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Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Athletic Bilbao, led by manager Ernesto Valverde Tejedor, visit Carlo Ancelotti and his Real Madrid side at the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday night in the La Liga. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Celta at 13:00 on Sunday 4th May
Athletic Bilbao's next match is v R.Sociedad at 20:00 on Sunday 4th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and A.Bilbao was on Sunday 20th April 2025
Spanish La Liga
April 20th 2025
Real Madrid 1
0 A.Bilbao
 
F. Valverde Dipetta 90'
 
RMD
ATH
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
14
1
Possession
73%
27%
Fouls
7
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
Real MadridA.Bilbao
 
T. Courtois
A. Rüdiger
R. Asencio del Rosario (L. Vázquez Iglesias 83')
A. Tchouaméni
L. Modrić (A. Guler 78')
F. Valverde Dipettafootball icon
D. Ceballos Fernández (E. Moreira de Sousa 58')
E. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
R. Silva de Goes (B. Abdelkader Diaz 78')
V. Júnior
U. Simón Mendibil
A. Gorosabel Espinosa
A. Paredes Casamichana
U. Núñez Gestoso
(D. Vivian Moreno 87') A. Boiro Boiro
M. Vesga Arruti
(Í. Lekue Martínez 72') U. Gómez Etxebarria
B. Prados Díaz
(I. Williams Arthuer 62') Á. Dias Fernandes
(M. Sannadi Harrouch 62') G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
(O. Sancet Tirapu 62') A. Berenguer Remiro

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% chance of Real Madrid and A.Bilbao serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this La Liga tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
53%
21/50
11%
-
Draw
23%
7/2
13%
-
A.Bilbao
24%
13/2
50%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
13/2
12%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
6/1
18%
-
A.Bilbao 2-1
6%
20/1
24%
-
A.Bilbao 1-0
6%
18/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
17/2
27%
-
A.Bilbao 2-0
3%
40/1
41%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
2%
16/1
26%
-
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/7
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/4
25%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/11
12%
-
BTTS - No
44%
10/11
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
21/10
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
12/1
53%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/10
6%
-
Away/draw
47%
7/4
20%
-
Home/away
77%
2/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
-
Home DNB
69%
1/8
10%
-
Away DNB
40%
5/1
60%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
27%
11/8
21%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
11%
12/1
30%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
38%
11/10
16%
-
Real Madrid / A.Bilbao
2%
40/1
21%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
3/1
11%
-
Draw / A.Bilbao
6%
14/1
36%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
A.Bilbao / Real Madrid
4%
18/1
10%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
7%
11/1
41%
-
A.Bilbao / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 64 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 37 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 4th position in the La Liga on 57 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 1. A.Bilbao have conceded 5 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3324455776 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
May 25
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid H3322653572 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
A.Madrid3319952966 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Bilbao Away33161252460 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
5
Villarreal33151081155 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Real Betis331599954 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
7
Celta3313713146 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
10
R.Sociedad3312615-542 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 4
11
R.Vallecano33101112-741 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
12
Getafe3310914139 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 15
13
Espanyol3310914-739 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Girona339816-1235 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
May 11
d
 
1-1F
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid3 - 2Leganes
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Espanyol1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Betis2 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta1 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 2A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
Valladolid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona2 - 1A.Bilbao
Leganes0 - 2A.Bilbao
Las Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona2 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 1A.Bilbao
Getafe0 - 2A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao7 - 1Valladolid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Real Madrid have not lost to A.Bilbao in 10 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
RMD
7
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
14
Games: Scored
6 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
5 / 11
RMD
7
D
2
ATH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao2 - 1
0 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.8 against Athletic Bilbao on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid 2nd A.Bilbao 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
=0
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278459/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
22%
better
RMD
ATH
view stats
Games scored29
25
Failed to score2
6
Scored first20
15
Goals scored64
49
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
RMD
ATH
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets11
10
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded31
25
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+4%

Real Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2911710
F ValverdeV JuniorJ BellinghamV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK27
1
-
F Valverde DEF3164
4
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF191
2
-
A Rüdiger DEF29
3
-
E Camavinga DEF1912
2
-
L Modric MID3024
8
-
A Tchouameni MID28
4
-
D Ceballos MID18
4
-
J Bellingham MID2787
2
1
Rodrygo FWD3065
-
V Junior FWD27115
8
2
Subs
A Lunin GLK51
-
F. González Pérez GLK1
-
L Vázquez DEF2814
3
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
F García DEF262
-
D Alaba DEF7
1
-
A Güler MID2323
1
-
B Díaz MID2842
1
-
Endrick FWD191
1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281587
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK16
-
A Gorosabel DEF182
4
-
A Paredes DEF203
3
1
U Núñez DEF9
4
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF15
2
-
B Prados MID271
7
-
M Vesga MID21
1
-
Álvaro Djaló MID151
1
-
U Gómez MID2712
1
-
Álex Berenguer MID3257
4
-
G Guruzeta FWD3262
2
-
Subs
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
D Vivian DEF273
3
-
Y Álvarez DEF191
4
-
I Lekue DEF12
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF262
4
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF234
-
O Sancet MID25151
2
-
I Galarreta MID214
4
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID2921
4
1
P. Canales Urtasun MID7
-
I Williams FWD3268
1
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1111
-