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Canada v Morocco : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Jul, 18:00 BST, NRG Stadium, Houston

Morocco, led by manager Mohamed Ouahbi, visit Jesse Marsch and his Canada side at the NRG Stadium on Saturday evening in the World Cup. Analysing both clubs' last 20 World Cup matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Morocco coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Canada 21%	4.75	-
Draw 26%	3.50	-
Morocco 54%	1.80	-
Morocco 1-0 14%	6.00	-
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	-
Morocco 2-0 11%	8.00	-
Draw 0-0 9%	7.50	-
Morocco 2-1 9%	9.50	-
Canada 1-0 8%	11.00	-
Morocco 3-0 6%	15.00	-
Canada 2-1 5%	17.00	-
Morocco 3-1 5%	17.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	21.00	-
Canada 2-0 3%	26.00 13%	-
Morocco 4-0 2%	34.00	-
Morocco 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Morocco 4-1 2%	41.00	-
Canada 3-1 1%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.30	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	1.62	-
Home 1st Goal 39%	2.75	-
Away 1st Goal 55%	1.62	-
No 1st Goal 6%	7.50	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	2.05	-
BTTS - No 55%	1.70	-
BTTS - Home Win 8%	11.00	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	5.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 20%	4.50	-
Home/draw 46%	1.95	-
Away/draw 79%	1.18	-
Home/away 74%	1.29	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1.40	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	3.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4.33	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.22	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1.07	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	19.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.02	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7.50	-
Home DNB 39%	3.50 3%	-
Away DNB 72%	1.29 1%	-
Canada win to nil 12%	7.00	-
Morocco win to nil 34%	2.63	-
Canada / Canada 10%	8.50	-
Canada / Morocco 3%	26.00	-
Canada / Draw 5%	17.00	-
Draw / Canada 9%	9.50	-
Draw / Morocco 18%	4.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	-
Morocco / Canada 2%	41.00	-
Morocco / Morocco 30%	2.75 5%	-
Morocco / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Canada	1 - 0	South Africa
A	Canada	1 - 2	Switzerland
H	Canada	6 - 0	Qatar
H	Canada	1 - 1	Bosnia
H	Canada	1 - 1	Ireland
H	Canada	2 - 0	Uzbekistan
H	Canada	0 - 0	Tunisia
H	Canada	2 - 2	Iceland
H	Canada	1 - 0	Guatemala
H	Canada	0 - 0	Colombia
H	Canada	0 - 1	Australia
A	Canada	3 - 0	Romania
H	Canada	1 - 1	Guatemala
H	Canada	2 - 0	El Salvador
A	Canada	1 - 1	Curacao
H	Canada	6 - 0	Honduras
H	Canada	0 - 0	Cote d'Ivoire
H	Canada	4 - 2	Ukraine
H	Canada	2 - 1	USA
H	Canada	0 - 2	Mexico

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Morocco	1 - 1	Netherlands
H	Morocco	4 - 2	Haiti
A	Morocco	1 - 0	Scotland
A	Morocco	1 - 1	Brazil
H	Morocco	1 - 1	Norway
H	Morocco	4 - 0	Madagascar
H	Morocco	5 - 0	Burundi
H	Morocco	2 - 1	Paraguay
H	Morocco	1 - 1	Ecuador
A	Morocco	0 - 0	Senegal
A	Morocco	0 - 0	Nigeria
A	Morocco	2 - 0	Cameroon
H	Morocco	1 - 0	Tanzania
A	Morocco	3 - 0	Zambia
H	Morocco	1 - 1	Mali
H	Morocco	2 - 0	Comoros
H	Morocco	1 - 0	Congo
H	Morocco	1 - 0	Bahrain
A	Morocco	2 - 0	Zambia
H	Morocco	5 - 0	Niger

Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Canada look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Morocco have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive World Cup matches, and it could be a long evening for J. Marsch's men.

Morocco have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive World Cup games. Their PG of 1.5 against Canada on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Canada	Morocco
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.8 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Canada scoring 1 goal or less	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Morocco will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Canada v Morocco will show here when available.

Canada World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	2	1
M Crépeau	J David	N Saliba	A Johnston

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Crépeau GLK	4			-
A Johnston DEF	4			1 -
R Laryea DEF	4			-
L. De Fougerolles DEF	4			1 -
D Cornelius DEF	4			1 -
S Eustaquio MID	4	1		-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	4			-
J Shaffelburg FWD	4			-
J David FWD	4	3		-
T Buchanan FWD	4			-
N Saliba MID	3	1	2	1 -
A Ahmed MID	3			-
L Millar FWD	3			1 -
P David FWD	3	1	1	-
C Larin FWD	3	2		1 -
M Bombito DEF	2			-
N. Sigur MID	2			1 -
I Koné MID	2			-
A Davies DEF	1			-
M Choinière MID	1			-
J Osorio MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
J David	J David	N Saliba	S Eustaquio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J David FWD	3	7
C Larin FWD	2	4
S Eustaquio MID	1	1		3
N Saliba MID	1	1	2	2
P David FWD	1	3	1
A Johnston DEF		2		2
R Laryea DEF		1		1
L. De Fougerolles DEF		1
D Cornelius DEF		1		1
T Oluwaseyi FWD		3
J Shaffelburg FWD				1
T Buchanan FWD		2
A Ahmed MID		1
M Bombito DEF		1
N. Sigur MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
214	9	27
S Eustaquio	R Laryea	R Laryea

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Eustaquio MID	214	7	14
D Cornelius DEF	192	5	20
L. De Fougerolles DEF	163	8	24
A Johnston DEF	162	1	11
R Laryea DEF	153	9	27
I Koné MID	109	2	8
N Saliba MID	102	6	16
J David FWD	83	1	7
M Crépeau GLK	82	1	3
M Bombito DEF	73	1	3
T Buchanan FWD	72	6	19
L Millar FWD	64	4	12
A Ahmed MID	55	3	9
T Oluwaseyi FWD	40	2	17
J Shaffelburg FWD	35	1	3
N. Sigur MID	30		1
M Choinière MID	29	1	4
C Larin FWD	19		5
A Davies DEF	14		1
P David FWD	10	3	6
J Osorio MID	5

Morocco World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	2	2
Bono	I Saibari	B Díaz	I Diop

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Bono GLK	4			-
N Mazraoui DEF	4			-
A Hakimi DEF	4	1	1	-
C Riad DEF	4		1	-
A Ounahi MID	4			-
B Khannouss MID	4			-
N Aynaoui MID	4			-
S. El Mourabet MID	4			-
I Saibari MID	4	3		-
B Díaz FWD	4		2	-
S Rahimi FWD	4	1	1	-
I Diop DEF	3	1		2 -
A Salah-Eddine DEF	3			-
A. Bouaddi MID	3			-
C Talbi FWD	3		1	-
A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab FWD	2			-
G. Yassine FWD	2	1		-
R Halhal DEF	1			-
S Amrabat MID	1			-
A Kaabi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	2	2
I Saibari	A Hakimi	B Díaz	A Hakimi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Saibari MID	3	3		2
A Hakimi DEF	1	4	1	2
S Rahimi FWD	1	2	1	1
I Diop DEF	1	1
G. Yassine FWD	1	1
C Riad DEF			1
A Ounahi MID				2
B Khannouss MID		4		1
N Aynaoui MID		2
B Díaz FWD		1	2	2
A Salah-Eddine DEF				1
C Talbi FWD			1	1
A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab FWD		1
A Kaabi FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
329	16	28
N Aynaoui	N Aynaoui	A Hakimi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Aynaoui MID	329	16	26
A Hakimi DEF	287	9	28
C Riad DEF	229	2	10
I Diop DEF	213		7
A Ounahi MID	200	1	8
A. Bouaddi MID	190	7	15
B Khannouss MID	187	9	22
N Mazraoui DEF	168	10	20
B Díaz FWD	117	2	14
Bono GLK	115		3
A Salah-Eddine DEF	113	4	8
S. El Mourabet MID	108	1	3
I Saibari MID	98	3	15
S Amrabat MID	69	2	3
R Halhal DEF	53	1	8
G. Yassine FWD	28	3	6
C Talbi FWD	27		2
S Rahimi FWD	26	1	8
A Kaabi FWD	10	3	5
A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab FWD	8	1	2