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Chelsea v Paphos : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Paphos are away from home on Wednesday night, as manager Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones takes his team to visit Chelsea and Enzo Maresca at the Stamford Bridge in the Champions League. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Chelsea to win

A Champions League home win for Enzo Maresca's Chelsea side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Chelsea win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 82% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
82%
1/7
6%
2/11
Draw
11%
13/2
14%
7/1
Paphos
6%
14/1
36%
11/1
Chelsea 3-0
11%
13/2
7%
13/2
Chelsea 2-0
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Chelsea 4-0
8%
17/28/1
Chelsea 3-1
8%
10/19/1
Chelsea 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Chelsea 1-0
7%
10/1
5%
8/1
Chelsea 4-1
6%
12/112/1
Draw 1-1
5%
14/112/1
Chelsea 5-0
5%
14/1
11%
12/1
Chelsea 5-1
4%
20/118/1
Chelsea 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
9%
20/1
Chelsea 6-0
2%
25/120/1
Draw 0-0
2%
22/120/1
Chelsea 4-2
2%
33/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
4/11
6%
4/11
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
11/5
16%
2/1
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/41/5
Away 1st Goal
35%
11/4
4%
18/5
No 1st Goal
1%
22/118/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
1/1
2%
21/20
BTTS - No
50%
3/4
6%
7/10
BTTS - Home Win
37%
8/5
1%
17/10
BTTS - Draw
9%
8/115/2
BTTS - Away Win
4%
20/114/1
Home/draw
94%
1/331/25
Away/draw
18%
9/219/5
Home/away
89%
1/101/14
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/9
2%
1/10
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
11/2
8%
5/1
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
10/11
5%
10/11
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
10/11
6%
5/6
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
11/5
6%
19/10
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
4/11
2%
4/11
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
4/1
8%
4/1
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/6
1%
1/7
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/661/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
20/118/1
Home DNB
90%
1/251/25
Away DNB
14%
12/18/1
Chelsea win to nil
45%
10/11
5%
-
Paphos win to nil
3%
22/1-
Chelsea / Chelsea
53%
8/1511/20
Chelsea / Paphos
2%
50/145/1
Chelsea / Draw
4%
22/120/1
Draw / Chelsea
20%
3/110/3
Draw / Paphos
3%
28/120/1
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
10%
10/1
Paphos / Chelsea
5%
16/116/1
Paphos / Paphos
4%
28/114/1
Paphos / Draw
4%
25/118/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Paphos
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal66001618 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern65011115 
-
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-5A
-
3
PSG64111113 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City6411613 
-
-
-
-
5
Atalanta6411213 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
6
Inter6402812 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid6402612 
-
-
-
-
8
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
9
Liverpool6402312 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund6321611 
-
-
-
-
11
Spurs6321611 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
-
13
Chelsea6312510 
-
-
-
Jan 21
14
S. Lisbon6312410 
-
-
-
-
15
Barcelona6312310 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
-
-
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
-
-
19
Monaco6231-19 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
-
20
Leverkusen6231-29 
-
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag6213-37 
-
d
 
2-2F
-
-
23
Napoli6213-57 
-
Jan 28
-
-
24
Kobenhavn6213-67 
-
-
-
-
25
Benfica6204-26 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
26
Paphos6132-56 
Jan 21
-
-
-
27
Union SG6204-86 
-
-
-
-
28
A.Bilbao6123-55 
-
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos6123-75 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
30
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
-
-
-
31
Brugge6114-84 
-
-
-
-
32
Bodø6033-43 
-
-
-
-
33
Slavia6033-93 
-
-
Jan 28
-
34
Ajax6105-133 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
35
Villarreal6015-91 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
36
Kairat Almaty6015-111 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Chelsea have won 4 consecutive home european games
3
Paphos have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games
Chelsea 13TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea3 - 0Barcelona
Chelsea5 - 1Ajax
Chelsea1 - 0Benfica
Chelsea1 - 0Djurgårdens
Chelsea1 - 2L. Warsaw
Chelsea1 - 0Kobenhavn
Chelsea5 - 1Shamrock
Chelsea8 - 0Noah
Chelsea4 - 2Gent
Chelsea2 - 0Servette
Chelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
Chelsea2 - 0Dortmund
Chelsea2 - 1D. Zagreb
Chelsea3 - 0Milan
Chelsea1 - 1Salzburg
Chelsea1 - 3Real Madrid
Chelsea2 - 0Lille
Chelsea4 - 0Juventus
Chelsea4 - 0Malmö
Chelsea1 - 0Zenit
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea1 - 2Atalanta
HChelsea3 - 0Barcelona
AChelsea2 - 2Qarabag
HChelsea5 - 1Ajax
HChelsea1 - 0Benfica
AChelsea1 - 3Bayern
AChelsea4 - 1Real Betis
HChelsea1 - 0Djurgårdens
AChelsea4 - 1Djurgårdens
HChelsea1 - 2L. Warsaw
AChelsea3 - 0L. Warsaw
HChelsea1 - 0Kobenhavn
AChelsea2 - 1Kobenhavn
HChelsea5 - 1Shamrock
AChelsea3 - 1Astana
AChelsea2 - 0Heidenheim
HChelsea8 - 0Noah
AChelsea4 - 1Panathinaikos
HChelsea4 - 2Gent
AChelsea1 - 2Servette
Paphos 26TH
15 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 15
Conceded
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
Failed to score
6 / 15
Won
4
Draw
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 0Paphos
Kairat Almaty0 - 0Paphos
Olympiakos0 - 0Paphos
Red Star Bel.1 - 2Paphos
Dynamo Kyiv0 - 1Paphos
M. Tel-Aviv0 - 1Paphos
Djurgårdens3 - 0Paphos
Omnia Nicosia1 - 1Paphos
FC Lugano2 - 2Paphos
Fiorentina3 - 2Paphos
Petrocub1 - 4Paphos
CFR Cluj1 - 0Paphos
CSKA 1948 Sofia2 - 1Paphos
VMFD Zalgiris2 - 1Paphos
Elfsborg3 - 0Paphos
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APaphos0 - 2Juventus
HPaphos2 - 2Monaco
HPaphos1 - 0Villarreal
APaphos0 - 0Kairat Almaty
HPaphos1 - 5Bayern
APaphos0 - 0Olympiakos
HPaphos1 - 1Red Star Bel.
APaphos2 - 1Red Star Bel.
HPaphos2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
APaphos1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
APaphos1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPaphos1 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
APaphos0 - 3Djurgårdens
HPaphos1 - 0Djurgårdens
HPaphos2 - 1Omnia Nicosia
APaphos1 - 1Omnia Nicosia
APaphos2 - 2FC Lugano
HPaphos2 - 0Celje
APaphos2 - 3Fiorentina
HPaphos1 - 0Astana
Goal Statistics
Chelsea 13th Paphos 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
23%
There is a 24% probability that Chelsea will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Paphos scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Paphos have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Paphos
3
0.7
Attack rating
32%
better
CHE
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score1
4
Scored first14
11
Goals scored38
23
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CHE
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded22
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Chelsea v Paphos will show here when available.

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
E FernándezE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesR James A Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Fernández MID611
1
-
M Caicedo MID61
1
-
R Sánchez GLK5
-
M Cucurella  DEF5
-
T Chalobah DEF5
1
-
R James  DEF52
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD53
1
-
A Garnacho FWD51
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD51
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF4
1
-
M Gusto DEF41
1
-
A Santos MID42
2
-
T. George FWD41
-
P Neto FWD4
1
-
J Pedro  FWD41
1
1
W Fofana DEF31
-
F Buonanotte MID3
1
-
J Hato DEF2
-
B Badiashile  DEF2
-
R Lavia MID2
-
L Delap FWD21
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
C Palmer MID11
-
M Guiu FWD11
-
Paphos Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12223
N MichaelM OrsicM OrsicB Felipe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Michael GLK12
-
D Goldar DEF12
2
-
D Luckassen DEF121
2
-
V Dragomir MID12
-
P Pêpê MID1211
2
-
I Sunjic MID12
2
-
M Orsic FWD1222
1
-
B Felipe DEF111
2
1
K Pileas DEF11
-
Jajá FWD112
2
-
A Silva FWD111
-
B Langa DEF10
2
-
D Quina MID9
3
-
K Sema FWD91
-
J Correia FWD921
2
1
M Bassouamina FWD81
-
D Luiz DEF61
1
-
L Dimata FWD4
-
P Pedrão DEF1
-