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Atlético Mineiro v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Jul, 19:00 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Alexi Stival’s Atlético Mineiro will have the luxury of it on Wednesday evening. António José Cardoso de Oliveira’s Sport Recife are their visitors to the Arena MRV. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
53%
--
Draw
27%
--
S. Recife
20%
--
A Mineiro 1-0
16%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
A Mineiro 2-0
12%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
--
S. Recife 1-0
9%
--
A Mineiro 3-0
5%
--
S. Recife 2-1
5%
--
A Mineiro 3-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
S. Recife 2-0
3%
--
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
--
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
--
A Mineiro 4-1
1%
--
S. Recife 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
40%
--
BTTS - No
60%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
7%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
47%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
72%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
A Mineiro win to nil
36%
--
S. Recife win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win form
7
A Mineiro have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
A Mineiro 9TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
A Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 4Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
HA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
AA Mineiro1 - 0Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 0Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Ceara2 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Corinthians2 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Brusque1 - 0S. Recife
Vila Nova2 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Chapecoense1 - 1S. Recife
Guarani0 - 1S. Recife
Botafogo1 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
HS. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife1 - 2America
HS. Recife4 - 0Guarani
HS. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife3 - 1Novorizontin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Mineiro have beaten S. Recife in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
A Mineiro have not lost to S. Recife in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
AMN
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Mineiro5 - 2
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
AMN
2
REC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
0 - 1A Mineiro
2 - 3A Mineiro
S. Recife3 - 2
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Sport Recife look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Atlético Mineiro haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long evening for A. Cardoso de Oliveira's men.

A Mineiro 9th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294586/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
1.4
0.7
Attack rating
39%
better
AMN
REC
view stats
Games scored8
5
Failed to score4
6
Scored first4
3
Goals scored13
5
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.5
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal11
19
Conversion rate for9
5
Avg. XG for1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
38%
better
AMN
REC
view stats
Games conceded5
9
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded10
18
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+38%

A Mineiro v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12326
EversonRonyHulk Lyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK12
2
-
Rubens DEF121
2
-
J Alonso  DEF121
2
-
Natanael DEF12
1
-
G Scarpa MID121
1
-
Rony FWD123
3
-
Hulk  FWD1112
3
-
I Gomes MID1021
-
Bernard MID9
1
-
Lyanco DEF8
4
2
G Menino MID81
-
A Franco MID8
1
-
T Cuello FWD81
3
-
F Vera MID71
1
-
J Santos FWD72
1
-
R Saravia DEF6
-
J. Soares de Freitas FWD6
-
V Hugo DEF5
-
C Paulista MID5
1
-
G Arana DEF4
1
-
I Rabello  DEF3
-
P. da Silva Campos MID3
-
I Román DEF2
1
-
R Junior DEF2
-
B Palacios FWD1
-
Dudu FWD1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11224
C FrançaC BarlettaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK11
2
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
Chico DEF11
1
-
D Queiroz MID11
-
C Barletta FWD112
-
L Lima MID102
4
-
C Rivera MID9
4
-
C Alberto FWD9
1
-
J Silva DEF8
1
-
I Cariús DEF8
1
-
S Oliveira MID71
3
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID7
-
L Lobato FWD7
-
Pablo FWD71
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
C Ortíz FWD6
-
R Atencio FWD6
1
-
A Sousa FWD6
-
Dalbert  DEF5
2
-
M Alexandre DEF4
3
-
F Domínguez MID4
1
-
Romarinho FWD4
-
A Carlos DEF3
-
G Paciência FWD2
-
G Maia FWD1
-