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Gremio v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

The Serie A is the focus for both Gremio and Palmeiras on Sunday afternoon, as managers Renato Portaluppi and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira battle it out at the Arena do Grêmio. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Gremio's next match is v Remo at 23:30 on Wednesday 7th October
Palmeiras's next match is v Bahia at 01:30 on Friday 9th October
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Palmeiras was on Sunday 20th September 2026
Brazillian Serie A
September 20th 2026
Gremio 0
0 Palmeiras
 
GRE
PAL
Shots On
4
10
Shots Off
1
13
Corners
2
9
Possession
28%
72%
Fouls
19
14
Yellow/red cards
5/0
5/0
 
GremioPalmeiras
 
W. Pereira da Silva
F. Balbuena González
G. Martins de Souza Santos
E. Noriega (D. Barbosa da Silva 46')
C. Pavón (J. Enamorado Gómez 68')
F. Amuzu (J. Borges Cabral 69')
J. Maturano dos Santos (M. Rocha Aquino 81')
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro
W. Gomes da Silva Santos
M. Villasanti Rolón
C. Alves Morais (M. Braithwait 74')
C. dos Santos Pereira
A. Barboza Ullúa
(K. Silva Oliveira 88') A. Giay
(M. Magalhães Prado 79') A. Hoelgebaum Pereira
(R. Sosa 72') V. Roque Ferreira
(F. Anderson Pereira Gomes 72') J. Arias Andrade
G. Gómez Portillo
(A. Santana Marcolino 79') J. Piquerez Moreira
L. Evangelista Santana de Oliveira
J. López
M. Rodrigues Freitas

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of Gremio and Palmeiras no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
27%
31/10
21%
-
Draw
26%
13/5
9%
-
Palmeiras
47%
81/100
11%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
13/2-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
8/1
10%
-
Gremio 1-0
8%
11/1
26%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
Gremio 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
-
Gremio 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
-
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
14/1
19%
-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
Gremio 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
-
Gremio 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/6
7%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/1
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/1
11%
-
Home/draw
53%
10/11
10%
-
Away/draw
73%
2/9
8%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
12/5
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
5%
-
Home DNB
45%
2/1
22%
-
Away DNB
65%
4/11
11%
-
Gremio win to nil
15%
6/1
27%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
27%
9/4
9%
-
Gremio / Gremio
13%
11/2
18%
-
Gremio / Palmeiras
4%
22/1
12%
-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gremio
10%
15/2
21%
-
Draw / Palmeiras
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Palmeiras / Gremio
2%
33/1
17%
-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
28%
2/1
17%
-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Gremio3 - 1Chapecoense
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 3Corinthians
Gremio3 - 2Santos
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
AGremio0 - 1Vitoria
HGremio3 - 1Chapecoense
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio0 - 3A Mineiro
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
HGremio1 - 1Fluminense
AGremio1 - 2Mirassol
HGremio1 - 3Corinthians
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol1 - 1Palmeiras
Fluminense3 - 2Palmeiras
Vitoria0 - 4Palmeiras
Cortiba1 - 3Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
Remo1 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino0 - 1Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
Ceara1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
Juventude0 - 2Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
HPalmeiras4 - 1Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 3Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras4 - 0Vitoria
HPalmeiras1 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Cortiba
HPalmeiras1 - 0Chapecoense
APalmeiras3 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
APalmeiras1 - 1Remo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
APalmeiras0 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras2 - 1Gremio
APalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
GRE
2
D
3
PAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Gremio1 - 0
1 - 3Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Gremio
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
GRE
1
D
1
PAL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 1
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras4 - 1
Palmeiras2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 13 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for A. Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

Gremio 17th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Gremio have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+31
Palmeiras have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
GRE
PAL
36%
better
view stats
Games scored18
24
Failed to score9
3
Scored first7
19
Goals scored30
47
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
GRE
PAL
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
16
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first17
5
Goals conceded38
21
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
12
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+40%

Gremio v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261047
WevertonC ViníciusC PavónP. Crisostomo Pinheiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK
-
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF81
2
-
F Balbuena DEF8
-
G Martins DEF1932
6
-
J Pedro MID7
1
-
M Villasanti MID91
1
-
E Mola MID2111
5
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro MID161
7
-
C Pavón FWD
-
C Vinícius FWD27101
5
-
F Amuzu FWD2313
-
Subs
G Grando GLK
-
M Rocha DEF
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
Wagner DEF
-
F Krovinovic MID6
-
D Barbosa MID
-
B. Schons Zortea MID4
-
Tetê FWD2221
1
-
M Braithwaite FWD19
-
M Nascimento FWD
-
J Cabral FWD611
-
J Enamorado FWD233
3
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
278116
C MiguelJ LópezA Pereira A Barboza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miguel GLK
-
A Giay DEF23
5
-
G Portillo DEF2541
2
-
A Barboza DEF6
3
1
J Piquerez DEF144
2
-
L Evangelista MID
-
M Freitas MID
-
J Arias MID
-
A Pereira  MID27111
3
-
J López MID2584
2
-
V Roque FWD1651
1
-
Subs
M Lomba GLK1
-
B Fuchs DEF
-
Khellven DEF201
3
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
1
-
A. Santana Marcolino DEF19
2
1
E Martínez MID13
1
-
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID6
1
-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID4
2
-
F Anderson MID2121
1
-
M Maurício MID
-
R Sosa FWD2042
4
-
H. da Silva Nunes FWD3
-