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Valencia CF v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mestalla, Valencia

Valencia CF are in La Liga action on Saturday afternoon, as Carlos Corberán Vallet attempts to outsmart Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Mestalla. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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Valencia CF's next match is v R.Sociedad at 18:00 on Sunday 17th May
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Girona at 18:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Valencia and A.Madrid was on Saturday 2nd May 2026
Spanish La Liga
May 2nd 2026
Valencia 0
2 A.Madrid
 
74' I. Luque Sierra
82' M. Llorente Cubo
 
VAL
ATM
Shots On
5
Shots Off
7
11
Corners
1
7
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
ValenciaA.Madrid
 
S. Dimitrievski
C. Tárrega Requeni
G. Rodríguez
J. Guerra Moreno
U. Sadiq Mesbah
L. Rioja González (D. López Noguerol 59')
J. Gayá Peña (J. Vazquez Alcalde 73')
R. Saravia (D. Raba Antolí 82')
J. García Vayá
F. Ugrinic (H. Duro 59')
L. Ramazani (A. Danjuma 73')
J. Musso
C. Lenglet
N. Molina Lucero
(A. Griezmann 73') R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
(J. Resurrección Merodio 73') T. Almada
R. Le Normand
(A. Puric 90') J. Franco
J. Del Romo
O. Vaargas
(M. Llorente Cubo 63') J. Morcillo Rodrigalvarez
(I. Luque Sierra 63') R. Belaid Khellil

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% probability of Valencia and A.Madrid serving up a minimum of two goals in this La Liga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Valencia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
49%
8/1323/10
Draw
25%
11/44/6
A.Madrid
26%
10/39/2
Draw 1-1
12%
13/270/1
Valencia 1-0
10%
6/145/1
Valencia 2-1
10%
15/240/1
Valencia 2-0
8%
7/125/1
A.Madrid 1-0
7%
12/133/1
A.Madrid 2-1
7%
14/155/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/18/11
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1125/1
Valencia 3-1
5%
12/150/1
Valencia 3-0
5%
12/117/4
A.Madrid 2-0
4%
22/128/1
Valencia 3-2
3%
25/155/1
A.Madrid 3-1
2%
40/1150/1
Valencia 4-1
2%
25/160/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
40/180/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
10/115/4
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
10/113/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/1521/10
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/818/5
No 1st Goal
4%
10/18/11
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/57/1
BTTS - No
45%
19/201/16
BTTS - Home Win
23%
13/512/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/116/1
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8/125/1
Home/draw
74%
2/112/15
Away/draw
51%
11/103/10
Home/away
76%
2/923/20
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/711/10
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/44/6
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/519/4
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/31/8
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/12
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/1
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/11
Home DNB
66%
2/710/21
Away DNB
43%
5/26/4
Valencia win to nil
26%
7/4-
A.Madrid win to nil
13%
7/1-
Valencia / Valencia
31%
8/59/4
Valencia / A.Madrid
3%
33/11/50
Valencia / Draw
6%
14/140/1
Draw / Valencia
18%
7/240/1
Draw / A.Madrid
8%
9/150/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/14/6
A.Madrid / Valencia
4%
20/1150/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
11%
7/117/4
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
16/140/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valencia have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Valencia have conceded 31 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valencia have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 4th place on 60 points in the La Liga league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valencia
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3630155991 
May 23
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid3625563980 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
3
Villarreal3621692469 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 24
4
A.Madrid36206102166 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
5
Real Betis36141571257 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Celta36131112450 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Getafe3614616-648 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Sociedad36111213-145 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
R.Vallecano36101412-644 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
10
A.Bilbao3613518-1344 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Sevilla3612717-1243 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Valencia36111015-1243 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
13
Osasuna3611916-442 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
Espanyol3611916-1342 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
15
Alaves36101016-1240 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Girona3691314-1540 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 17
w
 
0-3F
17
Elche3691215-939 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
18
Mallorca3610917-1139 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Levante3610917-1539 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Real Oviedo3661119-3029 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Valencia 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia2 - 1Girona
Valencia2 - 3Celta
Valencia3 - 2Alaves
Valencia1 - 0Osasuna
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia3 - 2Espanyol
Valencia1 - 1Elche
Valencia1 - 1Mallorca
Valencia1 - 1Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Levante
Valencia1 - 1Real Betis
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
Valencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1R.Sociedad
Valencia0 - 1A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1Espanyol
Valencia1 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HValencia2 - 1Girona
AValencia1 - 1Mallorca
AValencia0 - 1Elche
HValencia2 - 3Celta
AValencia2 - 0Sevilla
AValencia0 - 1Real Oviedo
HValencia3 - 2Alaves
HValencia1 - 0Osasuna
AValencia1 - 2Villarreal
AValencia2 - 0Levante
HValencia0 - 2Real Madrid
AValencia1 - 2Real Betis
HValencia3 - 2Espanyol
AValencia1 - 0Getafe
HValencia1 - 1Elche
AValencia1 - 4Celta
HValencia1 - 1Mallorca
AValencia1 - 2A.Madrid
HValencia1 - 1Sevilla
AValencia1 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Elche3 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
Levante0 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Espanyol2 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 4A.Madrid
Osasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 0A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid3 - 2A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid2 - 3Elche
AA.Madrid1 - 2Sevilla
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Real Madrid
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
HA.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid0 - 3R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 0Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A.Madrid have beaten Valencia in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
17
Games: Scored
6 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
5 / 11
VAL
2
D
4
ATM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
0 - 3A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
1 - 3A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 1
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
27
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
D
2
ATM
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Valencia CF's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Atletico de Madrid have conceded in each of their last 5 La Liga matches. A PG of 1.6 for C. Corberán Vallet's side suggests that run should continue.

Valencia 12th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Valencia will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Valencia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
A.Madrid have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
VAL
ATM
27%
better
view stats
Games scored25
29
Failed to score8
4
Scored first15
26
Goals scored37
56
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
VAL
ATM
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
21
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first17
6
Goals conceded48
37
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

Valencia v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31967
J GayàH DuroL RiojaC Tárrega
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dimitrievski GLK18
1
-
R Saravia DEF5
2
-
Pepelu DEF292
4
-
C Tárrega DEF30
7
-
J Gayà DEF3212
6
1
L Rioja MID3526
1
-
J Guerra MID3416
3
-
G Rodríguez MID142
4
-
L Ramazani MID2561
4
-
F Ugrinic  FWD253
3
-
U Sadiq  FWD1842
3
-
Subs
C Rivero GLK1
1
J Vázquez DEF22
2
-
E Cömert DEF162
3
-
R Iranzo DEF1
-
U Núñez DEF11
2
-
A Almeida MID201
-
B Santamaría MID1911
2
-
L. Nuñez Ramirez MID
-
D Raba FWD131
-
A Danjuma FWD3032
-
H Duro FWD349
5
-
D López FWD324
2
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29736
J OblakA GriezmannM RuggeriC Lenglet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Musso GLK7
2
-
J. Franco DEF31
-
R Normand DEF2711
4
-
C Lenglet DEF171
5
1
J. Del Romo DEF41
2
-
N Molina MID2622
4
-
R Mendoza MID81
2
-
O Vargas MID101
2
-
J. Morcillo Rodrigalvarez MID3
1
-
R. Belaid Khellil FWD2
-
T Almada FWD2631
2
1
Subs
J Oblak GLK29
-
M Ruggeri DEF243
4
-
M Pubill DEF171
2
-
A. Puric DEF1
-
Johnny MID15
5
-
Koke MID3222
6
-
Álex Baena MID2523
5
-
A Griezmann FWD3272
1
-
A Lookman FWD103
1
-
I. Luque Sierra FWD11
-
M. Llorente Cubo FWD21
-