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Athletico PR v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Odair Hellmann welcomes Rogério Mücke Ceni to the Arena de Baixada on Sunday night, as their Athletico PR and Bahia charges meet in the Serie A. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie A clash.

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Athletico PR's next match is v A Mineiro at 00:00 on Friday 9th October
Bahia's next match is v Palmeiras at 01:30 on Friday 9th October
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Athletico PR and Bahia was on Sunday 20th September 2026
Brazillian Serie A
September 20th 2026
Athletico PR 2
1 Bahia
 
L. Esquivel 16'26' E. da Costa Farias
J. Rivaldo Pinto 69'
 
APR
BAH
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
6
3
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
Athletico PRBahia
 
M. Pontes Moreira
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
G. Moraes Junior (G. Leite dos Santos 80')
L. Dias
J. Alves dos Santos
J. Mendoza Valencia
K. Calderón Vargas (B. Zapelli 79')
J. Silva Dantas de Oliveira
J. Aguirre Tabares (E. Kogitzki Anastacio 46')
L. Esquivelfootball icon
L. Caetano Silva (J. Rivaldo Pinto 46')
R. de Oliveira Strada
V. Soares dos Santos
(C. Souza e Silva 73') N. Acevedo Tabárez
(É. de Barros Ribeiro 85') R. Bertalia
(K. Furquim 64') A. da Silva Santos Junior
(E. Stum 85') A. Véliz
(J. de Souza Oliveira 64') E. Conrado Carvalho
D. de Duarte Macedo
M. Ferreira da Silva
Luciano
football iconE. da Costa Farias

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Athletico PR and Bahia will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
50%
13/10
22%
-
Draw
24%
23/10-
Bahia
27%
21/10
20%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
5/1
8%
-
Athletico PR 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
-
Athletico PR 1-0
9%
15/2
29%
-
Athletico PR 2-0
8%
11/1
33%
-
Bahia 2-1
7%
10/1
15%
-
Bahia 1-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
-
Athletico PR 3-1
6%
18/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
9/1
22%
-
Athletico PR 3-0
5%
20/1
35%
-
Bahia 2-0
4%
14/1
21%
-
Athletico PR 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Bahia 3-1
3%
22/1
32%
-
Athletico PR 4-1
2%
40/1-
Bahia 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
9/10
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
9/10
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
5/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/10
12%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/10
11%
-
BTTS - No
42%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/1
27%
-
Home/draw
73%
4/11
9%
-
Away/draw
50%
4/7
15%
-
Home/away
76%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
11/5
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/1
22%
-
Home DNB
66%
8/13
16%
-
Away DNB
43%
6/5
20%
-
Athletico PR win to nil
25%
3/1
27%
-
Bahia win to nil
13%
9/2
15%
-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
22%
11/4
23%
-
Athletico PR / Bahia
3%
28/1
15%
-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Athletico PR
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw / Bahia
13%
6/1
19%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Bahia / Athletico PR
3%
25/1
13%
-
Bahia / Bahia
17%
15/4
21%
-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Athletico PR 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
Athletico PR2 - 0Internacional
Athletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Athletico PR0 - 0Gremio
Athletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR2 - 1Santos
Athletico PR1 - 0America
Athletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
Athletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
Athletico PR1 - 1Avai
Athletico PR1 - 0Operario
Athletico PR2 - 0Vila Nova
Athletico PR2 - 1Novorizontin
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAthletico PR3 - 3Cortiba
AAthletico PR1 - 3Cruzeiro
HAthletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR3 - 2Botafogo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
AAthletico PR2 - 0Santos
AAthletico PR0 - 0Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 0Internacional
AAthletico PR2 - 1Sao Paulo
HAthletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
AAthletico PR2 - 1Remo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
AAthletico PR0 - 1Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
HAthletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino2 - 3Bahia
Vitoria0 - 2Bahia
Chapecoense3 - 3Bahia
Fluminense0 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Cortiba3 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Remo4 - 1Bahia
Internacional0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Juventude1 - 1Bahia
Internacional2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Botafogo2 - 1Bahia
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia2 - 1Remo
ABahia3 - 2Bragantino
HBahia3 - 2Internacional
ABahia2 - 0Vitoria
ABahia3 - 3Chapecoense
HBahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABahia0 - 0Fluminense
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 0Chapecoense
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Bahia
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
APR
4
BAH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
1 - 3Bahia
Athletico PR2 - 0
0 - 2Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 0
Athletico PR1 - 0
Athletico PR2 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
APR
1
D
3
BAH
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia1 - 0
1 - 2Athletico PR
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Bahia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Athletico PR 3rd Bahia 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Athletico PR will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
APR
BAH
7%
better
view stats
Games scored21
24
Failed to score6
3
Scored first14
11
Goals scored41
42
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
3%
better
APR
BAH
view stats
Games conceded19
19
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first11
14
Goals conceded31
33
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Athletico PR v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28557
S MendozaS MendozaL EsquivelA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Mycael GLK4
2
-
J. Silva Dantas de Oliveira DEF61
2
-
J Aguirre DEF241
3
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF261
7
-
Gilberto MID8
-
J Jádson MID222
5
-
L Gustavo MID
-
L Esquivel MID1925
1
1
L. Caetano Silva FWD144
1
-
S Mendoza FWD2851
-
K Vargas FWD613
-
Subs
Santos GLK24
3
-
G. Leite dos Santos DEF7
-
L Léo DEF
-
A Costa DEF9
2
-
L Derik DEF11
-
C Terán DEF16
-
B Zapelli MID191
4
1
J Portilla MID20
4
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID8
1
-
E Anastacio MID1911
-
J. Rivaldo Pinto FWD41
1
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD11
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26948
N AcevedoL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK19
2
-
M Victor DEF
-
D Duarte DEF2131
4
-
Kanu DEF5
2
-
L Juba DEF2491
4
-
Erick MID
-
N Acevedo MID2611
8
-
R Nestor MID
-
Ademir FWD2611
2
-
A Véliz FWD931
-
E Pulga FWD2732
5
-
Subs
G Herrera GLK
-
M Moreno DEF
-
R. Gómez DEF131
2
-
J Costa DEF
-
J Lucas MID2443
3
-
C Alexandre MID17
1
-
S Suay MID194
1
-
K. Furquim MID7
1
-
W José FWD2231
1
-
M Sanabria FWD1421
2
-
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
-