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Bahia v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 22:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Filipe Luis Kasmirski pays counterpart Rogério Mücke Ceni a visit on Sunday night in the Serie A, as their Flamengo and Bahia sides face each other at the Arena Fonte Nova. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
31%
6.005.25
Draw
27%
3.503.70
Flamengo
42%
1.671.67
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.50
Flamengo 1-0
12%
6.005.75
Bahia 1-0
10%
13.0010.00
Draw 0-0
9%
8.508.00
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Flamengo 2-0
8%
7.007.00
Bahia 2-1
7%
19.0015.00
Bahia 2-0
5%
29.0021.00
Draw 2-2
5%
19.0015.00
Flamengo 3-1
4%
15.0012.00
Flamengo 3-0
3%
12.0011.00
Bahia 3-1
3%
41.0034.00
Flamengo 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
Bahia 3-0
2%
51.0041.00
Bahia 3-2
2%
51.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
2.102.05
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
1.701.70
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.883.00
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.531.53
No 1st Goal
5%
8.508.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.002.05
BTTS - No
51%
1.751.70
BTTS - Home Win
13%
12.009.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4.003.90
Home/draw
58%
2.152.15
Away/draw
69%
1.131.15
Home/away
73%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.361.35
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.203.00
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
4.003.60
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.081.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9.008.00
Home DNB
50%
4.003.75
Away DNB
61%
1.221.22
Bahia win to nil
18%
9.00-
Flamengo win to nil
24%
2.63-
Bahia / Bahia
9%
9.008.00
Bahia / Flamengo
4%
23.0019.00
Bahia / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Bahia
8%
11.009.50
Draw / Flamengo
19%
4.334.20
Draw / Draw
16%
5.004.80
Flamengo / Bahia
2%
41.0034.00
Flamengo / Flamengo
31%
2.602.50
Flamengo / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Flamengo have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia1 - 5Mirassol
HBahia2 - 0Santos
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
HBahia3 - 3Fluminense
ABahia0 - 0S. Recife
HBahia3 - 0Juventude
ABahia1 - 1Fortaleza
HBahia2 - 1A Mineiro
ABahia3 - 0Bragantino
HBahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Juventude0 - 2Flamengo
Internacional1 - 3Flamengo
Ceara1 - 1Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 2Flamengo
Santos1 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Criciuma0 - 3Flamengo
Fortaleza0 - 0Flamengo
Cuiaba1 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
Internacional1 - 1Flamengo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Corinthians2 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo4 - 1Flamengo
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo2 - 0Juventude
HFlamengo1 - 1Gremio
HFlamengo8 - 0Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 1Mirassol
AFlamengo1 - 1Ceara
HFlamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Bragantino
HFlamengo1 - 0Fluminense
AFlamengo0 - 1Santos
HFlamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
HFlamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 0Palmeiras
HFlamengo0 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo1 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo1 - 2Cruzeiro
HFlamengo4 - 0Corinthians
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Flamengo have beaten Bahia in 10 consecutive league meetings
10
Flamengo have not lost to Bahia in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
BAH
1
D
1
FLA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 2Flamengo
2 - 3Flamengo
0 - 5Flamengo
3 - 5Flamengo
Bahia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
0 / 7
FLA
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo2 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo3 - 0
Flamengo4 - 3
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bahia of late. It has been 6 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Flamengo.

Bahia 6th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Flamengo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Flamengo have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
BAH
FLA
22%
better
view stats
Games scored19
20
Failed to score4
3
Scored first14
17
Goals scored31
48
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
BAH
FLA
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
10
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded28
11
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against13%
8%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+43%

Bahia v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24545
L JubaL JubaW JoséS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF2553
2
-
S Mingo DEF24
4
-
S Suay MID2323
4
1
J Lucas MID2231
2
2
W José FWD2144
2
-
N Acevedo MID19
3
-
Kayky FWD1911
1
-
Cauly MID1813
1
-
Ademir FWD1811
4
-
Gilberto DEF171
5
-
D Duarte DEF17
3
-
C Alexandre MID161
4
-
E Pulga FWD1623
1
-
M Araújo FWD164
1
-
Ronaldo  GLK151
-
R Nestor MID143
3
-
S Arias DEF13
3
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD111
-
G Xavier DEF9
3
-
Iago DEF8
-
Rezende MID8
-
Erick MID81
3
-
M Sanabria FWD61
2
1
Kanu DEF2
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2514104
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK25
1
-
L Pereira DEF233
4
-
L Ortiz  DEF2312
3
-
G Arrascaeta MID231410
2
-
L Araújo FWD2352
1
-
B Henrique FWD222
3
-
Pedro FWD18104
3
-
G Plata FWD1831
-
G Varela DEF174
-
Éverton FWD1611
-
A Sandro DEF15
3
-
N Cruz MID13
3
-
Allan MID13
2
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID111
1
-
Juninho FWD11
-
Danilo DEF101
1
-
Ayrton DEF101
3
-
Jorginho MID10
4
-
W Barreto FWD1012
3
-
Michael FWD1013
-
E Farfán MID91
2
-
S Lino FWD924
-
S Ñíguez MID81
1
-
M Viña DEF7
1
-
E Royal DEF61
-
J Carrascal MID613
2
-
Cleiton DEF1
-