs
I Villar GLK
-
J Aidoo DEF8
-
S Carreira DEF3121
2
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF14
2
-
M Ristić DEF5
-
C Domínguez DEF8
1
-
H Sotelo MID193
3
-
H Álvarez MID2541
2
-
A. Antañón Vieites MID2
-
F Jutglà FWD2773
4
-
I Aspas FWD2953
4
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD212
-