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Corinthians v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Fernando Diniz Silva welcomes Luis Francisco Zubeldía to the Arena Corinthians on Sunday night, as their Corinthians and Fluminense sides go head to head in the Serie A. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

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Corinthians's next match is v Internacional at 23:30 on Wednesday 7th October
Fluminense's next match is v Cortiba at 01:30 on Friday 9th October

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Corinthians and Fluminense was on Sunday 20th September 2026

Brazillian Serie A

September 20th 2026

Corinthians 1	3 Fluminense

G. Vernes 56'	24' G. Vieira de Souza
	76' G. Vieira de Souza
	90' K. Serna Jaramillo

	CTH FLU
Shots On	7 6
Shots Off	6 2
Corners	11 1
Possession	57% 43%
Fouls	16 21
Yellow/red cards	3/0 5/0

Corinthians	Fluminense

H. de Souza Nogueira M. França Silva G. Vernes B. de Souza Bidon (M. Pereira da Silva 88') R. Garro R. Almeida Melo M. Depay (P. Garay da Silva 81') M. Lima Beltrão Oliveira I. Machado (G. Silva Inácio 46') A. Santos Dias (J. Lingard 80') K. Andrade Lima	F. Lopes Maciel (J. Lima Fidelis 59') S. Brito T. da Silva R. Rodrigues Martins M. Martinelli (H. Pereira do Nascimento 76') G. Santana (R. Castillo 87') G. Vieira de Souza (R. Silva de Almeida 76') A. Canobbio Graviz J. Millán Díaz (P. Chagas de Lima 59') L. Acosta K. Serna Jaramillo

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 45%	23/20 2%	-
Draw 27%	21/10	-
Fluminense 28%	13/5 13%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Corinthians 1-0 12%	5/1 8%	-
Fluminense 1-0 9%	15/2 7%	-
Draw 0-0 9%	11/2 7%	-
Corinthians 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Corinthians 2-0 8%	8/1 5%	-
Fluminense 2-1 7%	12/1 8%	-
Fluminense 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1	-
Corinthians 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Corinthians 3-0 4%	20/1 9%	-
Fluminense 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Fluminense 3-0 2%	40/1 21%	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	6/4 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1/2 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/5 7%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	11/2 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	21/20	-
BTTS - No 52%	7/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	8/1 13%	-
Home/draw 72%	2/7 5%	-
Away/draw 56%	4/6 3%	-
Home/away 73%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4/1 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/9 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	11/2 7%	-
Home DNB 63%	1/2 6%	-
Away DNB 47%	6/4 8%	-
Corinthians win to nil 26%	12/5 3%	-
Fluminense win to nil 16%	9/2 22%	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 23%	13/5 10%	-
Corinthians / Fluminense 2%	40/1	-
Corinthians / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Corinthians 16%	4/1 9%	-
Draw / Fluminense 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Fluminense / Corinthians 3%	28/1	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 14%	5/1 9%	-
Fluminense / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
Corinthians	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	0 - 0	Athletico PR
Corinthians	3 - 0	Remo
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 1	Internacional
Corinthians	1 - 1	Flamengo
Corinthians	0 - 2	Cortiba
Corinthians	2 - 0	Bragantino
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
Corinthians	2 - 2	Botafogo
Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cortiba
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	2 - 0	Bragantino
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Remo
A	Corinthians	3 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Internacional
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Flamengo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	3 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	3 - 3	Fluminense
Botafogo	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Cortiba	1 - 1	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Fluminense
Remo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Remo
H	Fluminense	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Fluminense	3 - 2	Santos
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

CTH

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0
Corinthians	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	1 - 0
Corinthians	5 - 0
	1 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	2 - 1

Fluminense

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

2 / 9

CTH

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Fluminense	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	2 - 1
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Corinthians of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Fluminense.

	Corinthians 14th	Fluminense 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Corinthians have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-7 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CTH

FLU

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		24
Failed to score	7		3
Scored first	11		13
Goals scored	28		41
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

19%

better

CTH

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	17		22
Clean sheets	10		5
Conceded first	12		13
Goals conceded	29		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+19%

Corinthians v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	3	6	8
H Souza	M Bidu	R Garro	R Garro

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Souza GLK	24			3 -
Matheuzinho DEF				-
I. Machado DEF	2			-
G Henrique DEF	23	2	1	3 -
M Bidu DEF	22	3	1	5 -
A. Santos Dias MID	18	3	2	2 2
Raniele MID	23	2		6 -
K César MID				-
R Garro MID	26	3	6	8 -
B Bidon MID	25	2	1	4 -
M Depay FWD	12	1		2 -
Subs
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	4			2 -
J Rodrigues DEF	5	1		1 -
P Milans DEF	7			-
F Angileri DEF	10	1		3 -
M Pereira MID	20			2 -
Allan MID				-
Charles MID	5			1 -
D. da Cruz Lopes MID	15	1		-
J Lingard MID	17		1	2 -
Vitinho FWD	8			-
P Raul FWD	14	1		1 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	11	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	18	6	7
M Bidu	R Garro	R Garro	R Garro

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Bidu DEF	3	4	1	3
A. Santos Dias MID	3	4	2	1
R Garro MID	3	18	6	7
G Henrique DEF	2	8	1	1
Raniele MID	2	4		2
B Bidon MID	2	4	1	3
M Depay FWD	1	6		2
Subs
J Rodrigues DEF	1	2
F Angileri DEF	1	1		1
D. da Cruz Lopes MID	1	2		1
P Raul FWD	1	5
G. Silva Inácio FWD	1	2
M Pereira MID		1
J Lingard MID		3	1	1
Vitinho FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1125	43	128
G Henrique	Raniele	M Bidu

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Henrique DEF	1125	23	97
M Bidu DEF	950	35	128
R Garro MID	926	17	103
Raniele MID	784	43	121
B Bidon MID	774	30	116
H Souza GLK	620	1	2
Subs
M Pereira MID	513	11	20
A. Santos Dias MID	282	23	60
Subs
F Angileri DEF	280	17	34
M Depay FWD	264		27
Subs
J Rodrigues DEF	261	6	21
J Lingard MID	246	6	17
P Milans DEF	144	9	24
D. da Cruz Lopes MID	133	3	19
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	115		1
Vitinho FWD	100	4	22
Charles MID	78	10	19
I. Machado DEF	76		4
Subs
P Raul FWD	60	3	28
G. Silva Inácio FWD	42	10	15

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	6	5	6
F Fábio	Hulk	L Acosta	Nonato

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	28			1 -
S Xavier DEF	16			5 -
T Silva DEF	4			1 -
J Millán DEF	8			1 -
Renê DEF				-
Nonato MID				-
Martinelli MID	20		3	5 -
A Canobbio MID				-
L Acosta MID	23	4	5	6 -
K Serna MID	27	4	3	1 -
Hulk FWD	9	6	1	1 -
Subs
V Eudes GLK				-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	19		1	3 -
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	4			1 -
G Arana DEF				-
I Rabello DEF				-
J Freytes DEF	19			5 -
Ganso MID	19		1	2 -
H Hércules MID	24	3		3 -
O Otávio MID				-
J Savarino FWD				-
R Castillo FWD	15	4	1	2 -
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	10
Hulk	A Canobbio	L Acosta	L Acosta

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Hulk FWD	6	16	1	3
L Acosta MID	4	10	5	10
K Serna MID	4	15	3	4
Subs
R Castillo FWD	4	8	1
H Hércules MID	3	12		1
S Xavier DEF		2		3
J Millán DEF		1		1
Martinelli MID		6	3	4
Subs
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF			1
J Freytes DEF		3		1
Ganso MID		3	1	1
R. Silva de Almeida FWD			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1280	45	100
J Freytes	Renê	Renê

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1280	18	60
Martinelli MID	1251	26	65
Subs
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	833	22	72
H Hércules MID	801	36	61
L Acosta MID	773	19	73
S Xavier DEF	741	22	65
Subs
Ganso MID	590	13	29
F Fábio GLK	525	1	12
K Serna MID	455	24	95
J Millán DEF	366	6	20
T Silva DEF	253	2	13
Subs
R Castillo FWD	227	8	56
Hulk FWD	157	8	48
Subs
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	85	8	18
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	58	3	12