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Brazil v Norway : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Jul, 21:00 BST, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Home advantage is often beneficial in the World Cup, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Brazil will have the blessing of it on Sunday night. Ståle Solbakken’s Norway are their opponents at the MetLife Stadium. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner here, but good reason to think Brazil and Norway will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Carlo Ancelotti or Ståle Solbakken has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brazil are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Brazil 52%	9/10	-
Draw 24%	13/5 6%	-
Norway 24%	16/5	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 8%	-
Brazil 1-0 11%	7/1	-
Brazil 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Brazil 2-0 9%	17/2	-
Norway 1-0 7%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1 10%	-
Norway 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Brazil 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Brazil 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Norway 2-0 4%	22/1	-
Brazil 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	-
Brazil 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Norway 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Brazil 4-0 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	3/4	-
BTTS - No 47%	1/1	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1	-
Home/draw 76%	2/9	-
Away/draw 48%	10/11	-
Home/away 76%	2/7 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 10%	-
Home DNB 69%	4/11 2%	-
Away DNB 41%	2/1 8%	-
Brazil win to nil 28%	9/4	-
Norway win to nil 12%	6/1 13%	-
Brazil / Brazil 29%	15/8	-
Brazil / Norway 2%	33/1	-
Brazil / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Brazil 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Norway 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Norway / Brazil 4%	22/1	-
Norway / Norway 12%	6/1	-
Norway / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Brazil	2 - 1	Japan
A	Brazil	3 - 0	Scotland
H	Brazil	3 - 0	Haiti
H	Brazil	1 - 1	Morocco
H	Brazil	2 - 1	Egypt
H	Brazil	6 - 2	Panama
H	Brazil	3 - 1	Croatia
H	Brazil	1 - 2	France
A	Brazil	2 - 3	Japan
A	Brazil	5 - 0	South Korea
A	Brazil	0 - 1	Bolivia
H	Brazil	3 - 0	Chile
H	Brazil	1 - 0	Paraguay
A	Brazil	0 - 0	Ecuador
A	Brazil	1 - 4	Argentina
H	Brazil	2 - 1	Colombia
H	Brazil	1 - 1	Uruguay
A	Brazil	1 - 1	Venezuela
H	Brazil	4 - 0	Peru
A	Brazil	2 - 1	Chile

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Norway	2 - 1	Cote d'Ivoire
H	Norway	1 - 4	France
H	Norway	3 - 2	Senegal
A	Norway	4 - 1	Iraq
A	Norway	1 - 1	Morocco
H	Norway	3 - 1	Sweden
H	Norway	0 - 0	Switzerland
A	Norway	1 - 2	Netherlands
A	Norway	4 - 1	Italy
H	Norway	4 - 1	Estonia
H	Norway	1 - 1	New Zealand
H	Norway	5 - 0	Israel
H	Norway	11 - 1	Moldova
H	Norway	1 - 0	Finland
A	Norway	1 - 0	Estonia
H	Norway	3 - 0	Italy
A	Norway	4 - 2	Israel
A	Norway	5 - 0	Moldova
H	Norway	5 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Norway	4 - 1	Slovenia

Goal Statistics

	Brazil	Norway
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Brazil will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Norway will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

BRA

NOR

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BRA

NOR

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Brazil v Norway will show here when available.

Brazil World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	4	4	2
Alisson	V Junior	B Guimarães	Danilo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Alisson GLK	4			-
Danilo DEF	4			2 -
D Santos DEF	4			1 -
Marquinhos DEF	4			-
G Magalhães DEF	4		1	-
L Paquetá MID	4		1	-
Casemiro MID	4	1		2 -
B Guimarães MID	4		4	-
V Junior FWD	4	4	1	-
M Cunha FWD	4	3		-
Danilo MID	3			-
Fabinho MID	3			1 -
R Rocha FWD	3		1	-
Endrick FWD	3			-
G Martinelli FWD	3	1		-
Raphinha FWD	2			-
R Ibañez DEF	1			1 -
A Sandro DEF	1			-
Éderson MID	1			-
Neymar MID	1			-
I Thiago FWD	1			-
L Henrique FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	4	3
V Junior	V Junior	B Guimarães	L Paquetá

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Junior FWD	4	10	1	1
M Cunha FWD	3	5
Casemiro MID	1	2
G Martinelli FWD	1	1		1
Danilo DEF				2
D Santos DEF				1
G Magalhães DEF			1	1
L Paquetá MID		1	1	3
B Guimarães MID		1	4	3
Danilo MID		1
R Rocha FWD		1	1	3
Raphinha FWD		2
Neymar MID		1
I Thiago FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
398	12	23
G Magalhães	D Santos	Casemiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Magalhães DEF	398	4	20
Marquinhos DEF	364	4	11
Danilo DEF	233	2	8
D Santos DEF	203	12	15
Casemiro MID	189	12	23
L Paquetá MID	185	8	21
B Guimarães MID	165	9	21
V Junior FWD	120	2	21
Alisson GLK	94		1
M Cunha FWD	81	6	13
R Rocha FWD	74	4	16
Fabinho MID	46	1	4
Raphinha FWD	44		4
G Martinelli FWD	38		2
Endrick FWD	18	2	4
R Ibañez DEF	17	2	4
Neymar MID	13		1
L Henrique FWD	13		2
A Sandro DEF	12
Danilo MID	10	1	1
I Thiago FWD	6	2	3
Éderson MID	3

Norway World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	5	3	1
F Aursnes	E Haaland	M Ødegaard	P Berg

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Aursnes MID	4			-
P Berg MID	4		2	1 -
O Bobb FWD	4			-
A Nusa FWD	4	1		1 -
A Schjelderup FWD	4		1	-
Örjan Nyland GLK	3			-
M Pedersen DEF	3	1		-
T Heggem DEF	3			-
D Wolfe DEF	3		1	-
K Ajer DEF	3			-
L Østigård DEF	3	1		-
S Berge MID	3			-
M Ødegaard MID	3		3	-
A Sörloth FWD	3			-
E Haaland FWD	3	5		-
J Ryerson DEF	2			-
K Thorstvedt MID	2			-
E Selvik GLK	1			-
H Falchener DEF	1			-
S Langas DEF	1			-
F Björkan DEF	1			-
T Aasgaard MID	1	1		-
M Thorsby MID	1			-
J Larsen FWD	1			-
J Hauge FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	3	3
E Haaland	E Haaland	M Ødegaard	P Berg

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Haaland FWD	5	9		1
A Nusa FWD	1	1
M Pedersen DEF	1	1
L Østigård DEF	1	1
T Aasgaard MID	1	1		1
F Aursnes MID				1
P Berg MID			2	3
O Bobb FWD		2
A Schjelderup FWD			1	1
T Heggem DEF		1
D Wolfe DEF			1	1
K Ajer DEF		1
M Ødegaard MID		1	3	2
A Sörloth FWD				1
J Ryerson DEF				1
K Thorstvedt MID		1
J Larsen FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
205	8	20
S Berge	F Aursnes	K Ajer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berge MID	205	6	10
T Heggem DEF	179	4	9
M Ødegaard MID	154	6	11
K Ajer DEF	151	6	20
P Berg MID	113	4	6
D Wolfe DEF	108	3	8
F Aursnes MID	104	8	12
Örjan Nyland GLK	101		1
L Østigård DEF	88	3	6
A Sörloth FWD	71	2	15
M Pedersen DEF	67	1	4
O Bobb FWD	61	3	7
J Ryerson DEF	56	5	6
A Schjelderup FWD	55	1	7
A Nusa FWD	54	3	11
T Aasgaard MID	42	3	7
E Haaland FWD	30		14
E Selvik GLK	25	1	2
K Thorstvedt MID	24	2	6
H Falchener DEF	24
J Larsen FWD	23		6
F Björkan DEF	18	1	1
M Thorsby MID	18	1	1
S Langas DEF	10
J Hauge FWD	3