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Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta and their boss Raffaele Palladino will be hoping for victory against Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and his Athletic Bilbao side on Wednesday night, as the pair clash at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Champions League. All of the key stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Atalanta and A.Bilbao delivering at least two goals in this Champions League match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
51%
17/20
5%
10/11
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
5/2
A.Bilbao
24%
16/5
10%
16/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Atalanta 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Atalanta 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Atalanta 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
A.Bilbao 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/18/1
A.Bilbao 2-1
6%
12/112/1
Atalanta 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Atalanta 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Atalanta 3-2
3%
28/122/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
33/1
21%
25/1
Atalanta 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Atalanta 4-0
2%
33/1
15%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
13/20
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4
4%
8/5
No 1st Goal
5%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/1117/20
BTTS - No
48%
10/1117/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
6%
13/2
Home/draw
76%
2/9
3%
2/9
Away/draw
49%
10/11
2%
10/11
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3
2%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
6%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
13%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
2%
1/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/115/2
Home DNB
68%
4/11
2%
4/11
Away DNB
42%
2/1
8%
19/10
Atalanta win to nil
29%
9/4-
A.Bilbao win to nil
13%
6/1-
Atalanta / Atalanta
28%
2/1
4%
15/8
Atalanta / A.Bilbao
3%
33/128/1
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
17%
15/419/5
Draw / A.Bilbao
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
A.Bilbao / Atalanta
4%
22/118/1
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal66001618 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
-
2
Bayern65011115 
-
-
-
-
3
PSG64111113 
-
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
-
4
Man City6411613 
-
-
-
-
5
Atalanta6411213 
-
-
-
Jan 21
6
Inter6402812 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid6402612 
-
-
-
-
8
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
9
Liverpool6402312 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund6321611 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
11
Spurs6321611 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
13
Chelsea6312510 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
14
S. Lisbon6312410 
-
-
Jan 28
-
15
Barcelona6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
-
-
-
-
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
-
-
19
Monaco6231-19 
-
-
-
-
20
Leverkusen6231-29 
-
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag6213-37 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
-
23
Napoli6213-57 
-
-
-
-
24
Kobenhavn6213-67 
-
-
-
-
25
Benfica6204-26 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos6132-56 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG6204-86 
-
Jan 28
-
-
28
A.Bilbao6123-55 
Jan 21
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos6123-75 
-
-
-
-
30
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
31
Brugge6114-84 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
32
Bodø6033-43 
-
-
-
-
33
Slavia6033-93 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
34
Ajax6105-133 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal6015-91 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty6015-111 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Atalanta have won 3 consecutive european games
5
Atalanta have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
7
A.Bilbao have not won in 7 consecutive away european games
3
A.Bilbao have failed to score in 3 consecutive european games
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
A.Bilbao 28TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Athletic Bilbao of late. It has been 5 Champions League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday night against Atalanta.

Atalanta 5th A.Bilbao 28th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-29
A.Bilbao have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.6
1
Attack rating
31%
better
ATA
ATH
view stats
Games scored14
10
Failed to score5
10
Scored first8
6
Goals scored23
15
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
14
Conversion rate for12
7
Avg. XG for1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
21%
better
ATA
ATH
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded17
26
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+21%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v A.Bilbao will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
M CarnesecchiC KetelaereC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK6
-
O Kossounou  DEF6
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF6
1
-
M Roon MID61
2
-
R Bellanova MID6
1
-
N Krstovic FWD6
-
Y Musah MID51
2
-
D Zappacosta MID5
-
C Ketelaere MID522
-
Éderson MID511
1
-
A Lookman FWD511
-
H. Ahanor DEF4
-
I Hien DEF4
-
L Bernasconi MID4
1
-
L Samardžić MID42
-
M Pasalic MID41
-
G Scamacca FWD41
-
K Sulemana FWD3
-
S Kolasinac DEF2
-
M Brescianini MID2
-
N Zalewski MID2
-
G Scalvini DEF1
-
D Maldini MID1
-
A.Bilbao Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
U SimónG GuruzetaM. Jauregizar AlbonigaA Paredes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK6
-
A. Rego Mora MID6
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID62
2
-
A Paredes DEF5
3
-
A Gorosabel DEF5
1
-
D Vivian DEF5
-
I Galarreta MID5
1
-
U Gómez MID5
1
-
G Guruzeta FWD53
1
-
R Navarro FWD51
-
Álex Berenguer FWD51
1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF4
-
J Areso DEF4
1
-
M Vesga MID4
-
O Sancet MID4
-
Y Berchiche DEF3
-
I Williams FWD3
-
N Serrano  FWD3
-
N Williams FWD3
-
A Laporte DEF2
-
I Lekue DEF2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1
-