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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Ararat-Armenia : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 15th Oct, 20:00 BST, Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

Adrian Siemieniec's Jagiellonia Bialystok side enjoy home advantage in the Europa League on Thursday night, as Manuel Jorge da Silva Cruz's Ararat-Armenia visit the Stadion Miejski. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Jagiellonia to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this Europa League clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Jagiellonia to win on home turf is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will be too strong for Ararat-Armenia, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Jagiellonia to win is the bet come Thursday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Jagiellonia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Jagiellonia
69%
19/50
1%
-
Draw
18%
7/2
4%
-
Ararat-Armenia
13%
6/1-
Jagiellonia 2-0
11%
13/2
7%
-
Jagiellonia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Jagiellonia 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Jagiellonia 3-0
8%
17/2-
Jagiellonia 3-1
7%
10/1-
Jagiellonia 4-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Jagiellonia 4-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Ararat-Armenia 2-1
4%
20/1-
Ararat-Armenia 1-0
4%
20/1-
Jagiellonia 3-2
3%
22/1-
Jagiellonia 5-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Jagiellonia 5-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
39%
2/1
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2/1
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1
8%
-
Home/draw
87%
1/10-
Away/draw
31%
2/1
9%
-
Home/away
82%
2/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
81%
1/7-
Away DNB
26%
9/2-
Jagiellonia win to nil
37%
11/8-
Ararat-Armenia win to nil
6%
12/1-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia
41%
21/20-
Jagiellonia / Ararat-Armenia
2%
40/1-
Jagiellonia / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Jagiellonia
19%
10/3
8%
-
Draw / Ararat-Armenia
6%
14/1-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
7%
-
Ararat-Armenia / Jagiellonia
4%
18/1-
Ararat-Armenia / Ararat-Armenia
7%
11/1-
Ararat-Armenia / Draw
4%
18/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Jagiellonia 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jagiellonia4 - 0Saburtalo
Jagiellonia2 - 1Rangers
Jagiellonia0 - 3Fiorentina
Jagiellonia1 - 2R.Vallecano
Jagiellonia1 - 0Kuopio PS
Jagiellonia1 - 0Hamrun Spartans
Jagiellonia3 - 0Dinamo Tirana
Jagiellonia2 - 2Silkeborg
Jagiellonia3 - 1Novi Pazar
Jagiellonia1 - 1Real Betis
Jagiellonia3 - 0Cercle B
Jagiellonia3 - 1Backa Topola
Jagiellonia0 - 0Olimpija
Jagiellonia3 - 0Molde
Jagiellonia2 - 0Petrocub
Jagiellonia1 - 4Ajax
Jagiellonia0 - 1Bodø
Jagiellonia3 - 1Panevezys
Jagiellonia0 - 1Gent
Jagiellonia1 - 0Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AJagiellonia1 - 2Olympiakos
AJagiellonia2 - 1Saburtalo
HJagiellonia4 - 0Saburtalo
AJagiellonia1 - 1Rangers
HJagiellonia2 - 1Rangers
AJagiellonia3 - 0Fiorentina
HJagiellonia0 - 3Fiorentina
AJagiellonia0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
HJagiellonia1 - 2R.Vallecano
HJagiellonia1 - 0Kuopio PS
AJagiellonia1 - 1Skendija 79
AJagiellonia1 - 1Strasbourg
HJagiellonia1 - 0Hamrun Spartans
AJagiellonia1 - 1Dinamo Tirana
HJagiellonia3 - 0Dinamo Tirana
HJagiellonia2 - 2Silkeborg
AJagiellonia1 - 0Silkeborg
HJagiellonia3 - 1Novi Pazar
AJagiellonia2 - 1Novi Pazar
HJagiellonia1 - 1Real Betis
Ararat-Armenia 33RD
16 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 16
Conceded
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
Failed to score
3 / 16
Won
4
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Universitatea Craiova1 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Celje2 - 0Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock2 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Riga3 - 2Ararat-Armenia
Sparta4 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Cluj1 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Puskas3 - 3Ararat-Armenia
Zimbru0 - 3Ararat-Armenia
Aris1 - 0Ararat-Armenia
Egnatia Rrogozhine2 - 2Ararat-Armenia
Paide0 - 0Ararat-Armenia
F91 Dudelange2 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Saburtalo0 - 2Ararat-Armenia
Saburtalo Tbilisi0 - 2Ararat-Armenia
Lincoln Red Imps1 - 2Ararat-Armenia
AIK3 - 1Ararat-Armenia
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArarat-Armenia1 - 4Sparta
HArarat-Armenia1 - 0Universitatea Craiova
AArarat-Armenia1 - 1Universitatea Craiova
AArarat-Armenia0 - 2Celje
HArarat-Armenia2 - 1Celje
AArarat-Armenia1 - 2Shamrock
HArarat-Armenia2 - 0Shamrock
AArarat-Armenia2 - 3Riga
HArarat-Armenia2 - 0Riga
HArarat-Armenia1 - 2Sparta
AArarat-Armenia1 - 4Sparta
AArarat-Armenia1 - 1Universitatea Cluj
HArarat-Armenia0 - 0Universitatea Cluj
AArarat-Armenia3 - 3Puskas
HArarat-Armenia0 - 1Puskas
HArarat-Armenia3 - 1Zimbru
AArarat-Armenia3 - 0Zimbru
AArarat-Armenia0 - 1Aris
HArarat-Armenia1 - 1Aris
AArarat-Armenia2 - 2Egnatia Rrogozhine
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Jagiellonia Bialystok in their meeting with Ararat-Armenia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 15 consecutive Europa League outings.

Jagiellonia 21st Ararat-Armenia 33rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Jagiellonia will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Ararat-Armenia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Jagiellonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+41
Ararat-Armenia have scored 41% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2026/2027 season
Jagiellonia
PG (predicted goals)
Ararat-Armenia
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
20%
better
JAG
FCA
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first10
8
Goals scored35
27
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
7%
better
JAG
FCA
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded25
29
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.9
2
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Jagiellonia v Ararat-Armenia will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
S AbramowiczJ ImazN WojtuszekY Kobayashi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Abramowicz GLK5
-
N Wojtuszek DEF51
1
-
R Conceição DEF51
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF5
1
-
A Klynge  MID511
1
-
T Romanczuk MID51
1
-
J Imaz MID521
-
K Szmyt FWD52
-
N Prelec FWD511
-
Y Sylla FWD5
-
J. Agbonifo FWD51
-
Y Kobayashi DEF4
2
-
B Vital DEF4
2
-
E. Kozłowski MID3
-
S Lozano MID31
-
A Konstantopoulos DEF2
-
D Drachal MID2
-
O. Sow FWD2
-
H Finndell MID1
-
Ararat-Armenia Europa League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
J BravimA MalisH OliveiraE Grigoryan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bravim GLK3
-
E Grigoryan DEF3
1
-
H Oliveira DEF31
-
A Malis DEF31
-
B Wilson DEF31
1
-
Benny MID3
-
J Palacios MID3
-
K Muradyan MID3
1
-
C França FWD3
-
Z Banjaqui FWD3
-
Z Shaghoyan FWD3
1
-
A Serobyan FWD3
1
-
J Julio DEF2
-
A Tera MID2
-
M Carlier MID2
-
A Ambartsumyan MID1
-
A. Eloyan MID1
-
S Lima FWD111
1
-