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Atletico de Madrid v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 17:30 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Real Sociedad, led by manager Sergio Francisco Ramos, visit Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday evening in the La Liga. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
62%
--
Draw
21%
--
R.Sociedad
17%
--
A.Madrid 1-0
11%
--
A.Madrid 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
--
A.Madrid 3-0
7%
--
A.Madrid 3-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
R.Sociedad 1-0
5%
--
R.Sociedad 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
A.Madrid 4-0
4%
--
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
--
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
--
R.Sociedad 2-0
2%
--
A.Madrid 4-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
83%
--
Away/draw
38%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
32%
--
A.Madrid win to nil
34%
--
R.Sociedad win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 12 games at home winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

R.Sociedad are in 8th position in the La Liga on 31 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 2. R.Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, scored 15, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid2419323460 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-1A
2
Barcelona2419143958 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Villarreal2415361948 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
l
 
2-3A
Mar 22
4
A.Madrid2413651745 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 7
5
Real Betis2411851041 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
3-1A
6
Espanyol241059-435 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 24
7
Celta248106534 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
8
R.Sociedad24879-131 
Mar 7
d
 
1-1F
-
-
9
A.Bilbao249411-731 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
10
Osasuna248610030 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Mar 15
w
 
1-3A
11
Getafe248511-829 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
12
Girona24789-1429 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
May 13
13
Sevilla247512-826 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
May 3
14
Alaves247512-926 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
15
Valencia246810-1226 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
May 17
d
 
1-1A
16
Elche245109-425 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
17
R.Vallecano236710-925 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
18
Mallorca246612-1024 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
19
Levante244614-1518 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
20
Real Oviedo233713-2316 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
R.Sociedad 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
23
7
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
ATM
9
D
2
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
ATM
5
D
3
RSO
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Atletico de Madrid in their meeting with Real Sociedad, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive La Liga outings.

A.Madrid 4th R.Sociedad 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of R.Sociedad scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
A.Madrid have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-7
R.Sociedad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
2
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A.Madrid v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23754
J OblakJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2473
2
-
J Oblak GLK23
-
D Hancko DEF232
-
A Sörloth FWD237
3
1
Koke MID2222
4
-
P Barrios MID2111
-
A Griezmann FWD216
-
G Simeone FWD2125
1
-
M Llorente DEF203
4
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
R Normand DEF181
2
-
N González FWD181
3
-
M Ruggeri DEF17
3
-
N Molina DEF161
1
-
Álex Baena FWD1621
3
-
T Almada FWD1631
1
-
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
C Lenglet DEF11
3
1
J Giménez DEF10
3
-
M Pubill DEF101
1
-
Johnny MID9
4
-
J Galán DEF5
-
J Musso GLK1
1
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241037
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalG GuedesJ Aramburu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK24
-
G Guedes FWD2463
1
-
S Gómez DEF221
1
-
J Aramburu DEF221
7
-
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID2213
5
-
B Méndez MID2152
3
1
P Marín MID21
1
-
M Oyarzabal FWD21103
2
-
C Soler MID2022
2
1
I Zubeldia DEF191
7
-
A Barrenetxea FWD1933
2
-
T Kubo FWD1823
-
A Muñoz DEF16
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF15
4
1
B Turrientes  MID151
4
-
A Zakharyan MID12
1
-
L Sučić MID101
1
-
A Elustondo DEF8
-
O Óskarsson FWD82
-
J Karrikaburu FWD6
-
U Sadiq  FWD5
1
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF41
-
Y Herrera MID4
1
-
M. Goti López MID4
-