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Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th Oct, 17:45 BST, INEA stadion, Pozna?

Niels Frederiksen and Carles Martínez Novell meet in the Europa League on Thursday evening, as Lech Poznan face Bayer Leverkusen at the INEA stadion. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) records, will update as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Thursday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Lech Poznan and Leverkusen to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 59% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lech Poznan 21%	7/2	-
Draw 20%	31/10	-
Leverkusen 59%	8/13	-
Leverkusen 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	15/2	-
Leverkusen 2-0 8%	9/1 5%	-
Leverkusen 1-0 7%	10/1 10%	-
Leverkusen 3-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Leverkusen 3-0 6%	12/1	-
Lech Poznan 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Leverkusen 3-2 4%	18/1	-
Lech Poznan 1-0 4%	18/1	-
Leverkusen 4-1 4%	20/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	18/1	-
Leverkusen 4-0 3%	22/1	-
Lech Poznan 2-0 3%	28/1	-
Lech Poznan 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	1/2 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	13/8 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 43%	6/4	-
Away 1st Goal 55%	8/15	-
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	8/15 3%	-
BTTS - No 38%	11/8 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	6/1 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 33%	15/8	-
Home/draw 41%	5/4	-
Away/draw 79%	2/11	-
Home/away 80%	2/9	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	9/2 10%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	6/5 4%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	4/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	11/4 6%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	2/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	11/2 7%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/9 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/50	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	18/1	-
Home DNB 35%	5/2	-
Away DNB 73%	2/7	-
Lech Poznan win to nil 8%	9/1	-
Leverkusen win to nil 26%	12/5	-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan 11%	13/2	-
Lech Poznan / Leverkusen 4%	18/1	-
Lech Poznan / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Lech Poznan 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Leverkusen 17%	4/1 5%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	-
Leverkusen / Lech Poznan 3%	28/1	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 33%	6/4	-
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lech Poznan	7 - 0	Thun
Lech Poznan	1 - 0	KI Klaksvik
Lech Poznan	0 - 3	AGF Aarhus
Lech Poznan	1 - 3	Shakhtar
Lech Poznan	1 - 0	Kuopio PS
Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Mainz
Lech Poznan	2 - 0	Lausanne
Lech Poznan	4 - 1	Rapid Wien
Lech Poznan	1 - 5	Genk
Lech Poznan	1 - 3	Red Star Bel.
Lech Poznan	7 - 1	Breiðablik
Lech Poznan	2 - 1	Spartak Trnava
Lech Poznan	3 - 1	Kauno Zalgiris
Lech Poznan	1 - 4	Fiorentina
Lech Poznan	2 - 0	Djurgårdens
Lech Poznan	1 - 0	Bodø
Lech Poznan	3 - 0	Villarreal
Lech Poznan	0 - 0	Beer Sheva
Lech Poznan	4 - 1	Austria Wien
Lech Poznan	2 - 0	F91 Dudelange

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lech Poznan	0 - 4	C Palace
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 2	Thun
H	Lech Poznan	7 - 0	Thun
A	Lech Poznan	5 - 0	KI Klaksvik
H	Lech Poznan	1 - 0	KI Klaksvik
H	Lech Poznan	0 - 3	AGF Aarhus
A	Lech Poznan	4 - 1	AGF Aarhus
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 1	Shakhtar
H	Lech Poznan	1 - 3	Shakhtar
H	Lech Poznan	1 - 0	Kuopio PS
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 0	Kuopio PS
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 1	SK Sigma
H	Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Lech Poznan	2 - 0	Lausanne
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 3	R.Vallecano
A	Lech Poznan	1 - 2	Lincoln Red Imps
H	Lech Poznan	4 - 1	Rapid Wien
A	Lech Poznan	2 - 1	Genk
H	Lech Poznan	1 - 5	Genk
A	Lech Poznan	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal	2 - 0	Leverkusen
Olympiakos	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Olympiakos	2 - 0	Leverkusen
Man City	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Benfica	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Kobenhavn	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
A.Madrid	2 - 1	Leverkusen
Liverpool	4 - 0	Leverkusen
Brest	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Feyenoord	0 - 4	Leverkusen
Atalanta	3 - 0	Leverkusen
Roma	0 - 2	Leverkusen
West Ham	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Qarabag	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Häcken	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Qarabag	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Molde	1 - 2	Leverkusen
Roma	1 - 0	Leverkusen
Union SG	1 - 4	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Celje
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Arsenal
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Olympiakos
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Leverkusen	3 - 0	Villarreal
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Olympiakos
H	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Newcastle
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Man City
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Benfica
H	Leverkusen	2 - 7	PSG
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	PSV
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Kobenhavn
H	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Sparta
A	Leverkusen	1 - 2	A.Madrid
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Inter
H	Leverkusen	5 - 0	Salzburg
A	Leverkusen	0 - 4	Liverpool

Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Europa League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Thursday evening.

	Lech Poznan 35th	Leverkusen 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Lech Poznan will score no more than 1 goal	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 63% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Lech Poznan have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	-15 Leverkusen have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.2 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season

LPO

B04

better

view stats

Games scored	17		18
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	14		14
Goals scored	47		41
Avg. goals scored	2.4		2.1
Avg. shots per game	14		13
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		16
Avg. XG for	1.9		2.1
KickOff rating		+2%

14%

better

LPO

B04

view stats

Games conceded	12		14
Clean sheets	8		6
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	21		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+14%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lech Poznan v Leverkusen will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	4	3	4
M Lis	P Wålemark	A Sayyadmanesh	R Murawski

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Lis GLK	5		1	-
W. Mońka DEF	5			-
M Gurgul DEF	5		2	1 -
P Rodríguez MID	5	1	2	-
R Murawski MID	5	1		3 1
L Palma FWD	5		1	-
A Sayyadmanesh FWD	5	2	3	1 -
P Wålemark FWD	5	4	1	1 -
R Gumny DEF	4	2		-
J Pereira DEF	4			-
A Kozubal MID	4	1	2	-
D Håkans FWD	4	2		-
T Yegbe DEF	3			-
M Skrzypczak DEF	3	1		1 -
M Ishak FWD	3		2	-
Y Agnero FWD	3	1		-
G Berggren MID	2			1 -
K. Delikat MID	2			-
F Jagiełło MID	2			-
L Bengtsson FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	5	3	2
P Wålemark	P Wålemark	A Sayyadmanesh	M Gurgul

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Wålemark FWD	4	5	1	1
A Sayyadmanesh FWD	2	2	3	2
R Gumny DEF	2	2
D Håkans FWD	2	1
P Rodríguez MID	1	1	2	1
R Murawski MID	1	1		1
A Kozubal MID	1	1	2	1
M Skrzypczak DEF	1	1
Y Agnero FWD	1			1
M Lis GLK			1
W. Mońka DEF		1
M Gurgul DEF		1	2	2
L Palma FWD		3	1
J Pereira DEF				1
M Ishak FWD		1	2
K. Delikat MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
197	5	16
W. Mońka	M Skrzypczak	P Rodríguez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W. Mońka DEF	197	3	10
M Gurgul DEF	185	3	9
R Murawski MID	136	1	7
M Skrzypczak DEF	116	5	7
J Pereira DEF	102	2	6
L Palma FWD	86	2	13
T Yegbe DEF	86
M Lis GLK	81		1
P Rodríguez MID	65	4	16
R Gumny DEF	61	1	3
A Kozubal MID	60	1	4
A Sayyadmanesh FWD	59	1	9
P Wålemark FWD	39	2	5
F Jagiełło MID	30		2
Y Agnero FWD	21		8
D Håkans FWD	20		1
G Berggren MID	20		3
M Ishak FWD	17	1	1
L Bengtsson FWD	7	1	2
K. Delikat MID	5

Leverkusen Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	0
M Flekken	F Medina	A García

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Flekken GLK	1			-
L Badé DEF	1			-
E Tapsoba DEF	1			-
L Vázquez DEF	1			-
F Medina DEF	1	1		-
J Quansah DEF	1			-
A García MID	1		1	-
R Andrich MID	1			-
M Tillman MID	1			-
E Fernández MID	1			-
M Diaby FWD	1			-
A Moreira FWD	1			-
C. Kofane FWD	1			-
E Seghir FWD	1			-
M Terrier FWD	1			-
P Schick FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
F Medina	F Medina	A García	A García

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Medina DEF	1	2
E Tapsoba DEF		1
A García MID		2	1	2
R Andrich MID				1
A Moreira FWD		1
M Terrier FWD		2
P Schick FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
101	3	9
L Badé	F Medina	L Badé

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Badé DEF	101	1	9
A García MID	87	2	2
E Tapsoba DEF	82	2	4
R Andrich MID	72		1
F Medina DEF	63	3	3
L Vázquez DEF	43		8
M Diaby FWD	33	1	2
M Tillman MID	32		1
M Terrier FWD	22	1	2
M Flekken GLK	20
J Quansah DEF	19	2	3
P Schick FWD	15		4
E Fernández MID	14		2
A Moreira FWD	9	1	2
E Seghir FWD	7	2	2
C. Kofane FWD	2	1	2