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Bahia v Internacional : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Oct, 23:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Wednesday afternoon at the Arena Fonte Nova, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Bahia and Internacional. Rogério Mücke Ceni and Roger Machado Marques going all-out to guide their side to the win. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Bahia and Internacional have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bahia 53%	29/20	6/4
Draw 26%	21/10	11/5
Internacional 21%	19/10	19/10
Bahia 1-0 14%	11/2	11/2
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	19/4
Bahia 2-0 11%	10/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 9%	13/2	11/2
Bahia 2-1 9%	9/1	8/1
Internacional 1-0 8%	13/2	6/1
Bahia 3-0 5%	22/1	18/1
Internacional 2-1 5%	10/1	9/1
Bahia 3-1 5%	22/1	16/1
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	12/1
Internacional 2-0 3%	12/1	11/1
Bahia 4-0 2%	50/1	40/1
Bahia 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Bahia 4-1 2%	50/1	33/1
Internacional 3-1 1%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	27/20	13/10
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	4/7	4/7
Home 1st Goal 54%	5/6	19/20
Away 1st Goal 40%	13/10	6/5
No 1st Goal 6%	13/2	11/2
BTTS - Yes 45%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 55%	3/4	8/11
BTTS - Home Win 19%	5/1	17/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 9%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 79%	2/5	2/5
Away/draw 47%	8/15	8/15
Home/away 74%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	4/9	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	7/4	13/8
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	7/2	16/5
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/5	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/18
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	20/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/66	1/200
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	13/2	6/1
Home DNB 71%	8/11	7/10
Away DNB 39%	1/1	1/1
Bahia win to nil 33%	11/4	-
Internacional win to nil 13%	7/2	-
Bahia / Bahia 20%	3/1	29/10
Bahia / Internacional 3%	33/1	25/1
Bahia / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Bahia 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Internacional 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	16/5
Internacional / Bahia 3%	28/1	22/1
Internacional / Internacional 17%	4/1	18/5
Internacional / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go
Bahia	1 - 1	Athletico PR
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo
Bahia	0 - 2	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Criciuma
Bahia	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Bahia	0 - 0	Botafogo
Bahia	2 - 0	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 1	Internacional
Bahia	0 - 1	Corinthians
Bahia	1 - 2	Cuiaba
Bahia	2 - 0	Juventude

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Bahia	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Corinthians
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	2 - 0	Internacional
S. Recife	1 - 1	Internacional
Botafogo	4 - 0	Internacional
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
Fortaleza	0 - 0	Internacional
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Internacional
Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Internacional
A Mineiro	1 - 3	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional
Bragantino	2 - 2	Internacional
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Internacional
Juventude	1 - 3	Internacional
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Internacional
Atletico Go	1 - 0	Internacional
Bahia	1 - 1	Internacional
Botafogo	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 1	Internacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Internacional	1 - 0	Vitoria
A	Internacional	0 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
A	Internacional	1 - 1	S. Recife
H	Internacional	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Internacional	0 - 4	Botafogo
A	Internacional	2 - 4	Corinthians
H	Internacional	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Internacional	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Internacional	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Internacional	0 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Internacional	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Internacional	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Internacional	0 - 3	Fortaleza
H	Internacional	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Internacional	2 - 3	Flamengo
H	Internacional	4 - 1	Bragantino
A	Internacional	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
H	Internacional	2 - 0	Criciuma

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bahia

Internacional

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

BAH

INL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bahia	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Internacional
	1 - 2	Internacional
	2 - 3	Internacional
	0 - 1	Internacional

Internacional

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

INL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Internacional
Internacional	2 - 1
Internacional	2 - 0
Internacional	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Internacional	3 - 1
Internacional	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Internacional fans, as should a 6 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Bahia 6th	Internacional 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Internacional scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Bahia have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	+8 Internacional’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

BAH

INL

view stats

Games scored	19		18
Failed to score	4		5
Scored first	14		8
Goals scored	31		28
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+15%

24%

better

BAH

INL

view stats

Games conceded	16		19
Clean sheets	7		4
Conceded first	8		14
Goals conceded	28		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+24%

Bahia v Internacional Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	5	4	5
L Juba	L Juba	W José	S Suay

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Juba DEF	25	5	3	2 -
S Mingo DEF	24			4 -
S Suay MID	23	2	3	4 1
J Lucas MID	22	3	1	2 2
W José FWD	21	4	4	2 -
N Acevedo MID	19			3 -
Kayky FWD	19	1	1	1 -
Cauly MID	18	1	3	1 -
Ademir FWD	18	1	1	4 -
Gilberto DEF	17	1		5 -
D Duarte DEF	17			3 -
C Alexandre MID	16		1	4 -
E Pulga FWD	16	2	3	1 -
M Araújo FWD	16	4		1 -
Ronaldo GLK	15		1	-
R Nestor MID	14	3		3 -
S Arias DEF	13			3 -
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	11		1	-
G Xavier DEF	9			3 -
Iago DEF	8			-
Rezende MID	8			-
Erick MID	8	1		3 -
M Sanabria FWD	6	1		2 1
Kanu DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	4	8
L Juba	W José	W José	S Suay

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	5	8	3	5
W José FWD	4	14	4	3
M Araújo FWD	4	6		1
J Lucas MID	3	10	1	6
R Nestor MID	3	5		2
S Suay MID	2	6	3	8
E Pulga FWD	2	7	3	7
Kayky FWD	1	6	1	1
Cauly MID	1	4	3	2
Ademir FWD	1	7	1	6
Gilberto DEF	1	3		1
Erick MID	1	1
M Sanabria FWD	1	2
S Mingo DEF				2
N Acevedo MID		4		1
D Duarte DEF		2
C Alexandre MID		1	1	1
Ronaldo GLK			1
S Arias DEF		2
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD		1	1	1
Iago DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1277	40	99
S Mingo	L Juba	S Mingo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	1277	23	99
L Juba DEF	1126	40	80
C Alexandre MID	931	25	64
D Duarte DEF	924	14	69
S Suay MID	868	36	99
Gilberto DEF	746	38	76
J Lucas MID	702	33	96
N Acevedo MID	572	29	61
S Arias DEF	464	13	26
Ronaldo GLK	435		12
G Xavier DEF	384	10	39
Cauly MID	322	3	21
E Pulga FWD	316	26	92
Ademir FWD	299	25	83
W José FWD	290	5	49
Kayky FWD	288	16	48
R Nestor MID	259	14	28
M Araújo FWD	187	13	41
Rezende MID	183	6	23
Erick MID	143	10	22
Iago DEF	94	7	13
M Sanabria FWD	87	3	43
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	65	8	32
Kanu DEF	61	1	2

Internacional Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	8	6	5
B Aguirre	A Patrick	A Patrick	A Bernabéi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Aguirre DEF	22	1		3 -
V Vitão DEF	19		1	4 -
B Henrique MID	19	1		2 1
A Patrick MID	19	8	6	3 -
T Maia MID	19	1	1	1 -
R Borré FWD	19	4	1	2 1
Tabata FWD	19	3		4 -
A Bernabéi DEF	18		4	4 1
Anthoni GLK	15			-
L. de Aquino MID	14			-
Vitinho FWD	14	1		4 -
R. Mathias da Silva FWD	14	3		1 -
J Carbonero FWD	14	4		2 -
G. Prado Alves FWD	13	1		2 -
Juninho DEF	12			3 -
Óscar Romero MID	12		1	2 -
Ronaldo MID	12			3 1
S Rochet GLK	11			-
V Gabriel DEF	10	2		1 -
A Benítez DEF	7			-
A Rodríguez MID	7			1 -
C. Sampaio Pereira DEF	6			2 -
Richard MID	4			-
G Mercado DEF	3			1 -
Y. Noal Lopes MID	2			-
B Gomes DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	14	6	18
A Patrick	A Patrick	A Patrick	A Patrick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Patrick MID	8	14	6	18
R Borré FWD	4	9	1	2
J Carbonero FWD	4	11		4
Tabata FWD	3	10		2
R. Mathias da Silva FWD	3	7
V Gabriel DEF	2	3
B Aguirre DEF	1	4		3
B Henrique MID	1	5
T Maia MID	1	1	1
Vitinho FWD	1	3		1
G. Prado Alves FWD	1	8		1
V Vitão DEF		2	1	2
A Bernabéi DEF		6	4	7
L. de Aquino MID		2
Juninho DEF		2
Óscar Romero MID		1	1
Ronaldo MID		2		1
A Benítez DEF		3
A Rodríguez MID		1
C. Sampaio Pereira DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1032	52	97
V Vitão	B Aguirre	A Bernabéi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Vitão DEF	1032	21	54
B Aguirre DEF	911	52	81
A Bernabéi DEF	856	47	97
A Patrick MID	759	17	67
T Maia MID	736	19	47
Juninho DEF	695	22	53
V Gabriel DEF	543	18	60
B Henrique MID	519	28	54
Ronaldo MID	504	28	46
Tabata FWD	445	16	56
Anthoni GLK	312	1	7
C. Sampaio Pereira DEF	305	6	22
J Carbonero FWD	301	9	66
Óscar Romero MID	246	12	29
R Borré FWD	231	18	61
S Rochet GLK	230		3
L. de Aquino MID	217	19	45
A Rodríguez MID	199	13	30
A Benítez DEF	198	9	15
Vitinho FWD	183	12	42
G. Prado Alves FWD	148	8	34
Richard MID	143	3	14
G Mercado DEF	141	4	6
R. Mathias da Silva FWD	81	4	33
Y. Noal Lopes MID	34	1	2
B Gomes DEF	7	1	1