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Real Madrid v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 13:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage is often beneficial in the La Liga, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Claudio Giráldez González’s Celta de Vigo are their opponents at the Santiago Bernabéu. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We are predicting Real Madrid will come out on top after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Santiago Bernabéu.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
63%
1.38-
Draw
19%
5.75
5%
-
Celta
17%
7.00
17%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
9.00
6%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
9%
12.00
9%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
12.00
9%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10.00-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Celta 2-1
5%
19.00-
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
15.00-
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
19.00-
Celta 1-0
4%
23.00-
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
15.00
12%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
23.00-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
26.00-
Celta 2-0
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.36
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
3.20
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.29
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
3.50
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
23.00-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62
3%
-
BTTS - No
40%
2.20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2.50-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9.50
6%
-
Home/draw
83%
1.10
2%
-
Away/draw
37%
3.00-
Home/away
81%
1.14-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.11-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
6.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.80-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3.20-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.36-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
5.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.14-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
23.00-
Home DNB
77%
1.14
3%
-
Away DNB
31%
5.50
10%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
30%
2.75-
Celta win to nil
7%
15.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
43%
1.95
3%
-
Real Madrid / Celta
2%
41.00-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
4.33-
Draw / Celta
6%
15.00-
Draw / Draw
9%
9.00
6%
-
Celta / Real Madrid
5%
17.00
13%
-
Celta / Celta
7%
12.00
9%
-
Celta / Draw
4%
19.00
12%
-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 50 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 16 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Celta are in 7th position in the La Liga on 46 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Celta have conceded 23 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3324455776 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-3A
2
Real Madrid H3322653572 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
May 4
3
A.Madrid3319952966 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao33161252460 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Villarreal33151081155 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-3F
6
Real Betis331599954 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Celta Away3313713146 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
-
-
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
R.Sociedad3312615-542 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 13
11
R.Vallecano33101112-741 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
May 18
l
 
2-1A
12
Getafe3310914139 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 25
13
Espanyol3310914-739 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1A
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
May 10
l
 
1-0A
16
Girona339816-1235 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive league games
3
Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid3 - 2Leganes
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Celta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona4 - 3Celta
Mallorca1 - 2Celta
Valladolid0 - 1Celta
Girona2 - 2Celta
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
Valencia2 - 1Celta
Alaves1 - 1Celta
R.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
Sevilla1 - 0Celta
Espanyol3 - 1Celta
Real Betis2 - 2Celta
Leganes3 - 0Celta
Las Palmas0 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
Osasuna3 - 2Celta
Villarreal4 - 3Celta
Granada1 - 2Celta
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
Alaves3 - 0Celta
Real Betis2 - 1Celta
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCelta3 - 0Villarreal
ACelta3 - 4Barcelona
HCelta0 - 2Espanyol
ACelta2 - 1Mallorca
HCelta1 - 1Las Palmas
ACelta1 - 0Valladolid
HCelta2 - 1Leganes
ACelta2 - 2Girona
HCelta1 - 0Osasuna
ACelta1 - 1A.Madrid
HCelta3 - 2Real Betis
ACelta1 - 2Valencia
ACelta1 - 1Alaves
HCelta1 - 2A.Bilbao
ACelta1 - 2R.Vallecano
HCelta2 - 0R.Sociedad
ACelta0 - 1Sevilla
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta1 - 3Espanyol
HCelta2 - 2Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Real Madrid have beaten Celta in 9 consecutive league meetings
21
Real Madrid have not lost to Celta in 21 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Celta
Goals: Scored
35
6
Games: Scored
10 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
0 / 10
RMD
9
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid5 - 2
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid6 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid7 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 0
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
32
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
RMD
10
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
2 - 4Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
2 - 4Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Real Madrid in their meeting with Celta de Vigo, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive La Liga matches.

Real Madrid 2nd Celta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Celta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278479/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
RMD
CEL
view stats
Games scored31
29
Failed to score2
4
Scored first22
12
Goals scored66
50
Avg. goals scored2
1.5
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
33%
better
RMD
CEL
view stats
Games conceded20
26
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first11
21
Goals conceded31
49
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%

Real Madrid v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2922710
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID3164
4
-
L Modric MID3024
8
-
Rodrygo FWD3065
-
A Rüdiger DEF29
3
-
K Mbappé FWD29223
3
1
L Vázquez DEF2814
3
-
B Díaz MID2842
1
-
A Tchouameni MID28
4
-
T Courtois GLK27
1
-
J Bellingham MID2787
2
1
V Junior FWD27115
8
2
F García DEF262
-
A Güler MID2323
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF191
2
-
E Camavinga MID1912
2
-
Endrick FWD191
1
-
D Ceballos MID18
4
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF7
1
-
A Lunin GLK51
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
F. González Pérez GLK1
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29969
V GuaitaB IglesiasÓscar MinguezaM Alonso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Iglesias FWD3293
2
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF3122
7
-
V Guaita GLK29
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF2936
6
1
F Beltrán MID292
3
-
C Starfelt DEF281
5
-
I Moriba MID281
6
1
M Alonso DEF272
8
1
W Swedberg MID2733
1
-
I Aspas FWD2693
4
1
H Álvarez MID2343
6
-
A González FWD2242
1
1
P Durán FWD2244
3
-
H Sotelo MID21
4
-
S Carreira DEF204
-
D Rodríguez MID17
3
-
C Domínguez DEF15
1
-
F. López González MID132
2
-
Jailson  MID13
2
-
J Manquillo DEF10
1
-
I Losada MID101
2
-
M Ristić DEF71
1
-
F Cervi MID6
1
-
I Villar GLK4
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF41
-