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Mexico v England : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Jul, 01:00 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Home advantage can be vital in the World Cup, and Javier Aguirre Onaindía’s Mexico will have the joy of it on Monday morning. Thomas Tuchel’s England are their visitors to the Estadio Azteca. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this World Cup clash.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Mexico and England go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of England coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mexico 31%	3.10 3%	-
Draw 29%	3.10	-
England 41%	2.40 4%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	-
England 1-0 13%	6.50	-
Mexico 1-0 11%	8.00	-
Draw 0-0 11%	6.50 7%	-
England 2-1 8%	11.00	-
England 2-0 8%	11.00	-
Mexico 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Mexico 2-0 6%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	-
England 3-1 3%	23.00 12%	-
England 3-0 3%	23.00 12%	-
Mexico 3-1 2%	34.00	-
Mexico 3-0 2%	41.00 21%	-
England 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Mexico 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.50	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.53	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.25 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	1.91	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6.50 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	2.05	-
BTTS - No 55%	1.70	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	8.00 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	6.00	-
Home/draw 59%	1.53 2%	-
Away/draw 69%	1.36	-
Home/away 71%	1.36	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.50	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	2.63	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	5.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.17	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	11.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	23.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	7.00	-
Home DNB 51%	2.20 5%	-
Away DNB 61%	1.62 3%	-
Mexico win to nil 19%	5.00 11%	-
England win to nil 25%	3.50 7%	-
Mexico / Mexico 15%	5.50 10%	-
Mexico / England 3%	29.00	-
Mexico / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Mexico 12%	7.00 8%	-
Draw / England 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	-
England / Mexico 2%	34.00	-
England / England 21%	4.00	-
England / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mexico	2 - 0	Ecuador
A	Mexico	3 - 0	Czech Rep
H	Mexico	1 - 0	South Korea
H	Mexico	2 - 0	South Africa
H	Mexico	5 - 1	Serbia
H	Mexico	1 - 0	Australia
H	Mexico	2 - 0	Ghana
H	Mexico	1 - 1	Belgium
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Portugal
H	Mexico	4 - 0	Iceland
A	Mexico	1 - 0	Bolivia
A	Mexico	1 - 0	Panama
H	Mexico	1 - 1	Ecuador
H	Mexico	0 - 4	Colombia
H	Mexico	2 - 2	South Korea
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Japan
A	Mexico	2 - 1	USA
H	Mexico	1 - 0	Honduras
H	Mexico	2 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	Mexico	0 - 0	Costa Rica

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

5 / 20

Clean sheets

15 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	England	2 - 1	Congo DR
A	England	2 - 0	Panama
H	England	0 - 0	Ghana
H	England	4 - 2	Croatia
H	England	3 - 0	Costa Rica
H	England	1 - 0	New Zealand
H	England	0 - 1	Japan
H	England	1 - 1	Uruguay
A	England	2 - 0	Albania
H	England	2 - 0	Serbia
A	England	5 - 0	Latvia
H	England	3 - 0	Wales
A	England	5 - 0	Serbia
H	England	2 - 0	Andorra
H	England	1 - 3	Senegal
A	England	1 - 0	Andorra
H	England	3 - 0	Latvia
H	England	2 - 0	Albania
H	England	5 - 0	Ireland
A	England	3 - 0	Greece

Goal Statistics

England's defensive record is very strong, T. Tuchel's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive World Cup outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Mexico makes sense in this context.

	Mexico	England
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Mexico will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that England will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

MEX

ENG

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

MEX

ENG

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Mexico v England will show here when available.

Mexico World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	3	1
J Rangel	J Quiñones	R Hernández	C Montes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	4			-
J Gallardo DEF	4			-
I Reyes DEF	4			-
J Quiñones FWD	4	3	1	-
R Hernández FWD	4		3	-
J Sánchez DEF	3		1	-
C Montes DEF	3			1
J Vásquez DEF	3			-
L Romo DEF	3	1	1	-
E Álvarez MID	3			1 -
O Vargas MID	3			-
B Gutiérrez MID	3			1 -
E Lira MID	3		1	-
G. Mora Zambrano MID	3			-
R Jiménez FWD	3	2		-
S Giménez FWD	3			-
O Pineda MID	2			-
Álvaro Fidalgo MID	2	1		-
G Ochoa GLK	1			-
M. Chávez García DEF	1	1		-
L Chávez MID	1			-
C Huerta FWD	1			-
G Martínez FWD	1			-
A Vega FWD	1			-
A. González Alba FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	3	4
J Quiñones	J Quiñones	R Hernández	R Hernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Quiñones FWD	3	5	1	1
R Jiménez FWD	2	4
L Romo DEF	1	1	1	2
Álvaro Fidalgo MID	1	1
M. Chávez García DEF	1	1
R Hernández FWD			3	4
J Sánchez DEF		1	1	2
C Montes DEF		1
O Vargas MID		1
E Lira MID			1	1
S Giménez FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
179	7	20
J Vásquez	R Hernández	J Quiñones

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Vásquez DEF	179	1	12
R Hernández FWD	140	7	15
C Montes DEF	136	2	14
E Álvarez MID	129	6	11
E Lira MID	128	5	10
J Rangel GLK	121		2
J Gallardo DEF	111	2	11
J Quiñones FWD	106	3	20
I Reyes DEF	96	2	7
L Romo DEF	82	6	12
J Sánchez DEF	81	5	9
G. Mora Zambrano MID	63	1	7
R Jiménez FWD	59	1	14
Álvaro Fidalgo MID	48	1	4
B Gutiérrez MID	48	2	6
L Chávez MID	28	2	2
O Vargas MID	23	2	2
M. Chávez García DEF	19	1	5
G Martínez FWD	14		2
S Giménez FWD	10		4
A Vega FWD	10
G Ochoa GLK	9
O Pineda MID	7		4
C Huerta FWD	1	1	1
A. González Alba FWD	1

England World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	5	2	1
J Pickford	H Kane	B Saka	J Bellingham

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pickford GLK	4			-
M Guéhi DEF	4			-
E Konsa DEF	4			-
N. O'Reilly DEF	4			-
D Spence DEF	4			-
J Bellingham MID	4	2	1	1 -
E Anderson MID	4		1	-
B Saka FWD	4		2	-
M Rashford FWD	4	1		-
H Kane FWD	4	5		-
N Madueke FWD	4			-
D Rice MID	3		1	1 -
M Rogers MID	3			-
E Eze MID	3			-
A Gordon FWD	3		2	-
J Stones DEF	2			-
R James DEF	2			-
J Quansah DEF	1			1 -
J Henderson MID	1			-
O Watkins FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	2	3
H Kane	H Kane	B Saka	J Bellingham

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	5	9
J Bellingham MID	2	6	1	3
M Rashford FWD	1	3
M Guéhi DEF		1
E Konsa DEF		1
N. O'Reilly DEF		1		1
D Spence DEF		1
E Anderson MID		1	1	1
B Saka FWD		1	2	1
N Madueke FWD		1		3
D Rice MID		1	1	3
M Rogers MID				2
A Gordon FWD		2	2	1
R James DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
333	9	33
E Konsa	J Bellingham	E Anderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Konsa DEF	333	2	15
M Guéhi DEF	282		20
E Anderson MID	271	9	33
N. O'Reilly DEF	152	4	18
J Bellingham MID	137	9	20
D Rice MID	136	2	7
J Pickford GLK	134		3
R James DEF	108	2	5
D Spence DEF	105	7	10
M Rashford FWD	81	2	7
N Madueke FWD	75	4	12
J Stones DEF	65	1	4
H Kane FWD	62	1	12
A Gordon FWD	53	1	6
M Rogers MID	52	3	9
B Saka FWD	50	4	14
J Quansah DEF	49		6
E Eze MID	23		3
J Henderson MID	13	1	2
O Watkins FWD	1