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Bahia v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Mar, 23:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

the Arena Fonte Nova crowd welcome Vitória's travelling contingent on Wednesday night, as Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia go head to head with Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura's side in the Serie A. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Bahia and Vitoria combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
59%
8/134/6
Draw
24%
12/527/10
Vitoria
18%
19/417/4
Bahia 1-0
14%
5/119/4
Bahia 2-0
12%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/27/1
Bahia 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Vitoria 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Bahia 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Vitoria 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Bahia 4-0
3%
25/118/1
Vitoria 2-0
3%
28/118/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
28/122/1
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Vitoria 3-1
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
7/107/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/151/2
Away 1st Goal
38%
2/12/1
No 1st Goal
6%
15/27/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/2021/20
BTTS - No
54%
7/107/10
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/117/2
Home/draw
82%
1/72/13
Away/draw
41%
6/523/20
Home/away
76%
3/101/4
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/27/1
Home DNB
75%
2/92/9
Away DNB
34%
3/111/4
Bahia win to nil
36%
6/4-
Vitoria win to nil
10%
8/1-
Bahia / Bahia
32%
8/56/4
Bahia / Vitoria
2%
40/133/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bahia
19%
10/310/3
Draw / Vitoria
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/14/1
Vitoria / Bahia
4%
22/118/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
9%
17/27/1
Vitoria / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
Vitoria 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino4 - 0Vitoria
S. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Santos0 - 1Vitoria
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Fortaleza2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Mirassol1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Internacional1 - 0Vitoria
Corinthians0 - 0Vitoria
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
HVitoria2 - 0Remo
HVitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria0 - 4Bragantino
HVitoria2 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria3 - 1S. Recife
AVitoria0 - 0Palmeiras
HVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
HVitoria1 - 0Internacional
AVitoria1 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria0 - 1Corinthians
AVitoria1 - 0Santos
HVitoria2 - 1Bahia
AVitoria3 - 4Vasco d Gama
HVitoria1 - 0Ceara
AVitoria1 - 3Gremio
HVitoria0 - 1Fluminense
AVitoria0 - 2Fortaleza
HVitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bahia have beaten Vitoria in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
BAH
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia2 - 0
Bahia4 - 1
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Bahia
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
VIT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Bahia 4th Vitoria 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Vitoria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
BAH
VIT
2%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored4
4
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
28%
better
BAH
VIT
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.7
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded13
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
4
Conversion rate against5%
28%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+28%

Bahia v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE