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Union Saint Gilloise v Real Sociedad : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th Oct, 17:45 BST, Den Dreef Stadium, Heverlee

Home advantage can be vital in the Europa League, and David Hubert’s Union Saint Gilloise will have the joy of it on Thursday evening. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s Real Sociedad are their opponents at the Den Dreef Stadium. Analysing both teams' last 20 Europa League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of impressive, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers David Hubert or Pellegrino Matarazzo mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Union SG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union SG
44%
5/4-
Draw
24%
12/5-
R.Sociedad
32%
15/8-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
-
Union SG 2-1
9%
17/2-
Union SG 1-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
R.Sociedad 2-1
8%
10/1-
R.Sociedad 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
Union SG 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Union SG 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
R.Sociedad 2-0
5%
16/1-
Union SG 3-0
4%
20/1-
R.Sociedad 3-1
4%
20/1-
Union SG 3-2
3%
22/1-
R.Sociedad 3-2
3%
25/1-
R.Sociedad 3-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1-
Home/draw
68%
2/5-
Away/draw
56%
8/13-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
60%
4/6-
Away DNB
49%
11/10-
Union SG win to nil
20%
7/2
4%
-
R.Sociedad win to nil
14%
5/1
9%
-
Union SG / Union SG
22%
11/4-
Union SG / R.Sociedad
3%
25/1-
Union SG / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Union SG
14%
5/1-
Draw / R.Sociedad
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
R.Sociedad / Union SG
4%
22/1-
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
19%
7/2
5%
-
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Union SG 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union SG3 - 3Bodø
Union SG1 - 0Atalanta
Union SG2 - 3Marseille
Union SG0 - 4Inter
Union SG0 - 4Newcastle
Union SG0 - 2Ajax
Union SG2 - 1Braga
Union SG2 - 1Nice
Union SG1 - 1Roma
Union SG0 - 0Bodø
Union SG0 - 1Slavia
Union SG0 - 3Fenerbahce
Union SG2 - 2E.Frankfurt
Union SG2 - 1Liverpool
Union SG2 - 1LASK Linz
Union SG1 - 1Toulouse
Union SG2 - 0FC Lugano
Union SG1 - 4Leverkusen
Union SG3 - 0Union Berlin
Union SG0 - 1Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUnion SG3 - 0Plzen
AUnion SG2 - 2Bodø
HUnion SG3 - 3Bodø
HUnion SG1 - 0Atalanta
AUnion SG0 - 2Bayern
HUnion SG2 - 3Marseille
AUnion SG1 - 0Galatasaray
AUnion SG1 - 3A.Madrid
HUnion SG0 - 4Inter
HUnion SG0 - 4Newcastle
AUnion SG3 - 1PSV
AUnion SG2 - 0Ajax
HUnion SG0 - 2Ajax
AUnion SG1 - 2Rangers
HUnion SG2 - 1Braga
HUnion SG2 - 1Nice
AUnion SG1 - 0Twente
HUnion SG1 - 1Roma
AUnion SG0 - 1Midtjylland
HUnion SG0 - 0Bodø
R.Sociedad 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd4 - 1R.Sociedad
Midtjylland1 - 2R.Sociedad
Lazio3 - 1R.Sociedad
Plzen2 - 1R.Sociedad
M. Tel-Aviv1 - 2R.Sociedad
Nice1 - 1R.Sociedad
PSG2 - 0R.Sociedad
Inter0 - 0R.Sociedad
Benfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
Salzburg0 - 2R.Sociedad
Roma2 - 0R.Sociedad
Omnia Nicosia0 - 2R.Sociedad
Sheriff0 - 2R.Sociedad
Man Utd0 - 1R.Sociedad
RB Leipzig2 - 2R.Sociedad
Monaco2 - 1R.Sociedad
Sturm Graz0 - 1R.Sociedad
PSV2 - 2R.Sociedad
Man Utd0 - 0R.Sociedad
Napoli1 - 1R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Sociedad1 - 2Bournemouth
AR.Sociedad1 - 4Man Utd
HR.Sociedad1 - 1Man Utd
HR.Sociedad5 - 2Midtjylland
AR.Sociedad2 - 1Midtjylland
HR.Sociedad2 - 0PAOK
AR.Sociedad1 - 3Lazio
HR.Sociedad3 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
HR.Sociedad2 - 0Ajax
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Plzen
AR.Sociedad2 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
HR.Sociedad1 - 2Anderlecht
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Nice
HR.Sociedad1 - 2PSG
AR.Sociedad0 - 2PSG
AR.Sociedad0 - 0Inter
HR.Sociedad0 - 0Salzburg
HR.Sociedad3 - 1Benfica
AR.Sociedad1 - 0Benfica
AR.Sociedad2 - 0Salzburg
Goal Statistics

Union Saint Gilloise have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Real Sociedad on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Union SG 5th R.Sociedad 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Union SG will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that R.Sociedad will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Union SG have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
R.Sociedad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Union SG
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
14%
better
USG
RSO
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first11
10
Goals scored45
31
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
42%
better
USG
RSO
view stats
Games conceded9
18
Clean sheets11
2
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded18
37
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+42%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Union SG v R.Sociedad will show here when available.

Union SG Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
H KoffiO KricfalusiM. SyllaO Kricfalusi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Koffi GLK1
-
N Havenaar DEF1
-
M. Sylla DEF11
-
D Roeve DEF1
-
L Patris DEF11
-
O Kricfalusi DEF11
1
-
N. Chibani DEF1
-
D Olaru MID1
-
R Schoofs MID1
-
B Zeneli MID11
-
D Aquino FWD1
-
I. Hurtevent FWD1
-
G Carvalho FWD1
-
M. Biondic FWD11
1
-
K Rodríguez FWD1
-
R. Ratomo FWD11
-
R.Sociedad Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
U MarreroS GómezL. Beitia AguirregomezcortaB Turrientes 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Marrero GLK1
-
S Gómez DEF11
-
H. García DEF1
-
M Sarr DEF1
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF1
-
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta DEF11
-
B Turrientes  MID1
1
-
A Zakharyan MID1
-
L Sučić MID1
-
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID1
-
Y Herrera MID1
-
T Kubo FWD1
-
G Guedes FWD1
-
M Oyarzabal FWD1
-
A Barrenetxea FWD1
1
-
O Óskarsson FWD1
1
-