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Atlético Mineiro v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 8th Oct, 23:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Daniel Backstrom will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Wednesday night, as he takes his Sport Recife side to the Arena MRV to visit Atlético Mineiro and Jorge Sampaoli. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest A Mineiro and S. Recife both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Mineiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
55%
13/204/6
Draw
26%
13/513/5
S. Recife
19%
9/29/2
A Mineiro 1-0
16%
9/24/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
A Mineiro 2-0
12%
11/211/2
Draw 0-0
10%
13/26/1
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
8/17/1
S. Recife 1-0
8%
10/19/1
A Mineiro 3-0
6%
11/19/1
S. Recife 2-1
5%
18/114/1
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
S. Recife 2-0
3%
25/120/1
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
25/118/1
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
33/125/1
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
33/125/1
S. Recife 3-1
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
27/2013/10
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
4/74/7
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/158/15
Away 1st Goal
38%
2/111/5
No 1st Goal
7%
13/26/1
BTTS - Yes
41%
5/413/10
BTTS - No
59%
4/74/7
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/110/1
Home/draw
81%
1/71/7
Away/draw
45%
6/523/20
Home/away
74%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
7/216/5
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/51/5
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/115/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/161/18
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/200
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/26/1
Home DNB
73%
2/92/9
Away DNB
37%
3/129/10
A Mineiro win to nil
36%
11/8-
S. Recife win to nil
12%
7/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
31%
8/58/5
A Mineiro / S. Recife
2%
40/133/1
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / A Mineiro
19%
10/316/5
Draw / S. Recife
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
S. Recife / A Mineiro
3%
25/120/1
S. Recife / S. Recife
9%
9/115/2
S. Recife / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Santos
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
HA Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
AA Mineiro0 - 1Botafogo
HA Mineiro1 - 1Santos
AA Mineiro0 - 1Vitoria
AA Mineiro0 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
AA Mineiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro2 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro1 - 2Bahia
HA Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
HA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
AA Mineiro1 - 0Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza1 - 0S. Recife
Bragantino1 - 1S. Recife
Palmeiras3 - 0S. Recife
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Juventude2 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Ceara2 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
AS. Recife0 - 1Fortaleza
HS. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
AS. Recife1 - 1Bragantino
HS. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
AS. Recife0 - 3Palmeiras
HS. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
AS. Recife1 - 0Gremio
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
AS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Mineiro have beaten S. Recife in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
A Mineiro have not lost to S. Recife in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
AMN
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Mineiro5 - 2
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
AMN
2
REC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
0 - 1A Mineiro
2 - 3A Mineiro
S. Recife3 - 2
Goal Statistics
A Mineiro 14th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
A Mineiro have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
17%
better
AMN
REC
view stats
Games scored14
12
Failed to score8
10
Scored first8
7
Goals scored21
16
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal11
13
Conversion rate for9
8
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
11%
better
AMN
REC
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded26
34
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%

A Mineiro v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
224310
EversonI GomesHulk Lyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Natanael DEF241
1
-
G Scarpa MID2412
2
-
Rony FWD2331
3
-
Everson GLK22
5
-
I Gomes MID2241
2
-
J Alonso  DEF211
3
2
A Franco MID20
2
-
Hulk  FWD1943
8
-
G Menino MID1711
1
-
Bernard FWD17
1
-
Lyanco DEF16
8
2
J Santos FWD162
1
-
T Cuello FWD1511
3
1
G Arana DEF12
3
-
V Hugo DEF111
1
-
C Paulista DEF11
1
-
F Vera MID111
2
-
Biel  FWD91
-
R Saravia DEF8
1
-
J. Soares de Freitas FWD71
-
I Román DEF6
2
-
Reinier MID6
1
-
Alexsander MID6
2
-
Dudu FWD5
-
P. da Silva Campos MID3
-
G Delfim GLK2
-
I Tomich FWD1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21349
C RiveraL LimaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD2421
2
-
C Rivera MID22
5
-
L Lima MID2134
9
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID19
4
-
I Cariús DEF16
1
-
M Alexandre DEF161
6
-
R Atencio FWD14
1
-
Romarinho FWD132
-
Gabriel GLK12
1
-
C França GLK12
2
-
R Menezes  DEF121
2
-
J Silva DEF12
1
-
R Thyere DEF12
-
Matheusinho MID1221
1
-
Pablo FWD121
1
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
D Lacerda FWD103
6
-
L Pereira FWD91
-
S Oliveira MID81
3
-
Kevyson DEF7
2
-
P Augusto MID7
3
-
J Ramírez FWD7
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
Hyoran MID61
1
-
Aderlan DEF5
1
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
L Cândido DEF31
1
-
L Kal MID2
-