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Real Madrid v Monaco : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 20th Jan, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

We’ve Champions League action to look forward to on Tuesday night, as Xabier Alonso Olano and his Real Madrid side host Sébastien Pocognoli’s Monaco at the Santiago Bernabéu. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping Real Madrid to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Champions League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Real Madrid to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for Monaco, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Real Madrid winning is the bet come Tuesday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
76%
27/100
6%
3/10
Draw
14%
5/1
14%
5/1
Monaco
10%
8/1
27%
8/1
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
7/17/1
Real Madrid 3-0
9%
8/1
11%
8/1
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
8/1
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/117/2
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
Draw 1-1
6%
11/1
9%
10/1
Real Madrid 4-0
6%
12/1
20%
11/1
Real Madrid 4-1
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
11%
14/1
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
20/1
10%
16/1
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
Real Madrid 5-1
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
Monaco 2-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
4/11
6%
4/11
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
11/5
16%
19/10
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/3
4%
2/7
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4
13%
27/10
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
16/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4
6%
8/11
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
5%
21/20
BTTS - Home Win
38%
6/4
4%
29/20
BTTS - Draw
12%
6/1
15%
11/2
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
Home/draw
90%
1/14
3%
1/14
Away/draw
24%
11/4
15%
5/2
Home/away
86%
1/8
1%
1/8
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/10
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
10/11
5%
10/11
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
10/11
4%
5/6
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
2/1
9%
19/10
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
2/5
5%
4/11
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
4/1
8%
4/1
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/6
1%
2/13
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/661/200
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/118/1
Home DNB
86%
1/12
4%
1/12
Away DNB
20%
7/1
33%
11/2
Real Madrid win to nil
38%
11/8
10%
-
Monaco win to nil
4%
18/1
27%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
46%
8/11
9%
3/4
Real Madrid / Monaco
2%
50/140/1
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
3/1
8%
10/3
Draw / Monaco
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2
11%
8/1
Monaco / Real Madrid
5%
16/114/1
Monaco / Monaco
6%
16/1
46%
11/1
Monaco / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal66001618 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern65011115 
-
-
-
-
3
PSG64111113 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City6411613 
l
 
1-2F
-
d
 
2-2A
-
5
Atalanta6411213 
-
-
-
-
6
Inter6402812 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid6402612 
-
-
-
Jan 20
8
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
9
Liverpool6402312 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
Dortmund6321611 
-
-
-
-
11
Spurs6321611 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
12
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
-
13
Chelsea6312510 
-
-
-
-
14
S. Lisbon6312410 
-
-
-
-
15
Barcelona6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
w
 
1-0F
-
Jan 28
-
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
19
Monaco6231-19 
Jan 20
-
-
-
20
Leverkusen6231-29 
-
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag6213-37 
-
-
-
-
23
Napoli6213-57 
-
-
-
-
24
Kobenhavn6213-67 
-
-
-
-
25
Benfica6204-26 
-
Jan 28
-
-
26
Paphos6132-56 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
27
Union SG6204-86 
-
-
-
-
28
A.Bilbao6123-55 
-
-
-
-
29
Olympiakos6123-75 
-
w
 
3-4A
-
-
30
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
-
-
-
31
Brugge6114-84 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
32
Bodø6033-43 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
33
Slavia6033-93 
-
-
-
-
34
Ajax6105-133 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal6015-91 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty6015-111 
-
w
 
0-5F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Monaco have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Real Madrid 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 2Man City
Real Madrid1 - 0Juventus
Real Madrid2 - 1Marseille
Real Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
Real Madrid1 - 3Milan
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Real Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid1 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid4 - 3Olympiakos
AReal Madrid0 - 1Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 0Juventus
AReal Madrid5 - 0Kairat Almaty
HReal Madrid2 - 1Marseille
HReal Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Monaco 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos2 - 2Monaco
Bodø0 - 1Monaco
Brugge4 - 1Monaco
Benfica3 - 3Monaco
Inter3 - 0Monaco
Arsenal3 - 0Monaco
Bologna0 - 1Monaco
D. Zagreb2 - 2Monaco
Leverkusen2 - 3Monaco
Ferencvaros1 - 1Monaco
Trabzonspor4 - 0Monaco
Red Star Bel.0 - 1Monaco
PSV2 - 2Monaco
Braga2 - 0Monaco
Sturm Graz1 - 1Monaco
PSV1 - 2Monaco
R.Sociedad1 - 1Monaco
Shakhtar1 - 2Monaco
Sparta0 - 2Monaco
A.Madrid2 - 0Monaco
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonaco1 - 0Galatasaray
AMonaco2 - 2Paphos
AMonaco1 - 0Bodø
HMonaco0 - 0Spurs
HMonaco2 - 2Man City
AMonaco1 - 4Brugge
AMonaco3 - 3Benfica
HMonaco0 - 1Benfica
AMonaco0 - 3Inter
HMonaco1 - 0A Villa
AMonaco0 - 3Arsenal
HMonaco2 - 3Benfica
AMonaco1 - 0Bologna
HMonaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2D. Zagreb
HMonaco2 - 1Barcelona
HMonaco2 - 3Leverkusen
AMonaco3 - 2Leverkusen
HMonaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco1 - 1Ferencvaros
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Monaco fans, as should a 7 Champions League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Real Madrid 7th Monaco 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Monaco scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Monaco have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
2.7
0.9
Attack rating
23%
better
RMD
MCO
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first13
8
Goals scored45
28
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
25%
better
RMD
MCO
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded23
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+25%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Monaco will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6923
A TchouameniK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID62
1
-
A Tchouameni MID6
1
-
B Díaz FWD61
1
-
V Junior FWD62
1
-
T Courtois GLK51
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF5
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF5
3
-
J Bellingham MID511
1
-
F Valverde MID5
-
K Mbappé FWD59
-
E Camavinga MID411
1
-
Rodrygo FWD411
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF3
-
D. Huijsen DEF3
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
1
-
F García DEF3
-
D Ceballos MID3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD3
-
G. García Torres FWD31
-
A Lunin GLK1
-
D Alaba DEF1
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
1
-
F Mendy DEF1
-
D Carvajal DEF1
1
Endrick FWD1
-
Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6322
F BalogunF BalogunM AklioucheM Salisu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kehrer DEF6
1
-
F Balogun FWD63
-
M Akliouche FWD62
-
M Biereth  FWD6
1
-
J Teze DEF51
-
C Henrique DEF5
-
K Ouattara DEF5
1
-
M Salisu DEF5
2
-
M. Coulibaly MID5
1
-
T Minamino FWD511
-
P Köhn GLK4
-
Vanderson DEF4
-
A Golovin MID4
2
-
A Fati FWD41
-
L Camara MID3
1
-
L Hradecky GLK2
-
E Dier DEF21
-
C Mawissa DEF2
1
-
D Zakaria MID2
-
G Ilenikhena FWD2
-
K Diatta FWD21
1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID1
-
A. Bamba MID1
-
L. Michal FWD1
-