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Benfica v Celtic : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica and Celtic clash at the Estádio da Luz on Thursday night, with both Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva and Martin O'Neill hoping for success in the Europa League. All the odds are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Europa League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Europa League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Benfica's next match is v Omnia Nicosia at 20:00 on Thursday 22nd October
Celtic's next match is v Hearts at 15:00 on Sunday 18th October

The last European Europa League meeting between Benfica and Celtic was on Thursday 15th October 2026

European Europa League

October 15th 2026

Benfica 4	1 Celtic

J. Durán Palacio 5'	63' C. Durán Marquez
A. Hartmann Bah 23'
J. Durán Palacio 36'
V. Pavlidis 89'

	BEF CEL
Shots On	7 7
Shots Off	11 5
Corners	8 6
Possession	53% 47%
Fouls	9 7
Yellow/red cards	3/0

Benfica	Celtic

A. Trubin C. Lenglet A. Hartmann Bah (A. Circati 80') F. Aursnes H. Sudakov (C. Echeverri 64') D. Lukebakio (A. Schjelderup 68') S. Dahl (S. Elkarouani 64') G. Prestianni Gross T. Araújo J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves J. Durán Palacio (V. Pavlidis 67')	V. Sinisalo A. Trusty (B. Nygren 57') O. Jensen (H. Hassan 46') K. Høgh C. Durán Marquez D. Murray (C. Osmand 46') S. Tounekti (A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 57') M. Baur C. McGregor (J. Lotomba 77') C. Donovan K. Tierney

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

A Europa League win on home turf for Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva's Benfica side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Benfica win is the way to go, even if a tight match is possible.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 82% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Benfica 82%	1/6 4%	-
Draw 11%	7/1 33%	-
Celtic 7%	12/1 30%	-
Benfica 3-0 9%	15/2 6%	-
Benfica 2-0 9%	8/1 29%	-
Benfica 3-1 8%	9/1 9%	-
Benfica 4-0 8%	9/1 17%	-
Benfica 2-1 7%	10/1 16%	-
Benfica 4-1 7%	12/1 13%	-
Benfica 1-0 5%	12/1 37%	-
Benfica 5-0 5%	14/1 29%	-
Draw 1-1 5%	14/1 25%	-
Benfica 5-1 4%	18/1 27%	-
Benfica 3-2 4%	20/1 19%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1	-
Benfica 4-2 3%	25/1 24%	-
Benfica 6-0 3%	25/1 37%	-
Benfica 6-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 78%	1/4 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 22%	3/1 36%	-
Home 1st Goal 62%	1/4 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 37%	11/4 7%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	28/1 38%	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	3/4 10%	-
BTTS - No 44%	1/1 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 42%	5/4 18%	-
BTTS - Draw 9%	15/2 13%	-
BTTS - Away Win 4%	18/1 12%	-
Home/draw 93%	1/25 2%	-
Away/draw 17%	4/1 25%	-
Home/away 89%	1/12 4%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	1/14 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 8%	8/1 45%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 59%	4/6 18%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 41%	6/5 21%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 39%	6/4 25%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 61%	8/15 15%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 23%	3/1 33%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 77%	1/4 10%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/80 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	25/1 24%	-
Home DNB 90%	1/20 3%	-
Away DNB 14%	10/1 38%	-
Benfica win to nil 40%	6/5 5%	-
Celtic win to nil 2%	25/1 37%	-
Benfica / Benfica 53%	8/15 12%	-
Benfica / Celtic 2%	50/1 24%	-
Benfica / Draw 4%	20/1	-
Draw / Benfica 20%	3/1	-
Draw / Celtic 3%	28/1 38%	-
Draw / Draw 6%	12/1 37%	-
Celtic / Benfica 5%	14/1 12%	-
Celtic / Celtic 4%	22/1 10%	-
Celtic / Draw 3%	25/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win form

Benfica have won 3 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	3 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Benfica	6 - 1	Hearts
Benfica	5 - 0	St Gallen
Benfica	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
Benfica	2 - 0	Napoli
Benfica	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Benfica	2 - 3	Qarabag
Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
Benfica	0 - 1	Barcelona
Benfica	3 - 3	Monaco
Benfica	4 - 5	Barcelona
Benfica	0 - 0	Bologna
Benfica	1 - 3	Feyenoord
Benfica	4 - 0	A.Madrid
Benfica	2 - 1	Marseille
Benfica	2 - 2	Rangers
Benfica	2 - 1	Toulouse
Benfica	3 - 3	Inter

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Milan
A	Benfica	3 - 1	AGF Aarhus
H	Benfica	3 - 1	AGF Aarhus
A	Benfica	1 - 1	Hearts
H	Benfica	6 - 1	Hearts
H	Benfica	5 - 0	St Gallen
A	Benfica	1 - 2	St Gallen
A	Benfica	1 - 2	Real Madrid
H	Benfica	0 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
A	Benfica	0 - 2	Juventus
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Napoli
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Ajax
H	Benfica	0 - 1	Leverkusen
A	Benfica	0 - 3	Newcastle
A	Benfica	0 - 1	Chelsea
H	Benfica	2 - 3	Qarabag
H	Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	Benfica	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Nice

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
LASK Linz	4 - 1	Celtic
Stuttgart	0 - 1	Celtic
Bologna	2 - 2	Celtic
Feyenoord	1 - 3	Celtic
Midtjylland	3 - 1	Celtic
Red Star Bel.	1 - 1	Celtic
Kairat Almaty	0 - 0	Celtic
Bayern	1 - 1	Celtic
A Villa	4 - 2	Celtic
D. Zagreb	0 - 0	Celtic
Atalanta	0 - 0	Celtic
Dortmund	7 - 1	Celtic
Lazio	2 - 0	Celtic
A.Madrid	6 - 0	Celtic
Feyenoord	2 - 0	Celtic
Real Madrid	5 - 1	Celtic
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Celtic
Shakhtar	1 - 1	Celtic
Bodø	2 - 0	Celtic
Leverkusen	3 - 2	Celtic

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Celtic	1 - 3	Ferencvaros
A	Celtic	1 - 4	LASK Linz
H	Celtic	3 - 0	LASK Linz
A	Celtic	1 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Celtic	1 - 4	Stuttgart
H	Celtic	4 - 2	Utrecht
A	Celtic	2 - 2	Bologna
H	Celtic	0 - 3	Roma
A	Celtic	3 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Celtic	1 - 3	Midtjylland
H	Celtic	2 - 1	Sturm Graz
H	Celtic	0 - 2	Braga
A	Celtic	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Celtic	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Celtic	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
A	Celtic	1 - 1	Bayern
H	Celtic	1 - 2	Bayern
A	Celtic	2 - 4	A Villa
H	Celtic	1 - 0	Young Boys
A	Celtic	0 - 0	D. Zagreb

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Benfica

Celtic

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

0 / 3

BEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica		2 - 1
Benfica		1 - 0
Benfica		3 - 0

Celtic

Benfica

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

0 / 3

Clean sheets

3 / 3

1 / 3

CEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celtic
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Celtic	1 - 0
Celtic	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Benfica 3rd	Celtic 33rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	3.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 13% 2 21% 3 22% 4 18% 5+ 26% There is a 26% probability that Benfica will score 5 or more goals in this match	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Celtic scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 Benfica have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	-23 Celtic have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season

31%

better

BEF

CEL

view stats

Games scored	20		18
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	16		12
Goals scored	58		41
Avg. goals scored	2.9		2.1
Avg. shots per game	15		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	20		17
Avg. XG for	2.5		2
KickOff rating		+31%

better

BEF

CEL

view stats

Games conceded	14		14
Clean sheets	6		6
Conceded first	4		8
Goals conceded	20		21
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		9
Conversion rate against	13%		11%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+6%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Benfica v Celtic will show here when available.

Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	7	2	2
H Sudakov	V Pavlidis	A Bah	A Bah

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	4			-
A Bah DEF	6	1	2	2 -
T Araújo DEF	6	1	1	1 -
C Lenglet DEF	7	1	2	-
S Dahl DEF	7		1	1 -
F Aursnes MID	3			-
J Palhinha MID	2			1 -
D Lukébakio MID	5	2	1	-
H Sudakov MID	8		1	-
G Prestianni MID	6	3	2	1 -
J Durán FWD	7	3		1 -
Subs
S Soares GLK	4			-
A Circati DEF	3			-
Gabriel Queiroz DEF				-
S Karouani DEF	2		1	1 -
Manu MID	3			-
L Barreiro MID	6	1	1	2 -
R Silva MID	6	4	1	-
C Echeverri MID	1			-
T. Dias Freitas MID				-
V Pavlidis FWD	7	7	1	2 -
A Schjelderup FWD	7	1	1	-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	11	2	3
V Pavlidis	G Prestianni	A Bah	G Prestianni

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Pavlidis FWD	7	10	1	3
R Silva MID	4	8	1	1
G Prestianni MID	3	11	2	3
J Durán FWD	3	5
D Lukébakio MID	2	6	1
A Bah DEF	1	1	2	2
T Araújo DEF	1	1	1	1
C Lenglet DEF	1	2	2	1
Subs
L Barreiro MID	1	6	1	1
A Schjelderup FWD	1	3	1	2
S Dahl DEF		2	1	2
H Sudakov MID		4	1	2
Subs
S Karouani DEF			1	1
Manu MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
577	17	30
C Lenglet	T Araújo	T Araújo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Lenglet DEF	577	6	17
T Araújo DEF	489	17	30
A Bah DEF	347	9	25
S Dahl DEF	337	9	18
H Sudakov MID	286	7	17
G Prestianni MID	201	4	27
Subs
R Silva MID	188	4	11
L Barreiro MID	152	5	17
Manu MID	149	9	9
A Trubin GLK	132		4
Subs
V Pavlidis FWD	119	2	21
D Lukébakio MID	117	5	15
Subs
A Schjelderup FWD	105	5	11
F Aursnes MID	99	4	6
J Palhinha MID	99	5	11
Subs
S Soares GLK	93	1	3
J Durán FWD	63	1	15
Subs
A Circati DEF	59	1	3
S Karouani DEF	53	3	3
C Echeverri MID	12		1

Celtic Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	0
V Sinisalo	M. Baur	K Tierney

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Sinisalo GLK	2			-
C. Donovan DEF	2			-
D Murray DEF	1			-
A Trusty DEF	1			-
K Tierney DEF	2		1	-
C McGregor MID	2			-
M. Baur MID	2	1		-
C. Durán Marquez MID	2	1		-
O Sørensen MID	2			-
S Tounekti MID	2			-
K Högh FWD	2			-
Subs
S Johnstone GLK				-
J Lotomba DEF	1			-
L Scales DEF	1			-
A Ralston DEF	1			-
J Forrest MID	1			-
L. Kennedy MID				-
L McCowan MID	1			-
A Oxlade-Chamberlain MID	1			-
B Nygren FWD	2			-
C. Osmand FWD	1			-
H Hassan FWD	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
M. Baur	C. Durán Marquez	K Tierney	K Tierney

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Baur MID	1	2		1
C. Durán Marquez MID	1	3
K Tierney DEF		1	1	1
S Tounekti MID		1		1
K Högh FWD		1
Subs
J Forrest MID		1		1
H Hassan FWD		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
134	8	14
C McGregor	C. Donovan	K Tierney

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C McGregor MID	134	1	5
K Tierney DEF	126	7	14
V Sinisalo GLK	107
Subs
L Scales DEF	101	1	3
A Trusty DEF	84
D Murray DEF	79	1	4
C. Donovan DEF	63	8	11
M. Baur MID	57	3	6
Subs
B Nygren FWD	51
H Hassan FWD	33	1	2
S Tounekti MID	29	1	6
O Sørensen MID	28	4	6
K Högh FWD	26		2
C. Durán Marquez MID	24		8
Subs
J Forrest MID	20	1	5
L McCowan MID	18		2
A Oxlade-Chamberlain MID	16
C. Osmand FWD	11		1
A Ralston DEF	8	2	3
J Lotomba DEF	6	1	1